Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meetingDecember 31, 2026
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The market prices a 44% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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23 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian reveals a forthcoming meeting with the United States through intermediaries, and Russian President Vladimir Putin expresses Moscow's readiness to help Tehran end the conflict with Washington.
After diplomatic progress stalled, Qatar is mediating talks between Abbas Araqchi and US officials in New York. Iran has proposed a seven-day ceasefire, linking a cessation of hostilities and the lifting of sanctions to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the resumption of nuclear negotiations.
US and Iran hold indirect talks; expect a response by the 29th, says foreign minister
[UPDATE] US and Iran hold indirect talks; Foreign Minister Araghchi says "We expect a final answer by the 29th" (first reported at 2026-09-28T21:07:34.277165100Z)
Iran conveys demands during indirect talks in New York; US response expected as early as the 29th.
Iranian media reported that Abbas Araqchi and the Iranian delegation will meet with US negotiators in New York in the coming hours. Reuters reported that the mediators will hold separate talks with representatives from Tehran and Washington on Monday or Tuesday. The focus of these talks is expected to be a revised version of the seven-day proposal that the Islamic Republic presented on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly. Earlier, Donald Trump had said that the talks would resume this week, emphasizing that the military option was still on the table. Interview with Samira Qaraei, Iran International correspondent
The ISNA news agency reported on Monday, October 26, that Abbas Araqchi, the Islamic Republic's Foreign Minister, is scheduled to meet with mediators for the talks with the United States on Monday morning, New York time. According to ISNA, no US representative will be present at the meeting, and Araqchi and the mediators are scheduled to review the latest proposals and views on the terms of the talks. The Islamic Republic had previously offered to open the Strait of Hormuz as part of an agreement to end the war in exchange for the release of frozen Iranian funds and assets. Reuters had previously reported, citing an official familiar with the talks, that the mediators are scheduled to hold separate talks with the United States and the Islamic Republic on Monday or Tuesday.
Reuters reported on Monday, October 26, citing an official familiar with the talks, that the mediators are scheduled to hold separate talks with the United States and the Islamic Republic on Monday or Tuesday. According to the official, Abbas Araqchi, the Islamic Republic's Foreign Minister, and Qatari mediators are in the United States, and the talks are expected to focus on a revised version of a seven-day proposal that the Islamic Republic presented on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly.
A source familiar with the talks told Reuters that the mediators expect to hold separate talks with the United States and Iran on Monday or Tuesday. Abbas Araqchi and the Qatari mediators will also remain in the United States.
A source familiar with the matter told Reuters that mediators are expected to hold separate talks with the US and Iran today or tomorrow, while Araqchi and the Qatari mediators remain in the US.
Mediators Expected To Hold Separate Talks With US And Iran On Monday Or Tuesday, With Iran's Araqchi And Qatari Mediators Remaining In US - Official Briefed On The Negotiations To RTRS • - Talks To Focus On Amended Version Of 7-Day Proposal Iran Presented On UNGA Sidelines
US and Iran to hold indirect talks as early as the 28th; the strait will be the focus, but progress remains uncertain.
US President Donald Trump says he expects talks with Iran to resume in the coming week, despite his rejection of a truce proposal recently put forward by Tehran •
I reported in the Kan News edition: The US and Iran are expected to hold another round of talks in the coming days. This time, too, these are indirect talks, apparently with Qatari involvement. The talks are taking place precisely after Trump rejected the Iranian proposal, and in Britain, there is suspicion that Iran is responsible for the attempt to attack a base in Britain where American forces are stationed. Only in recent days, in the US, the British Foreign Secretary met with Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi and called on him to abandon the path of escalation - and focus on diplomacy.
Axios, citing a source: Qatari mediators to hold separate meetings tomorrow with Araqchi and Witkoff ====== Axios reports, citing a source familiar with the matter, that Qatari mediators will hold separate meetings tomorrow with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi and US envoy Steve Witkoff. US President Donald Trump confirms to Axios his expectation of further diplomatic talks with the Iranian side this week. Trump clarifies that Tehran is indeed seeking an agreement, but the current proposal does not represent the agreement he desires to sign. The Iranian Foreign Minister reiterates on NBC his country's commitment to the peaceful path and its readiness to negotiate and reach a diplomatic solution.
Trump said talks with Tehran would take place next week.
★US and Iran to hold talks this week, says Trump
President Trump tells me: More talks with Iran expected this week President Trump told me in a telephone interview today (Sunday) that he expects more talks with Iran to take place later this week, in another attempt to reach an agreement.
Why this matters: Qatar and other regional mediators are trying to renew negotiations between the US and Iran, but the gaps between the parties on key issues are still very wide.
While Iran wants to focus the talks on the Strait of Hormuz and lifting the US naval blockade, the Trump administration is demanding that the Iranians agree to concessions in the nuclear field.
Two regional sources confirmed Trump's words and said that they expect another round of indirect talks between the US and Iran this week, possibly as early as Monday. However, it is unclear whether the gaps can be bridged.
