Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
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The Strait Of Hormuz Is Caught In The Crossfire Again. Traffic Has Plummeted By Two Thirds. • Tankers are increasingly avoiding the Strait of Hormuz since hostilities between the U.S. and Iran resumed, according to new data.
Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to its lowest level since May. #AlArabiya_Business
Shipping data: Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains very limited amid renewed US-Iranian strikes
With the return of the blockade on Iranian ports, shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has sharply declined, raising concerns about energy supplies.
Maritime traffic is falling, oil is rising... The global economy hangs on the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
Live: US blockade on Iran's ports to begin at 4 p.m. as Strait of Hormuz traffic ticks along
Live: Vessel traffic through Strait of Hormuz climbs slightly ahead of Trump blockade deadline
Live: Strait of Hormuz crossings plummet again
Live: Strait of Hormuz traffic plummets as just 10 ships cross yesterday
No surprise here; we are seeing a slowdown in Hormuz traffic @Kpler. 1 -10 July, when post-MoU traffic was still clearing through the Strait, confirmed crossings across all commodity-carrying vessel classes fell from 296, or 30 per day, to 32 over 11 -13 July, or 11 per day. On 12 to 13 July, Kpler recorded only 12 confirmed crossings as of the evening of 13 July. #OOTT
Bloomberg reported that shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz had almost ground to a halt on Tuesday morning, citing ship tracking data.
Live: CENTCOM to resume Strait of Hormuz blockade today
Shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz slows to its lowest level in two months
Iran fires at two ships on the Strait of Hormuz as traffic sinks to lowest in 5 weeks
Only six ships transited the Strait of Hormuz yesterday, as shipping traffic plummeted to its lowest level in weeks due to the recent escalation.
STRAIT OF HORMUZ TRAFFIC TURNS DEFENSIVE • • Confirmed crossings fell around 52% week on week between 10–12 July, according to MarineTraffic. • • Vessels increasingly favoured Iranian and Dark routes, while IMO and Omani corridor activity dropped to minimal levels. • • Despite no confirmed attacks since 27 June, US–Iran tensions and IRGC warnings continue to drive cautious routing.
Reuters, citing shipping data: The number of oil tankers crossing the Strait of Hormuz fell yesterday to its lowest level in two months.
Strait of Hormuz Ship Traffic Falls to Lowest Point in a Month After Strikes
Live: Strait of Hormuz Ship Traffic Falls to Lowest Point in a Month After Strikes
Shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz slows to its lowest level in several weeks
Strait of Hormuz traffic turns defensive • • Vessel activity through the Strait of Hormuz declined sharply over 10–12 July, with confirmed crossings down by around 52% week on week, according to #MarineTraffic data. • • Traffic also shifted back toward more defensive routing patterns. Use of the Iranian and Dark routes increased, while activity on the IMO and Omani corridors fell to minimal levels, indicating that operators continue to prioritise perceived security over more direct transit options. • • Although no new IMO-confirmed physical attacks have been reported since 27 June, renewed US-Iran tensions and recent IRGC warnings continue to weigh on confidence, reinforcing a cautious approach to commercial shipping through the region.
Live: Traffic through strait of Hormuz plummets after US-Iran strikes
Live: Strait of Hormuz traffic slows to five-week low
Live: Strait of Hormuz traffic slows to multi-week low
Live: Hormuz traffic slows to multi-week low
Urgent: Explosions in the Strait of Hormuz
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 15, 2026, however, will not be considered.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.