Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
ResolvedOutcome: No$12.4Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
12 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOfirstsquawk99%match69¢+45%
Vítkof: Iran informed us that it possesses 460 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60%.
NOSky News Arabia98%match69¢+45%
Wittkov: Iran informed us that it possesses 460 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60%
NOSky News Arabia99%match69¢+45%
Whitkopf to Fox News: Iran has said it has an indisputable right to enrich uranium
NONews98%match69¢+45%
Al-Mayadeen: Iran's fundamental decision is to continue defense until national interests are sustainably secured
NOIran Semi-Official Mehr98%match69¢+45%
Al-Mayadeen: Iran's fundamental decision is to continue defense until national interests are sustainably secured Al-Mayadeen: A source close to the decision-making body in Iran's strategic affairs told our reporter: Iran's fundamental decision is to continue its defense until the national interests of this country and its regional partners are sustainably secured, and any news about any plan in this regard that lacks such elements is not approved. @mehrnews
NOAl Mayadeen98%match69¢+45%
The source told Al-Mayadeen: Iran's fundamental decision is to continue defending its interests until its national interests and those of its regional partners are secured.
NONews98%match69¢+45%
According to him, "Iran's conditions include receiving guarantees that war will not return, achieving a complete nuclear fuel cycle, and receiving compensation." 2/2
NONews99%match69¢+45%
Iran: Shams al-Wa'izin to Al-Mayadeen: Among the conditions is lifting the sanctions on Iran all at once and providing guarantees for its right to possess a peaceful nuclear cycle.
NOWSJ Reporter98%match69¢+45%
I am not a "naysayer" when it comes to Iran not having put a serious offer on the table in Iran. I have reported that it's true. • But it would really help their case if they could talk about the issue without making blatant, straightforward factual errors. -3-
NONews99%match69¢+45%
#Breaking | Reuters, quoting Wittkopf: We have almost completely destroyed Iran's uranium enrichment capacity
NOWarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧98%match77¢+30%
Iranian officials have reportedly warned Washington of their rejection of any discussion about a complete halt to uranium enrichment today.
NOFirst Squawk98%match77¢+30%
SPOKESPERSON FOR THE NATIONAL SECURITY COMMITTEE OF THE IRANIAN PARLIAMENT: THE GENEVA NEGOTIATIONS WILL NOT DISCUSS STOPPING URANIUM ENRICHMENT OR ABANDONING IT.
Where does the news lean?
11YES29NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.