Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?Qatar
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The market prices a 14% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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NO86¢
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20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Qatar: US and Iran review proposal to end war
Qatar: “Progress in Indirect Negotiations with U.S. and Iran… Hope Still There”
Qatar "Progress in Indirect Negotiations with U.S. and Iran... Reviewing Proposals from Both Sides" (Roundup)
Qatar: "Indirect Negotiations Between U.S. and Iran Progressing... Reviewing Proposals from Both Sides"
Al-Arabiya sources: The Qataris went to Tehran to receive the response to their de-escalation proposal... and Pezeshkian, Qalibaf, and Araqchi advised the military authorities to respond positively to it. ======
Al-Arabiya sources: The Qataris went to Tehran solely to receive the Iranian response, not for further discussions. Pezeshkian, Qalibaf, and Araqchi advised the military authorities to respond positively to Qatar's proposal. The Iranians prefer direct meetings with mediators for security reasons. Political figures within Iran are pushing for de-escalation with the United States. Iranian assessments suggest that a return to war is now the most likely scenario.
Qatar revives US-Iranian negotiations from Tehran
The Wall Street Journal reported, citing mediators, that negotiations between the United States and the Islamic Republic, brokered by Qatar, have reached an impasse over which side should make concessions first.
After three consecutive days, members of the Iranian delegation left the talks in Qatar yesterday, according to a Reuters report. The report emphasized that the negotiations failed to reach a conclusion due to difficulties between the parties.
After three consecutive days - members of the Iranian delegation left the talks in Qatar yesterday, Reuters reported. The report emphasized that the talks did not end due to difficulties between the parties
@asafroz15
Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei said that Deputy Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi's visit to Doha was aimed at facilitating interactions between Tehran and Washington. He added that since Qatar facilitates the exchange of messages between the Islamic Republic and the United States, Kazem Gharibabadi was also in Doha for the same purpose. "Everything depends on the United States acting on Iran's conditions, so that other issues can be decided after that," Baghaei said. At the same time, Reuters reported that the Islamic Republic's negotiators left the Doha talks on Sunday, but their departure was not due to a problem in the talks. According to the report, a draft proposal is being circulated for the parties' comments, and there is a possibility of holding another meeting to follow up on the talks.
Iranian Foreign Ministry: Exchange of messages with America continues, and the Deputy Minister visited Qatar to facilitate consultations. ================
Iranian Foreign Ministry: Negotiations with America are based on a 7-step Iranian proposal. There is an opportunity to implement the Iranian proposal within the next few days. Exchange of messages with America continues, and the Deputy Minister visited Qatar to facilitate consultations.
Iranian Foreign Ministry: Exchange of messages with America continues, and the Deputy Minister visited Qatar to facilitate consultations.
Diplomatic source: Doha talks on #Iran "positive"
#SkyOnline
#America #Qatar
Araghchi: The purpose of the Iranian delegation's trip to Qatar is to continue consultations with the mediators who were in Tehran, and we have not yet reached a final conclusion.
Iraqi: The conditions that America must fulfill are not strange Al Jazeera's exclusive interview with Foreign Minister Seyyed Abbas Araqchi: Reporter: Mr. Minister, the Qatari mediator left Doha with a proposal that Qatar had made for mediation between Iran and the United States, and there has been a lot of talk about it. I would like to know what exactly the Qatari proposal included? What clauses were agreed upon and what issues remain unresolved? Araqchi: Yes, our Qatari friends were in Tehran yesterday, and this is a continuation of consultations with Qatari and Pakistani mediators that are ongoing. We are grateful to both countries and thank our friends in both countries. The plan that is now on the table is essentially the same plan that Iran initially presented and is known as Iran's seven-day plan. In this plan, Iran's conditions for the opening of the Strait of Hormuz are put forward and it is stated that if Iran's conditions are met, the Strait of Hormuz will be opened on the sixth day and Iran-US negotiations will resume on the seventh day. This was the plan that we presented in New York during the UN General Assembly. Since then, consultations on this issue have continued continuously. Our Qatari and Pakistani friends have also had many consultations and consultations in this regard and have put forward ideas to make Iran's seven-day plan more operational and more feasible. One of the ideas that was put forward by our Qatari friends was to shorten the seven-day period to five days or even less. We worked on this idea during yesterday's trip, and I can say that we have now arrived at a two-day plan; that is, on the first day, a series of measures will be taken by the United States, and on the second day, the Strait of Hormuz will open and traffic will return to its previous state. The conditions that the US must fulfill are not strange. All of them were mentioned in the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding. Of course, new conditions have arisen, for example, in paragraph 9 of the Memorandum of Understanding; the US will not impose new sanctions and will not increase its military forces in the region. It is natural that we want all new sanctions that have been imposed after the Memorandum of Understanding to be lifted or military forces to be reduced and returned to the previous level. Also, the lifting of the blockade is on the agenda. The oil exemptions that were supposed to be implemented at that time are also among these. Other conditions are also included in the letter we submitted. As I said, there is nothing strange in these conditions and all of them are feasible; if there is goodwill on the American side, if there is a real will to reach an agreement, and if they are truly seeking a peaceful solution. Now all of these issues are on the table, and by adhering to our plan, which is now a two-day plan, they can pave the way for peace, pave the way for the Strait of Hormuz to return to normal and life to normal conditions, and save the region, and even the world, from this abnormal situation. Reporter: You mentioned three issues: lifting the sanctions that the United States imposed after the war, signing a memorandum of understanding, lifting the naval blockade, and allowing oil exports. Are there any other conditions? Araqchi: There are other conditions, including that the new route agreed between Iran and Oman for traffic through the Strait of Hormuz must be accepted and other routes in the south will be closed. Our frozen funds must be released, all our assets in various places that the Americans illegally froze, the most notable of which is $6 billion in Qatar, must be released. Of course, our Qatari friends have found solutions that are subject to this agreement. Therefore, our conditions are not strange. Among other things, an end to the war on all fronts, including Lebanon, is worth mentioning. If the US accepts these conditions, they have already accepted them and even implemented them for two weeks and then violated them. If these are implemented, the way is open for the return of normal life in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz. Reporter: I want to understand Iran's point of view better. There are three main issues at stake now: sanctions, frozen assets worth $6 billion in Qatar, and permission to export oil. In return, when will Iran open the Strait of Hormuz? Iraqchi: These are the conditions for opening the Strait of Hormuz, and then our talks will continue on the same day on issues that both sides are interested in. That is, after Iran's conditions are implemented and the Strait of Hormuz is opened, the way will be opened for Iran-US negotiations to resume.
