Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Open43as of
Market pricing makes Delcy Rodríguez the favorite at 91% across 43 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Nicolás Maduro sent his grandchildren photos from an American prison. In the pictures, the Venezuelan president looks noticeably thinner. Maduro called the photos "a small gift of love and hope" for his loved ones and all who support him. He also wrote that he and his wife, Cilia Flores, remain faithful and confident. "We will remain strong, calm, and confident. Venezuela will be reborn," Maduro wrote in a post on Telegram. More IZ RU news in MAX
Venezuelan acting president Delcy Rodríguez: The oil agreement with Washington will give our country a strong boost The agreement will turn our country's reserves into wealth #MarketsOpening
#ArabicBusiness
La presidenta de la República, Delcy Rodríguez, se dirigió este sábado al país en relación al acuerdo estratégico firmado con los Estados Unidos, donde destacó que este convenio busca transformar las reservas petroleras de Venezuela en prosperidad, desarrollo e inversión directa para áreas prioritarias como salud, educación, vialidad y servicios públicos. Asimismo, señaló que este entendimiento binacional contribuirá a la estabilidad del mercado energético internacional y a la seguridad del hemisferio, articulándose además con la participación de grandes empresas globales del sector para afianzar el perfil exportador de la nación. Puntualizó que el plan contempla el desarrollo de 17 campos estratégicos, entre los que se incluyen 8 bloques en la Faja Petrolífera del Orinoco, con la meta de superar una producción de 1,5 millones de barriles diarios. Bajo un esquema de aportes complementarios, Estados Unidos proveerá el capital y la tecnología necesarios para la recuperación operativa, mientras que Venezuela mantendrá la soberanía y propiedad de sus recursos. Rodríguez precisó que la estructura fiscal fijada contempla regalías mínimas del 16% e Impuesto sobre la Renta del 34%, garantizando que por cada barril comercializado ingresen aproximadamente 19 dólares directamente al Estado, estimando una recaudación global proyectada en más de 209 mil millones de dólares. Enfatizó que el objetivo central de esta alianza es garantizar la transparencia sobre los recursos generados y asegurar que la riqueza energética se traduzca de forma directa en el bienestar y futuro de todos los venezolanos. [in reply to: [image only]]
Delcy Rodriguez, interim president of Venezuela: The energy agreement with the United States will be for 25 years.
Venezuelan Interim President Delcy Rodriguez Says Energy Agreement with U.S. Will Be for 25 Years
#BREAKING | Venezuela's interim president, Delcy Rodríguez, addresses the nation regarding the energy agreement with the United States.
The United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) backed interim president Delcy Rodríguez in response to the energy agreements signed with the United States. #teleSUR #Venezuela #PSUV #Aug29
US President Donald Trump announces an oil deal with Venezuela that gives the United States control over the majority of proven reserves exceeding 65 billion barrels, describing it as "the biggest oil deal in the history of the world."
Venezuela's interim president, Delcy Rodriguez, said a new oil deal with the United States would generate $209 billion in tax revenue for Venezuela from the development of 17 oil fields. The comments came after US President Donald Trump announced a plan to take majority control of Venezuela's more than 65 billion barrels of proven oil reserves through partnerships with private companies.
The United States has reached an agreement with Venezuela that provides for the transfer of over 65 billion barrels of the country's oil reserves to American control, Trump announced on Truth Social. According to him, the agreements were reached by Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth, together with interim Venezuelan President Delcy Rodriguez and with the participation of private businesses. Trump asserts that the deal will not require any expenses from American taxpayers. RBC Channel on "Max"
RBC app for iOS and Android
US President Donald Trump announced on Twitter that the United States has reached an agreement with Venezuela that he called "the largest oil deal in the history of the world." Trump said that under the agreement, and with the participation of the private sector, the United States will take control of the majority of more than 65 billion barrels of Venezuela's proven oil reserves at no cost to American taxpayers. He added that US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and US Secretary of War Pete Hegsett, in collaboration with Venezuela's interim President Delcy Rodriguez, played a role in reaching the agreement. Trump said the agreement will more than double US oil reserves, significantly increase oil supply and, in the long term, help lower gasoline prices for Americans. @VahidOOnLine
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, on Friday, referred to the new oil agreement between Washington and Caracas announced that the agreement, in addition to ensuring stable supplies and reducing gasoline prices in the United States, will bring nearly $100 billion in private sector investment to Venezuela.
