Next leader out of power before 2027?
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This hub tracks 27 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
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I must say that is a bit of a strange and abrupt statement from Netanyahu today regarding regional tensions...
Netanyahu: In these days, the ranks of the people must close and stand shoulder to shoulder. We have already proven: When we stand together - we achieve great achievements. On the eve of Purim, we will stand together - and with God's help we will ensure the eternity of Israel
NETANYAHU: ISRAEL'S ALLIANCE WITH US HAS NEVER BEEN STRONGER
“The Labor Party is skating by without an effective challenger.” @ConnellyAL examines how One Nation, a surging populist-right outfit, is upending Australia’s politics
MEXICO “IS AT PEACE, IS CALM,” PRESIDENT SHEINBAUM SAYS
MEXICO “IS AT PEACE, IS CALM,” PRESIDENT SHEINBAUM SAYS
MEXICO “IS AT PEACE, IS CALM,” PRESIDENT SHEINBAUM SAYS
MEXICAN PRESIDENT SHEINBAUM WE WOKE UP WITHOUT ANY ROADBLOCKS
MEXICAN PRESIDENT SHEINBAUM: WE WOKE UP WITHOUT ANY ROADBLOCKS
RT @visegrad24: Japan’s conservative PM Sanae Takaichi: “Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is still ongoing. It is important to bring Russia’s…
Far-right files no-confidence motion against French PM over new energy law
Kim Jong Un has been re-elected as General Secretary of the Workers' Party of Korea.
North Korea's ruling Workers' Party re-elected Kim Jong Un as general secretary in a move seen as underlining his absolute grip on power and greater confidence over domestic stability
North Korea’s Kim Jong Un re-elected as chief of Workers’ Party
North Korea's ruling party re-elects Kim Jong Un general secretary
Kim Jong Un re-elected leader of North Korea's ruling party in rare meeting
North Korea's ruling Workers Party re-elected leader Kim Jong Un as general secretary at the fourth day of its party congress. What an absolute shocker...sure it was closely contested.
North Korea's ruling party re-elects Kim Jong Un general secretary for bolstering nuclear power
KIM JONG-UN REELECTED AS NORTH KOREA’S RULING PARTY LEADER – YONHAP.
[Replying to @Osint613] @Osint613 94% chance Kim Jong Un remains in power through 2026. >
NORTH KOREA’S RULING WORKERS’ PARTY RE-ELECTS KIM JONG UN AS GENERAL SECRETARY – KCNA.
North Korea ruling Workers Party re-elects Kim Jong Un as general secretary - KCNA I did not see that coming at all
NORTH KOREA'S RULING WORKERS' PARTY RE-ELECTS KIM JONG UN AS GENERAL SECRETARY - REPORTS
DPRK'S RULING WORKERS' PARTY RE-ELECTS KIM JONG UN AS GENERAL SECRETARY - KCNA
MEXICAN PRESIDENT SHEINBAUM: WE ARE COORDINATING WITH GOVERNORS IN ALL STATES; WE MUST STAY INFORMED AND REMAIN
MEXICAN PRESIDENT SHEINBAUM: WE ARE COORDINATING WITH GOVERNORS IN ALL STATES; WE MUST STAY INFORMED AND REMAIN CALM
MEXICAN PRESIDENT SHEINBAUM: WE ARE COORDINATING WITH GOVERNORS IN ALL STATES; WE MUST STAY INFORMED AND REMAIN CALM
Venezuelans are giving Delcy Rodríguez, a central figure in a socialist regime that destroyed the country’s economy, the benefit of the doubt as she tries to revive it again
FRENCH PRESIDENT EMMANUEL MACRON APPOINTED A NEW BUDGET MINISTER ON SUNDAY IN PART OF A RESHUFFLE OF SENIOR POSITIONS IN HIS ADMINISTRATION THAT HAS DRAWN CRITICISM FROM OPPOSITION PARTIES.
FRENCH PRESIDENT EMMANUEL MACRON APPOINTED A NEW BUDGET MINISTER ON SUNDAY IN PART OF A RESHUFFLE OF SENIOR POSITIONS IN HIS ADMINISTRATION THAT HAS DRAWN CRITICISM FROM OPPOSITION PARTIES.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.