Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 34% on Sep 30, 2026

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Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 22.2¢ to 33.7¢ (+11.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Semi-Official YJC News Agency.

How did the odds move?

At match22.2¢
+5m33.6¢
+30m33.6¢
+1h33.7¢
1h move+11.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NeutralSemi-Official YJC News Agency95%match
Axios: Qatar's mediation between Iran and the US was fruitless Axios website: Efforts by Qatari mediators this week to create a diplomatic opening between the US and Iran have made little progress, as neither side is willing to back down from their positions. Axios senior correspondent Barack Rawid wrote: Qatari officials will continue their efforts, but they have become increasingly frustrated with the positions of both sides. @YjcNewsChannel

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 27% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES27¢
NO73¢

Vol$5K

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Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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