Next leader out of power before 2027?Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
ResolvedOutcome: No$280Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
16 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOVisegrád 2499%match100¢
Kim Jong Un has been re-elected as General Secretary of the Workers' Party of Korea.
NOReuters99%match100¢
North Korea's ruling Workers' Party re-elected Kim Jong Un as general secretary in a move seen as underlining his absolute grip on power and greater confidence over domestic stability
NOAl Jazeera English99%match100¢
North Korea’s Kim Jong Un re-elected as chief of Workers’ Party
NOReuters99%match100¢
North Korea's ruling party re-elects Kim Jong Un general secretary
NOBBC News (World)99%match100¢
Kim Jong Un re-elected leader of North Korea's ruling party in rare meeting
NOWarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧99%match100¢
North Korea's ruling Workers Party re-elected leader Kim Jong Un as general secretary at the fourth day of its party congress. What an absolute shocker...sure it was closely contested.
NOReuters99%match100¢
North Korea's ruling party re-elects Kim Jong Un general secretary for bolstering nuclear power
NOFirst Squawk99%match100¢
KIM JONG-UN REELECTED AS NORTH KOREA’S RULING PARTY LEADER – YONHAP.
NOPolymarket99%match100¢
[Replying to @Osint613] @Osint613 94% chance Kim Jong Un remains in power through 2026. >
NOFirst Squawk99%match100¢
NORTH KOREA’S RULING WORKERS’ PARTY RE-ELECTS KIM JONG UN AS GENERAL SECRETARY – KCNA.
NOFinancialJuice99%match100¢
North Korea ruling Workers Party re-elects Kim Jong Un as general secretary - KCNA I did not see that coming at all
NOCGTN Europe99%match100¢
NORTH KOREA'S RULING WORKERS' PARTY RE-ELECTS KIM JONG UN AS GENERAL SECRETARY - REPORTS
NOCGTN America99%match100¢
DPRK'S RULING WORKERS' PARTY RE-ELECTS KIM JONG UN AS GENERAL SECRETARY - KCNA
NOReuters99%match100¢
North Korea holds third day of ruling party congress, Kim outlines five-year goals
NOThe Economist99%match100¢
Although he is still in his 40s, Kim Jong Un seems to be thinking about how to ensure his dynasty retains power after he is gone. South Korean officials believe the dictator’s daughter is his most likely successor: Illustration: Lan Truong
NOThe Economist99%match100¢
Although he is still in his 40s, Kim Jong Un seems to be thinking about how to ensure his dynasty retains power after he is gone. South Korean officials believe the dictator’s daughter is his most likely successor
Where does the news lean?
0YES16NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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See all outcomes for Next leader out of power before 2027? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.