Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?United Russia (ER)
ResolvedOutcome: No$4Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
In the first Russian parliamentary elections since the invasion of Ukraine, the ruling United Russia party secured a landslide victory, winning more than three-quarters of the seats. President Putin may have appealed to the public by saying, "The people strongly support the government and the invasion."
Putin's ruling United Russia party has won a large majority in parliamentary elections, state media says. • • The vote was marked by cyberattacks and a barrage of Ukrainian drone strikes • •
United Russia has 57.76% of the vote after 82% of the ballots have been processed.
Moscow DEG: United Russia gains 52.6% of the vote on party lists
NONews95%match99¢+1%
UNITED RUSSIA GAINS 52.60% OF THE PARTY LIST VOTE IN THE STATE DUMA ELECTIONS IN THE MOSCOW DEPUTIES' CITY - ACCORDING TO MGIK SCREENS
Where does the news lean?
0YES14NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
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