Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$782Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Al-Jadeed correspondent: An Israeli infantry force is attempting to advance from the town of Taybeh towards the Litani River. @IbrahimElghar12
Al-Jadeed correspondent: An Israeli infantry force is attempting to advance from the town of Taybeh towards the Litani River.
Lebanese Prime Minister: Israel blew up most of the bridges on the Litani River to separate the area from the rest of Lebanese territory.
Defense Minister Katz: The Prime Minister and I ordered the IDF to destroy all bridges over the Litani River to prevent Hezbollah from crossing.
Israel says destroyed two bridges on Litani River in Lebanon
Israel struck 2 bridges at Lebanon's Litani river - Katz
ISRAEL STRUCK 2 BRIDGES AT LEBANON'S LITANI RIVER - KATZ
Defense Minister: At the Prime Minister's direction, we bombed two bridges over the Litani River that were to be used by Hezbollah
Where does the news lean?
11YES16NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli military personnel cross the Litani River in Lebanon by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Israeli military personnel” refers to members of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or any other official military units acting under the authority of the State of Israel. Intelligence or other non-military personnel will not count.
A “crossing” will be considered to have occurred if Israeli military personnel are confirmed to have physically traversed the Litani River in Lebanon at any point, including but not limited to by bridge, boat, swimming, wading, or temporary or permanent crossing.
Aerial insertion, parachute drops, helicopter landings, or other forms of aerial infiltration that do not involve Israeli military personnel physically traversing the Litani River will not qualify.
Mere presence on one bank of the Litani River, without confirmation that Israeli military personnel traversed the river to the opposite bank, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.