Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?South Carolina
Open$29Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
South Carolina Governor Plans Special Session to Redraw House Maps
South Carolina gov expected to demand special session on redistricting as Georgia’s Kemp calls for one
Redistricting SC: South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster now expected to call a special session on redistricting that would probably cost Democratic Rep. Jim Clyburn his seat in this year’s midterms.
South Carolina Senate rejects effort to tackle redistricting despite pressure from Trump
In break with Trump, Republicans in South Carolina Senate reject redistricting bid
South Carolina lawmakers reject for now Trump’s push to eliminate Jim Clyburn’s seat
South Carolina state Senate rejects effort to tackle redistricting despite pressure from Trump
Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-SC) to CNN about effort by GOP to redistrict in South Carolina: • • "Be very careful what you pray for. Because I believe - when they finish with the redistricting - there will be the possibility of at least 3 Democrats getting elected here in South Carolina"
The White House is making a big push on redistricting in South Carolina, where the proposal has faced initial resistance within the GOP, w/ @jdawsey1
South Carolina Republicans Privately Circulating Congressional Map That Would Eliminate State’s Only Democratic Seat
Where does the news lean?
7YES4NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
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