Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
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Market pricing makes Texas the favorite at 98% across 22 tracked outcomes, as of .
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What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Missouri Judge Says Redrawn Congressional Map May Be Used in Midterms
Live: New maps make Florida a key player in the fight for the House majority
Post-primary, Florida has roughly a half-dozen House seats that could be seen up for grabs after the state's mid-decade redistircting • • It gives Florida an outsized role in the fight for who controls the House • •
New maps make Florida a key player in the fight for the House majority
Referendums on the Rise: House Democrats's push to redistrict states ahead of 2028 to combat GOP gains this cycle may come true. Maryland's legislature cleared voters to choose whether the state can redraw, and @PeopleNotPolsMO is suing Missouri's secretary of state in hopes of reversing the latest map
Live: Virginia’s primaries would have looked very different tonight had the Democratic plan to redistrict the state been allowed to proceed. State lawmakers implemented, in a referendum voters approved, a map designed to give Democrats an advantage in 10 of the state’s 11 congressional districts. But the Supreme Court of Virginia threw the plan and kept in place maps the state has been using since 2023.
BREAKING: • • ANNAPOLIS, Md. (AP) — Maryland lawmakers approve ballot measure for voters to clear way for new congressional maps that would boost Democrats.
ANNAPOLIS, Md. (AP) — Maryland lawmakers approve ballot measure for voters to clear way for new congressional maps that would boost Democrats
Live: Polls opened at 6 a.m. in Virginia, where primary voters are picking nominees for U.S. House and other offices after an extraordinary fight over the contours of the state’s congressional map. Virginia voters had approved a Democratic-drawn map that would have helped the party gain as many as four House seats. But the state Supreme Court struck down the map in May, giving Republicans a victory and restoring the old map. Democrats are still hoping to make gains in the state in November.
South Carolina Governor Plans Special Session to Redraw House Maps
South Carolina gov expected to demand special session on redistricting as Georgia’s Kemp calls for one
South Carolina gov expected to demand special session on redistricting as Georgia’s Kemp calls for one
Georgia to draw new congressional maps for 2028
Redistricting SC: South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster now expected to call a special session on redistricting that would probably cost Democratic Rep. Jim Clyburn his seat in this year’s midterms.
The first is a looming crisis over Georgia’s voting system. The second is a redistricting fight over congressional and legislative boundaries for the 2028 elections.
No surprise here, but Georgia will redraw ahead of 2028. • • A long line of states will do this.
Kemp calls special legislative session to redraw Georgia's electoral maps
Louisiana advances plan to eliminate majority-Black US House district after court ruling
South Carolina Senate rejects effort to tackle redistricting despite pressure from Trump
GOP scores another gerrymandering victory with Missouri Supreme Court win
GOP scores another gerrymandering victory with Missouri Supreme Court win
In break with Trump, Republicans in South Carolina Senate reject redistricting bid
South Carolina lawmakers reject for now Trump’s push to eliminate Jim Clyburn’s seat
South Carolina state Senate rejects effort to tackle redistricting despite pressure from Trump
Illinois Dems wary of redraw push
Supreme Court halts order for Alabama to use US House map with 2 largely Black districts
Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-SC) to CNN about effort by GOP to redistrict in South Carolina: • • "Be very careful what you pray for. Because I believe - when they finish with the redistricting - there will be the possibility of at least 3 Democrats getting elected here in South Carolina"
The White House is making a big push on redistricting in South Carolina, where the proposal has faced initial resistance within the GOP, w/ @jdawsey1
South Carolina Republicans Privately Circulating Congressional Map That Would Eliminate State’s Only Democratic Seat
NEW: I chatted with South Carolina governor candidate and Lieutenant Gov. @PamelaEvette about the redistricting efforts in South Carolina following last night’s Indiana primary results • • “We did see what happened in Indiana last night,” she said. • •
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.