Pakistan and Qatar are mediating between Iran and the United States • • Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: • • Iran and Russia have a well-established history of cooperation in various fields, including the nuclear issue. Moscow played a positive and effective role in the 2015 nuclear deal. • • While Iran has always welcomed the supportive and friendly efforts of partner countries, from a technical and practical standpoint, mediation between Iran and the United States remains the responsibility of countries such as Pakistan and Qatar.
Live: Qatar confirms US-Iran talks ongoing as Doha pushes for diplomatic progress
In an interview with IRNA, Araqchi announced a second meeting with one of the Qatari mediators for an agreement and expressed hope that the final US response would be transmitted to the Islamic Republic via Qatar by Tuesday.
Iran says Qatar to convey US response after talks on ideas, IRNA reports
The indirect talks happening between U.S. and Iranian officials in New York are being mediated by Qatar, an official involved in the discussions tells me @NewsNation.
Where does the news lean?
128YES15NO54neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
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What would make this resolve YES?
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next direct or indirect senior-level diplomatic meeting between the United States and Iran begins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting occurs when representatives of both listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in diplomacy on behalf of their respective governments or governing authorities deliberately meet for the purpose of diplomacy or negotiation. A qualifying meeting need not result in any agreement, joint statement, or further engagement.
A diplomatic meeting is senior-level if each listed entity is represented by a head of state, a head of government, or a vice president; a foreign minister; a minister of cabinet rank; the secretary or head of a national security council; the presiding officer of a national legislature; a special envoy; or another individual designated by the head of state or head of government to conduct diplomatic negotiations on their behalf. Individuals authorized only for technical, implementation, monitoring, staff-level, preparatory, or working-group-level talks will not be considered designated to conduct diplomatic negotiations on behalf of the head of state or head of government. This definition includes, but is not limited to, all of the following individuals: for the United States, Donald Trump, JD Vance, Marco Rubio, Scott Bessent, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner; and for Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, Masoud Pezeshkian, Abbas Araghchi and Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. In each case, a qualifying representative must participate in the meeting.
A direct meeting refers to a diplomatic meeting where the representatives of both countries directly interact with each other in person. Meetings conducted through translators qualify, provided direct, face-to-face communication occurs. An indirect meeting refers to a meeting conducted indirectly through designated mediators or facilitators. A qualifying indirect meeting must meet both of the following criteria (i) the designated intermediaries act with the knowledge and authorization of both entities; (ii) representatives of both entities are physically present in the same facility, venue, or city as part of a single organized round of talks convened for the purpose of diplomatic engagement, with the intermediary conveying communications between the representatives or delegations on the same day. “The same day” means the same calendar day local time at the meeting location.
Sessions, proceedings, or convenings of standing international organizations, treaty bodies, or recurring multilateral summits or conferences (e.g., the United Nations General Assembly, G7, and G20 summits) do not qualify, unless a qualifying and deliberate diplomatic meeting between representatives of the listed countries is separately held alongside such a convening.
The following do not qualify as either a direct or indirect diplomatic meeting: chance encounters; standalone exchanges limited to greetings, courtesies, or photo opportunities; meetings conducted remotely, by telephone, or by any other means where the relevant representatives are not physically present at the same facility, venue, or city on the same day; discussions involving persons not authorized to engage in diplomacy or negotiation on behalf of their respective governments.
If a qualifying senior-level diplomatic meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.
If the next qualifying senior-level diplomatic meeting begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa.”
If the next qualifying senior-level diplomatic meeting begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe.”
For purposes of this market, countries’ regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.
If the next qualifying senior-level diplomatic meeting begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If no qualifying senior-level diplomatic meeting begins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by December 31.”
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
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