Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meetingSeptember 30, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: No$242Kas of
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This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
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14 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
[UPDATE] US and Iran hold indirect talks; Foreign Minister Araghchi says "We expect a final answer by the 29th" (first reported at 2026-09-28T21:07:34.277165100Z)
Axios, citing a source: Qatari mediators to hold separate meetings tomorrow with Araqchi and Witkoff ====== Axios reports, citing a source familiar with the matter, that Qatari mediators will hold separate meetings tomorrow with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi and US envoy Steve Witkoff. US President Donald Trump confirms to Axios his expectation of further diplomatic talks with the Iranian side this week. Trump clarifies that Tehran is indeed seeking an agreement, but the current proposal does not represent the agreement he desires to sign. The Iranian Foreign Minister reiterates on NBC his country's commitment to the peaceful path and its readiness to negotiate and reach a diplomatic solution.
Diplomatic consultations aimed at reducing tensions between Iran and the United States and attempting to reach a new agreement to end the war in the region are continuing on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly meetings, without any signs of progress so far. According to informed diplomatic sources who spoke to Al-Akhbar, the meeting held last Tuesday in New York between Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi and US Presidential Envoy Steve Wittkopf and President Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner focused on reviewing the "new conditions" for both sides to reach an agreement, without achieving any "common ground." The sources indicated that returning to the "Memorandum of Understanding" signed on June 18 between Tehran and Washington is no longer a demand of either side. Each side is demanding amendments to some of its clauses, which further complicates the negotiation process. To read the full article Mohammad Khajouei | Iran brandishes the Bab al-Mandab front at America | New York meeting: New reciprocal conditions @MKhajouei
Diplomatic consultations aimed at reducing tensions between Iran and the United States and reaching a new agreement to end the conflict in the region are continuing on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly meetings, though no progress has yet been made. According to informed diplomatic sources who spoke to Al-Akhbar, the meeting held last Tuesday in New York between Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi, US Presidential Envoy Steve Wittkopf, and US President Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner focused on reviewing the "new conditions" for both sides to reach an agreement, without achieving any common ground. The sources indicated that a return to the Memorandum of Understanding signed on June 18 between Tehran and Washington is no longer a demand of either side; each is now calling for amendments to some of its clauses, further complicating the negotiations.
Iranian Foreign Minister: We proposed a 7-day plan to the US to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz ======= Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi: We proposed a 7-day plan to the US to end the war The plan we proposed to the US will end with the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz The proposed plan includes starting negotiations on the nuclear program immediately after the end of the war We held a fruitful meeting with Wittkopf and Kushner last Tuesday in New York Diplomatic contacts with the US are continuing through intermediaries
Iranian Foreign Minister: We proposed a 7-day plan to the US to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz ======= Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi: We proposed a 7-day plan to the US to end the war The plan we proposed to the US will end with the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz The proposed plan includes starting negotiations on the nuclear program immediately after the end of the war We held a fruitful meeting with Wittkopf and Kushner last Tuesday in New York Diplomatic contacts with the US are continuing through intermediaries
Iranian Foreign Minister: - The plan we proposed to America will end with the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. - The proposed plan includes starting negotiations on the nuclear program immediately after the end of the war. - We held a fruitful meeting with Wittkopf and Kushner last Tuesday in New York. - Diplomatic contacts with America are ongoing through intermediaries.
Iranian Foreign Minister: We held a fruitful meeting with Wittkopf and Kushner last Tuesday in New York
2.Araghchi said he had a productive meeting with Witkoff and Jared Kushner at the UN mediated by Qatar and that diplomatic exchanges through intermediaries continued.
After three hours of Qatari-mediated talks in New York, Washington described the contacts with Iran as productive, with Trump saying a settlement is possible. An Iranian official, however, confirmed that an agreement remains far off.
After three hours of Qatari-mediated talks in New York, Washington described the contacts with Iran as productive, with Trump saying a settlement is possible. An Iranian official, however, confirmed that an agreement remains far off.
Israel's Channel 12 reported that officials from the Islamic Republic and the United States had held indirect talks. According to the report, Jared Kushner and Steve Whittaker, representatives of the Trump administration, were in one room and Abbas Araqchi, the Islamic Republic's Foreign Minister, was in another room, and Qatari mediators conveyed the messages and points of view of both sides. Channel 12 added that the Strait of Hormuz was one of the main axes of these talks. Interview with Babak Eshaghi, Iran International correspondent
Kamyar Behrang, a member of the editorial board of Iran International, referring to the Tasnim report on the meeting between Abbas Araghchi and Steve Witkoff, said that it is unlikely that such negotiations were held without coordination from higher-level institutions. He added that the publication of this report could be a sign of internal disagreements over how to deal with the United States and an attempt to shift responsibility for the results of the negotiations to Araghchi and Masoud Pezzekian. Behrang also pointed out that Xi Jinping's visit to the United States coincided with the UN General Assembly, and said that this meeting is of great economic and strategic importance for Washington and Beijing. He added that he believes that the expanding cooperation between the United States and China in some cases, including Iran, could affect the equations related to the Islamic Republic.
FOX News' @BillMelugin_ reports as U.S.-Iran peace talks resume, with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner communicating with Iranian officials through mediators on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly in New York. • • The renewed diplomacy comes after President Trump threatened further military action against Iran during his U.N. address, while Americans face mounting pressure at the pump as the national average for diesel has climbed above $6 a gallon.
Where does the news lean?
15YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
On September 22, U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York, with President Trump saying another meeting is scheduled in the near future.(see: https://www.israelhayom.com/2026/09/22/witkoff-kushner-attended-us-iran-meeting-another-expected-soon).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect senior-level diplomatic meeting between the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement.
A diplomatic meeting is senior-level if each listed entity is represented by a head of state, a head of government, or a vice president; a foreign minister; a minister of cabinet rank; the secretary or head of a national security council; the presiding officer of a national legislature; a special envoy; or another individual designated by the head of state or head of government to conduct diplomatic negotiations on their behalf. Individuals authorized only for technical, implementation, monitoring, staff-level, preparatory, or working-group-level talks will not be considered designated to conduct diplomatic negotiations on behalf of the head of state or head of government. This definition includes, but is not limited to, all of the following individuals: for the United States, Donald Trump, JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Scott Bessent, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner; and for Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, Masoud Pezeshkian, Abbas Araghchi and Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. In each case, a qualifying representative must participate in the meeting.
A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. “The same day” means the same calendar day local time at the meeting location.
Sessions, proceedings, or convenings of standing international organizations, treaty bodies, or recurring multilateral summits or conferences (e.g., the United Nations General Assembly, G7, and G20 summits) do not qualify, unless a qualifying and deliberate diplomatic meeting between representatives of the listed countries is separately held alongside such a convening.
The following do not qualify as either a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting: chance encounters; standalone exchanges limited to greetings, courtesies, or photo opportunities; meetings conducted remotely, by telephone, or by any other means where the relevant representatives are not physically present at the same facility, venue, or city on the same day; discussions involving persons not authorized to engage in diplomacy or negotiation on behalf of their respective governments.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
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