“For the Venezuelan people, this agreement will bring nearly $100 billion in private sector investment, support thousands of high-paying jobs, and drive the reconstruction of the Venezuelan economy,” Rubio wrote in X.
@VahidOOnLine @VahidOnline
Earlier : Trump on Truth Social : • • The United States of America has just entered into an Agreement with the Country of Venezuela on, THE BIGGEST OIL DEAL IN WORLD HISTORY! At my direction, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, working closely with Highly Respected Interim President of Venezuela, Delcy Rodriguez, and, through a partnership with private business, have secured majority U.S. control of more than 65 BILLION BARRELS of proven Oil Reserves in Venezuela, at no cost to the American Taxpayer. This Historic Transaction MORE THAN DOUBLES American Oil Reserves, greatly increases our Oil Supply, and will substantially lower Gas Prices for all Americans, long into the future, while helping to continue to set Venezuela on a course toward Tremendous Success and Great Prosperity. This Transaction will greatly strengthen the already growing relationship between Venezuela and the United States! Thank you for your attention to this groundbreaking matter. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! President DONALD J. TRUMP
Trump announced the largest oil deal in history between the US and Venezuela for over 65 billion barrels US President Donald Trump announced the conclusion of the largest oil deal in world history between the US and Venezuela, which provides for the US side to receive a controlling stake in proven oil reserves of over 65 billion barrels. According to Trump, the deal was secured by US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth in close cooperation with the interim President of Venezuela Delcy Rodriguez and with the participation of private business.
...
US President Donald Trump announced on Twitter that the United States has reached an agreement with Venezuela that he called "the largest oil deal in the history of the world." Under the deal, the US will take control of the majority of Venezuela's more than 65 billion barrels of proven oil reserves, with private sector participation, at no cost to US taxpayers, Trump said. He added that US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and US Secretary of War Pete Hegsett, along with Venezuela's interim President Delcy Rodriguez, played a role in reaching the agreement. Trump said the deal would more than double US oil reserves, significantly increase oil supply and help lower gasoline prices for Americans in the long term.
The oil deal with the US will bring nearly $100 billion in investment to Venezuela, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said. "For the people of Venezuela, this deal will bring nearly $100 billion in private investment, thousands of high-paying jobs, and will contribute to the recovery of the Venezuelan economy," Rubio wrote on the social network X. More news from IZ RU in MAX [in reply to: The US just reached an agreement with Venezuela on the "largest-ever" oil deal, Donald Trump said. He said he had secured US control over more than 65 billion barrels of proven oil reserves in Venezuela. The deal more than doubles America's oil reserves. "At my direction, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, working closely with Venezuelan Interim President Delcy Rodriguez and partnering with private industry, have secured U.S. control of more than 65 billion barrels of proven oil reserves in Venezuela at no cost to American taxpayers," he said. More IZ RU news in MAX]
BREAKING NEWS: The United States of America has just entered into an Agreement with the Country of Venezuela on, THE BIGGEST OIL DEAL IN WORLD HISTORY! At my direction, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, working closely with Highly Respected Interim President of Venezuela, Delcy Rodriguez, and, through a partnership with private business, have secured majority U.S. control of more than 65 BILLION BARRELS of proven Oil Reserves in Venezuela, at no cost to the American Taxpayer. This Historic Transaction MORE THAN DOUBLES American Oil Reserves, greatly increases our Oil Supply, and will substantially lower Gas Prices for all Americans, long into the future, while helping to continue to set Venezuela on a course toward Tremendous Success and Great Prosperity. This Transaction will greatly strengthen the already growing relationship between Venezuela and the United States! Thank you for your attention to this groundbreaking matter. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! President DONALD J. TRUMP
Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela's interim president, led the Council of Ministers two months after the June 24 earthquakes. #Venezuela #DelcyRodríguez #teleSUR
FWD from VTV Canal8: #InVideo | At the Miraflores Palace in Caracas, the President of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, Delcy Rodríguez, led a Council of Ministers meeting to evaluate issues of national interest following the earthquakes recorded on June 24.