What he says: "I look forward to more talks with Iran [this week]. They want to make a deal, but it's not the deal I want to make. It's a deal we might have agreed to a year ago. They've stretched the rope too far," Trump said.
When asked if he was considering resuming strikes against Iran, Trump said: "I always think about it."
Snapshot: Trump said that in the meantime, the US military is pumping large amounts of oil through the Strait of Hormuz.
He noted that over the weekend, the largest amount of oil ever passed through the Strait. "More than 20 million barrels," Trump said.
A US security source confirmed Trump's words and said that 22 million barrels of oil were transported through the Strait of Hormuz on Friday night.
In the news: US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner held a Last Tuesday, on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York, a new round of indirect negotiations with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi took place. Senior Qatari officials participated in the negotiations and conveyed messages between the parties. Araqchi conveyed to Wittkoff and Kushner Iran's conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and resuming nuclear talks. Iran offered to reopen the Strait and resume nuclear talks within a week, provided that the US lifts the naval blockade, lifts sanctions on oil sales, and renews the ceasefire throughout the region. On Saturday, Trump said he had rejected the Iranian proposal. Behind the scenes: Despite Trump's claim that he had rejected the Iranian proposal, a senior US official and two regional sources told me that Qatari mediators are continuing the indirect negotiations and are bridging the gap between the US and Iran in an attempt to Reach an agreement.
On Thursday, the Prime Minister of Qatar met in New York with the President of Iran and discussed with him a possible agreement with the Trump administration. Shortly after the meeting, senior Qatari officials met in New York with White House envoy Steve Witkoff and briefed him. A regional source involved in the indirect negotiations said that Qatari mediators discussed the original Iranian proposal with both sides, formulated a compromise proposal designed to bridge the gaps, and forwarded it to both sides for consideration. What's next: Over the weekend, Qatari mediators held separate back-and-forth talks with Iranian and American negotiating teams regarding changes to the wording. The Qatari mediators are expected to meet separately with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi and Witkoff, possibly as early as Monday. The other side: Araqchi told NBC on Sunday that although Trump rejected the Iranian proposal, Iran is still interested in a diplomatic solution. He said that the U.S. midterm elections are not part of Iran's considerations. "We only care about our national interests. We are ready for negotiations," he said.
"Although we heard from President Trump that he rejects this agreement... we are still waiting for an official answer through the mediators," Araqchi added.
Axios on Trump: US negotiators are expected to hold further talks with Iran this week
Trump said the US will hold talks with Iran next week.
2.Araghchi said he had a productive meeting with Witkoff and Jared Kushner at the UN mediated by Qatar and that diplomatic exchanges through intermediaries continued.
Israel's Channel 12 reported that officials from the Islamic Republic and the United States had held indirect talks. According to the report, Jared Kushner and Steve Whittaker, representatives of the Trump administration, were in one room and Abbas Araqchi, the Islamic Republic's Foreign Minister, was in another room, and Qatari mediators conveyed the messages and points of view of both sides. Channel 12 added that the Strait of Hormuz was one of the main axes of these talks. Interview with Babak Eshaghi, Iran International correspondent
FOX News' @BillMelugin_ reports as U.S.-Iran peace talks resume, with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner communicating with Iranian officials through mediators on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly in New York. • • The renewed diplomacy comes after President Trump threatened further military action against Iran during his U.N. address, while Americans face mounting pressure at the pump as the national average for diesel has climbed above $6 a gallon.
Where does the news lean?
107YES6NO23neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
On September 22, U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York, with President Trump saying another meeting is scheduled in the near future.(see: https://www.israelhayom.com/2026/09/22/witkoff-kushner-attended-us-iran-meeting-another-expected-soon).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a direct or indirect senior-level diplomatic meeting between the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement.
A diplomatic meeting is senior-level if each listed entity is represented by a head of state, a head of government, or a vice president; a foreign minister; a minister of cabinet rank; the secretary or head of a national security council; the presiding officer of a national legislature; a special envoy; or another individual designated by the head of state or head of government to conduct diplomatic negotiations on their behalf. Individuals authorized only for technical, implementation, monitoring, staff-level, preparatory, or working-group-level talks will not be considered designated to conduct diplomatic negotiations on behalf of the head of state or head of government. This definition includes, but is not limited to, all of the following individuals: for the United States, Donald Trump, JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Scott Bessent, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner; and for Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, Masoud Pezeshkian, Abbas Araghchi and Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. In each case, a qualifying representative must participate in the meeting.
A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. “The same day” means the same calendar day local time at the meeting location.
Sessions, proceedings, or convenings of standing international organizations, treaty bodies, or recurring multilateral summits or conferences (e.g., the United Nations General Assembly, G7, and G20 summits) do not qualify, unless a qualifying and deliberate diplomatic meeting between representatives of the listed countries is separately held alongside such a convening.
The following do not qualify as either a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting: chance encounters; standalone exchanges limited to greetings, courtesies, or photo opportunities; meetings conducted remotely, by telephone, or by any other means where the relevant representatives are not physically present at the same facility, venue, or city on the same day; discussions involving persons not authorized to engage in diplomacy or negotiation on behalf of their respective governments.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
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