Which company has best AI model end of June?

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This hub tracks 19 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

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30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

DeepSeekRussian Media98%match1¢-100%
Chinese AI chatbot DeepSeek was valued at $10 billion after raising funds, The Information reported. DeepSeek is currently in talks with investors to raise at least $300 million. As Reuters previously reported, DeepSeek's AI models made a splash in the market in 2025. The neural network became a competitor to the American company OpenAI, which developed ChatGPT. In February, OpenAI accused DeepSeek of distilling American models. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
#Institutions Predict Anthropic Will Surpass OpenAI# [Two-month countdown: Institutions predict Anthropic will dethrone OpenAI in the enterprise market] Recently, Ramp, a leading US platform for enterprise spending management and full-stack financial automation, released a report showing that its AI index indicates that in March, the proportion of enterprises adopting artificial intelligence exceeded 50% for the first time, reaching 50.4%. A year ago, this proportion was only 35%. Today, half of the enterprises on the Ramp platform are paying for artificial intelligence. The report focuses on comparing enterprise adoption rates of OpenAI and Anthropic. Data shows that Anthropic continues its strong growth, with its market share increasing from 24.4% to 30.6%, a 6.3 percentage point increase, exceeding the record monthly increase set last month. The gap between OpenAI and Anthropic, whose market share has fallen to 35.2%, has narrowed to only 4.6 percentage points, compared to a gap of 11 percentage points in February. At this rate, analysts predict that Anthropic will surpass OpenAI within the next two months. With two months to go, analysts predict that Anthropic will overtake OpenAI in the enterprise market.
Anthropiccnbc.com99%match65¢+54%
OpenAI slams Anthropic in memo to shareholders as its leading AI rival gains momentum
Anthropictechcrunch.com99%match65¢+54%
Anthropic debuts preview of powerful new AI model Mythos in new cybersecurity initiative
DeepSeekdbws.io99%match2¢-100%
A mystery AI model has developers buzzing: Is this DeepSeek’s latest blockbuster?
Anthropicaxios98%match60¢-100%
OpenAI, Anthropic feud could prop up Google
AnthropicNews98%match60¢-100%
OpenAI, Anthropic feud could help Google
AnthropicNews98%match60¢-100%
BREAKINGVIEWS-What happens if OpenAI or Anthropic fail?
OpenAIFirst Squawk98%match12¢-100%
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said late Friday that his company has agreed to terms with the Department of Defense on use of its artificial intelligence models, shortly after President Donald Trump said the government won’t work with AI rival Anthropic.
Anthropiczerohedge98%match62¢-100%
Pentagon Picks OpenAI To Replace Anthropic
OpenAIOSINTdefender98%match12¢-100%
In a notable turn of events, Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, has announced that tonight, OpenAI has reached an agreement with the Department of War (DOW) to deploy their models on classified networks. This comes amidst the ongoing row between Anthropic, the developer of Claude AI, and…
AnthropicPolymarket99%match38¢+163%
[Replying to @zerohedge] @zerohedge 56% chance Anthropic has the best AI model at the end of March. >
AnthropicBloomberg98%match32¢+213%
RT @pelstrom: New: Anthropic is dropping its hallmark safety pledge as AI competition heats up. While it said in 2023 it would delay develo…
AnthropicFirst Squawk98%match23¢+335%
Anthropic plans to spend at least $80B on Amazon, Google, and Microsoft cloud services to run Claude AI through 2029 – The Information.
AnthropicBloomberg98%match23¢+335%
Anthropic and Altruist’s new AI models recently upended multiple industries leaving Wall Street in search of where exactly the productivity-boosting promise of AI will translate into higher corporate earnings
AnthropicCNBC98%match23¢+335%
Anthropic releases Claude Sonnet 4.6, continuing breakneck pace of AI model releases
AnthropicBloomberg98%match23¢+335%
Anthropic's newest AI model is intended to be better at using people’s computer in increasingly complicated ways
AnthropicBloomberg98%match78¢-100%
The Pentagon is close to cutting ties with Anthropic and may label the AI company a supply chain risk after becoming frustrated with restrictions on how it can use the technology, Axios reported
AlibabaBloomberg98%match1¢-100%
The latest iteration of Alibaba’s Qwen is designed to support AI agent tasks
AnthropicAxios98%match26¢+285%
Here's why Anthropic just had a breakout month
xAIElon Musk98%match10¢-100%
This is what happens when Elon runs your company. xAI which is only 2.5 yrs old and has a team size that is 1/10th of many competitors, its #1 in voice, image generation, image edits, forecasting, and many intelligence leaderboards, all while having the most powerful training…
AnthropicAxios98%match26¢+285%
Anthropic says its latest model could be misused for "heinous crimes" — like chemical weapons
MistralBloomberg98%match0¢
French startup Mistral AI is investing $1.4 billion to build out AI infrastructure in Sweden
MistralFinancialJuice98%match0¢
French tech and AI company Mistral investing 1.2 bln Euros in a new data centre site in Sweden - Les Echos
Z.aiBloomberg98%match1¢-100%
AI developer Zhipu is set to release an upgrade of its flagship model
AnthropicBloomberg98%match27¢+270%
Blackstone is increasing its investment in AI firm Anthropic, elevating its stake to roughly $1 billion at the startup’s current valuation, according to sources
AnthropicBloomberg98%match26¢+285%
Abu Dhabi’s MGX is nearing a deal to join Anthropic PBC’s latest funding round, people familiar with the matter said, adding to its commitment to one of the most prominent artificial intelligence startups.
OpenAIunusual_whales98%match11¢-100%
OpenAI preparing to launch updated chat model this week, per CNBC
OpenAIFinancialJuice98%match11¢-100%
OpenAI is preparing to launch an updated chat model this week - CNBC
AnthropicThe Wall Street Journal98%match19¢+426%
Anthropic has seized the lead in the race for AI supremacy—and that is rattling the stock market

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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