Which company has best AI model end of June?Anthropic
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$2.5Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Anthropic debuts preview of powerful new AI model Mythos in new cybersecurity initiative
YESBloomberg98%match32¢+213%
RT @pelstrom: New: Anthropic is dropping its hallmark safety pledge as AI competition heats up. While it said in 2023 it would delay develo…
YESThe Wall Street Journal98%match19¢+426%
Anthropic has seized the lead in the race for AI supremacy—and that is rattling the stock market
YESThe Wall Street Journal98%match4¢+2400%
Anthropic has seized the lead in the race for AI supremacy—and that is rattling the stock market
YESFirst Squawk98%match5¢+1900%
Anthropic has seized the lead in the race for AI supremacy and that is rattling the stock market-WSJ
YESBloomberg99%match4¢+2400%
Anthropic is releasing a new version of its most powerful AI model that’s designed to carry out financial research
Where does the news lean?
17YES5NO8neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
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