US x Iran permanent peace dealDecember 31

*US and Iran close to agree on 60-day ceasefire extension - sources = FT *US, IRAN CLOSE TO EXTENDING CEASEFIRE BY 60 DAYS, FT REPORTS

Iran demands full lifting of sanctions in exchange for its nuclear commitments

Trump is approaching a decision point: either a principles-based agreement that enables the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for lifting the siege, ending the war, and postponing nuclear negotiations for a month or a return to war, which may achieve certain tactical goals but is highly unlikely to shift the current Iranian leadership from its position. • • Every threat and every reference by Trump to the destruction of Iran only reinforces the conviction in Tehran that discussing the nuclear issue before receiving hard guarantees on ending the war and reopening Hormuz would be a strategic mistake. • • In the past, the Iranian leadership’s red line centered on limits to the nuclear program. Today, after what Iran views as proof of resilience during the war, the priority has changed: first stabilize the Strait of Hormuz and secure meaningful economic guarantees. Only then would Tehran even consider entering serious nuclear talks. • • This is the outcome of a failed war strategy: instead of forcing concessions on the nuclear file, the conflict elevated Iran’s leverage and pushed the nuclear issue further down the negotiating agenda. • • #IranWar‌

IRAN SAYS FORCE FULLY RESTORED • • The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament and chief negotiator for Tehran, Ghalibaf, met with the commander-in-chief of the Pakistani army. He stated that Iran had restored its combat capabilities during the ceasefire period and would under no circumstances compromise on the rights of the nation. • • A representative of Iran’s Foreign Ministry said that a trend toward reducing disagreements between Iran and the United States had emerged this week. • • He stressed that US aggression is of a long-term nature, and therefore no quick results should be expected. • • He added that the Strait of Hormuz is not a matter for the United States but for Iran and its regional neighbors. • • He also described US actions as “piracy and blockade,” calling them a major problem. In addition, he said that a ceasefire in Lebanon is a necessary and non-negotiable condition.

Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: We are in the final stages of formulating a memorandum of understanding that will include the main issues of ending the war. In response to the question of how close Iran and the US are to a deal, the Foreign Ministry Spokesperson replied: "We could perhaps say that we are very far and very close. Because on the one hand, we have seen contradictory statements from the US, they have changed their minds many times and various senior officials have expressed contradictory positions. From this angle, we cannot be sure that this approach will change. On the other hand, after several weeks of talks between the parties, we can see a trend of approaching an agreement - approaching, not in the sense that we and the US will reach a mutual understanding on issues of such high importance, but in the sense that we will reach a solution that is agreed upon by both sides based on a number of parameters. Our approach was to write a draft of a memorandum of understanding or an agreement, similar to the 14-point framework agreement. This memorandum of understanding contains the most critical issues necessary to end the forced war, including issues of fundamental importance to us. Then, within a reasonable time frame of 30 to 60 days, the details will be negotiated and will ultimately lead to a final agreement. We are currently in the final stages of formulating the memorandum of understanding. As I said, the issues being discussed at this stage generally focus on a complete end to the war and issues related to the thawing of Iran's frozen assets. These are the main points that will be raised in the memorandum of understanding." Reported by the Iranian Mehr News Agency

Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: We are in the final stages of formulating a memorandum of understanding that will include the main issues of ending the war In response to the question of how close Iran and the US are to a deal, the Foreign Ministry Spokesperson replied: "We could perhaps say that we are very far and very close. Because on the one hand, we have seen contradictory statements from the US, they have changed their minds many times and various senior officials have expressed contradictory positions. From this angle, we cannot be sure that this approach will change. On the other hand, after several weeks of talks between the parties, we can see a trend of approaching an agreement - approaching, not in the sense that we and the US will reach a mutual understanding on issues of such high importance, but in the sense that we will reach a solution that is agreed upon by both sides based on a number of parameters. Our approach was to write a draft of a memorandum of understanding or an agreement, similar to the 14-point framework agreement. This memorandum of understanding contains the most critical issues necessary to end the forced war, including issues of fundamental importance to us. Then, within a reasonable time frame of 30 to 60 days, the details will be negotiated and will ultimately lead to a final agreement. We are currently in the final stages of formulating the memorandum of understanding. As I said, the issues being discussed at this stage generally focus on a complete end to the war and issues related to the thawing of Iran's frozen assets. These are the main points that will be raised in the memorandum of understanding." Reported by the Iranian Mehr News Agency

Iran’s Baghaei says dialogue with US ‘time-consuming’

Iran: Pezeshkian, during his meeting with the Pakistani army chief, stated: "The United States will not be victorious, and it is the countries of the region and the world that will suffer heavy losses."

The U.S. and Iran aren't having direct negotiations on the substance of the agreement, but are engaged in indirect talks to try and develop consensus around what these negotiations will look like - Axios

Tasnim, citing a source close to the Iranian negotiating team, says that despite some changes in the latest American draft, the core disagreements remain unresolved due to what Tehran describes as “excessive demands” and a lack of realism from Washington. • • - According to the report, Iran remains extremely serious about obtaining compensation from the U.S. for the military attacks against Iran. While the Americans are reportedly discussing something described as a “development and reconstruction fund,” there is still a major gap over the figures and broader terms. • • - The same source also says Washington is still trying to link “ending the war” to the nuclear file, something Tehran considers unacceptable and illogical. Iran reportedly insists there will be no scenario in which a ceasefire or end of hostilities comes in exchange for nuclear concessions. • • - This once again suggests that the main deadlock may not be only about the nuclear issue itself, but about sequencing, war-related compensation, and the broader post-war regional framework. • • #Iran #IranWar

Axios, citing a senior US official: We will have to continue negotiations through bombs if #Iran does not change its position.