Venezuela's interim president, Delcy Rodríguez, inspected the temporary camp at the Poliedro de Caracas, which includes medical clinics, psychological support, and a dining hall for 300 people. #Venezuela #teleSUR #Aug25
Venezuela's interim president, Delcy Rodríguez, announced measures regarding security, institutional integrity, and national coexistence: she will eliminate urban police checkpoints and cooperate with the International Red Cross to inspect detention centers. #teleSUR #Venezuela #Security
Delcy Rodríguez: New Citizen Security Strategy Will Prioritize Patrols Over Checkpoints During her address to the nation this Monday, two months after the double earthquake, Venezuela's Interim President, Delcy Rodríguez, announced the elimination of police checkpoints in cities. She indicated that this measure is part of a new citizen security strategy that replaces fixed checkpoints with dynamic patrols.
#Live | Statements from the interim president of Venezuela, Delcy Rodríguez
Venezuela and Barbados signed a joint declaration in Caracas.
Delcy Rodríguez (interim president of Venezuela) and Mia Mottley (prime minister of Barbados) signed the document at Miraflores Palace. #Venezuela #Barbados #teleSUR #Aug24
Delcy Rodríguez oversees road cleanup and clearance after Tropical Wave 40 Venezuela's interim president, Delcy Rodríguez, oversaw the cleanup efforts in several states following the recent weather events. She thanked the workers, municipalities, Civil Protection, and firefighters for their work and urged people not to throw trash into storm drains. Read more:
Diosdado Cabello Confirms Release of 131 People and Addresses Progress of Dialogues in the Country The Sectoral Vice President for Politics, Citizen Security, and Peace, Captain Diosdado Cabello Rondón, reported this Wednesday on the release of 131 people by the Venezuelan State. “The Venezuelan State, through the justice system, released 131 people this week. Immediately, NGOs came out saying that it's not 131, but 80, because they are their clients. The others are those who don't pay them or didn't pay them,” he asserted. He also emphasized that progress is being made as it should be; “Dialogue doesn’t mean giving up for either side; it doesn’t mean surrender for either side (...) And that means Venezuela is entering a different dynamic. Hopefully, we will have an opposition, or several oppositions, with whom we can always talk and who make proposals for the country.”
Venezuela's interim president, Delcy Rodríguez, led the distribution of 478 loans to entrepreneurs and businesses in the formal sector in La Guaira, aiming to reactivate the economy after the June 24 earthquakes. #Venezuela #teleSUR #LatinAmerica #Aug19
Interim President Delcy Rodríguez emphasized that Venezuela has experienced 21 consecutive quarters of economic growth. #teleSUR #Venezuela #DelcyRodríguez #Economy
Venezuela abandons Nicolás Maduro to fate in US jail
Delcy Rodríguez pays tribute to Fidel Castro on his centenary The acting president of Venezuela stated that the historical leader of the Cuban Revolution is one of "those leaders who transcend time and remain in the collective memory." The tribute was held at the National Pantheon in Caracas. What does Fidel Castro's legacy represent for the peoples of Latin America? #Venezuela #Cuba #FidelCastro #LatinAmerica #teleSUR #Aug13
President Delcy Rodríguez praised Fidel Castro's legacy on the centenary of his birth. The acting president of Venezuela described the historical leader of the Cuban Revolution, Fidel Castro, as an "upright leader" for the free peoples of the world. #Venezuela #Cuba #FidelCastro #teleSUR #Earthquake #Aug13 #seismic #WeStandWithColombia
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.