Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?Missouri
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Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO95¢
as of
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20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: Democrats will be strongly favored to retain two of Missouri’s eight U.S. House seats under the map that the Supreme Court directed the state to use. A third seat in the St. Louis area could also be winnable for Democrats. Under the redrawn map, Democrats would have been expected to hold only one seat.
Live: Missouri voters will have the final say on which congressional map is used in future elections. A referendum on the November ballot will ask Missourians whether they prefer the older boundaries or the ones redrawn to favor Republicans.
Live: This order directs Missouri to hold its general election using a different congressional map than in the primary, a highly unusual scenario that means some voters will have had no say in choosing their party’s nominee. Officials from both parties have said that post-election lawsuits seem likely.
Supreme Court blocks Missouri from using new congressional map in 2026 election
BREAKING: The Supreme Court is requiring Missouri to use its 2022 map in the general election, rejecting a late push by lower courts to require the state to implement a GOP-friendlier 2025 gerrymandering.
The U.S. Supreme Court has again blocked Missouri from using a redrawn congressional district map in its November midterm elections, a map intended to benefit the state's Republican Party. The new map would have given Republican candidates an advantage in seven of the eight House districts.
Live: Missouri’s top elections official on Thursday ordered local authorities to use the state’s older congressional district map for the midterm election, after a Su
[UPDATE] Missouri is poised to revert to former congressional districts after court rejects Trump-backed map (first reported at 2026-09-10T12:10:33Z)
[UPDATE] Missouri election official orders old congressional map to be used instead of Trump-backed one (first reported at 2026-09-10T12:10:33Z)
The Supreme Court on Thursday temporarily blocked Missouri from using a newly drawn congressional map that favors Republicans in this year's midterm elections.
BREAKING: • • The Supreme Court just rejected a last-ditch effort by Missouri Republicans to use their new congressional map for the midterms. • • That leaves in place a Missouri Supreme Court ruling from last week that said the map could not be used while a ballot initiative moves forward that could lead to the redrawn map being tossed out by voters.
US Supreme Court won’t reinstate Republican-drawn congressional map in Missouri
The US Supreme Court rejects Missouri's request to use a map of electoral districts drawn by Republicans in the midterm elections scheduled for November.
NOReuters92%match83¢+14%
U.S. Supreme Court Declines Missouri Bid to Use Republican-Drawn Congressional Map in November Midterm Elections
Missouri asks US Supreme Court to allow use of new Trump-backed congressional districts in midterms
Missouri Supreme Court Rules State Can't Use Redrawn Map in Midterms -- WSJ
Missouri Supreme Court blocks GOP-friendly US House map from midterm elections – after it was used in the primaries
Missouri Supreme Court rules new GOP-drawn map can’t be used for November elections • • The new map was designed to draw one of the two Missouri Democrats in Congress, longtime Rep. Emanuel Cleaver, out of his seat. @nbcnews
: The Missouri Supreme Court ruled that voters get to decide whether the state adopts new Congressional lines the legislature drew to benefit Republicans. If voters reject it in November, Democrats would regain a seat
Missouri Judge Says Redrawn Congressional Map May Be Used in Midterms
Where does the news lean?
5YES19NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
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