The US has rejected Iran’s latest peace proposal, with a senior official saying that it “risks war resumption.” - Axios

Axios, citing a US official: Iran has presented an updated proposal to end the war, but the White House believes it is insufficient to reach an agreement.

BREAKING: Iran has sent an updated proposal for a deal to end the war, but the White House believes it is "insufficient for a deal," per Axios. • • President Trump is now expected to convene his top national security team in the Situation Room on Tuesday to discuss military options. • • A senior US official said that if Iran will not shift its position, the US will have to continue negotiations "through bombs." • • Trump is reportedly considering resuming the Iran War due to Iran's rejection of many of his demands. • • Peace talks continue to show little progress.

The US has rejected Iran’s latest peace proposal, with a senior official saying that it “risks war resumption.” -Axios

Al Arabiya reveals details of the Iranian proposal submitted to the Pakistani mediator: Tehran demands a long-term truce and a gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, along with freezing the nuclear file and transferring enriched uranium to Russia.

A SENIOR US OFFICIAL TOLD AXIOS THAT IRAN’S UPDATED PROPOSAL FOR ENDING THE CONFLICT IS NOT A MEANINGFUL IMPROVEMENT AND REMAINS INSUFFICIENT FOR A DEAL. • • WASHINGTON SAID TRUMP STILL PREFERS A NEGOTIATED SETTLEMENT BUT IS WEIGHING MILITARY OPTIONS AS TEHRAN CONTINUES TO RESIST KEY DEMANDS ON ITS NUCLEAR PROGRAM. • • OFFICIALS WARNED THAT IF NO PROGRESS IS MADE, TALKS COULD SHIFT TOWARD ESCALATION, WITH INTERNAL DISCUSSIONS ON NEXT STEPS EXPECTED AT THE HIGHEST LEVEL. • • SENIOR US OFFICIAL: IRAN'S NEW OFFER IS INSUFFICIENT, AND RISKS A WAR RESUMPTION - AXIOS. - FINANCIALJUICE ...

US SAYS IRAN DEAL OFFER STILL INSUFFICIENT, WAR TALKS RISK ESCALATION • • A SENIOR U.S. OFFICIAL TOLD AXIOS THAT IRAN’S UPDATED PROPOSAL FOR ENDING THE CONFLICT IS NOT A MEANINGFUL IMPROVEMENT AND REMAINS INSUFFICIENT FOR A DEAL. • • WASHINGTON SAID PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP STILL PREFERS A NEGOTIATED SETTLEMENT BUT IS WEIGHING MILITARY OPTIONS AS TEHRAN CONTINUES TO RESIST KEY DEMANDS ON ITS NUCLEAR PROGRAM. • • OFFICIALS WARNED THAT IF NO PROGRESS IS MADE, TALKS COULD SHIFT TOWARD ESCALATION, WITH INTERNAL DISCUSSIONS ON NEXT STEPS EXPECTED AT THE HIGHEST LEVEL. ...

US SAYS IRAN DEAL OFFER STILL INSUFFICIENT, WAR TALKS RISK ESCALATION • • A senior U.S. official told Axios that Iran’s updated proposal for ending the conflict is not a meaningful improvement and remains insufficient for a deal. • • Washington said President Donald Trump still prefers a negotiated settlement but is weighing military options as Tehran continues to resist key demands on its nuclear program. • • Officials warned that if no progress is made, talks could shift toward escalation, with internal discussions on next steps expected at the highest level.

Americans must understand that Iran will never agree to an end to the war in exchange for nuclear commitments. As Iran has previously stated, it has not and does not have the intention to build nuclear weapons, and this claim is just a deception by the Americans. This issue is also emphasized in the new text.

A source close to the negotiating team told Tasnim: Despite some changes in the new American text, fundamental differences stemming from the Americans' exaggeration and lack of realism remain. Iran's determination regarding the necessity of paying compensation by the Americans for the military aggression against Iran is very serious. However, despite the talk of something called the establishment of a Development and Reconstruction Fund, the Americans are far from meeting Iran's demands regarding its size and some other issues. The Americans are still trying to tie the end-of-war negotiations to the nuclear issue, which is illogical and Iran will not agree to. The Americans must understand that Iran will never agree to an end to the war in exchange for nuclear commitments.

Sapir Lipkin The Iranian source added: "The Americans' demands in the nuclear field are only political excuses and against the rights of the Iranian people. The Americans are still trying to tie the negotiations to end the war to the nuclear issue, which is illogical and Iran will not agree to this. The Americans should understand that Iran will not agree in any way to end the war in exchange for nuclear commitments."

US President Donald Trump on Iran: They are eager to sign an agreement Iran talks about the agreement and then presents a document that has no relation to any of its terms. Iranians are crying out from the effects of the war

Iran’s revised proposal reportedly calls for a permanent end to the war, full sanctions relief, and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. • • Iran’s nuclear program would be addressed only in later stages of the negotiations. • • In short, nothing changed. President Trump will not be happy.

76% THERE IS A US X IRAN PERMANENT PEACE DEAL BY DECEMBER 31, 2026, PER POLYMARKET: ...

Odds on a US x Iran permanent peace deal by the end of this year is up to a massive 77%. • • People seem to be oddly optimistic about this

US and Iran ‘close’ to deal to end war