Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
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BREAKING: Israel declares state of emergency amid Iran strikes LIVE updates:
Israel says it has attacked Iran, declares state of emergency
Israel launches what it calls a "preemptive strike" against Iran, according to defense minister, as a state of emergency is declared across country.
Israel launched a "preemptive" strike against Iran on Saturday morning "to remove threats to Israel," the Israeli Defense Ministry said in a statement. Sirens were sounded across Israel to warn the public to prepare for the possibility of an Iranian missile attack on Israel.
LIVE: Israel launches attacks on Iran, multiple explosions heard in Tehran
BREAKING: Israel launches "pre-emptive strike" on Iran, defense minister says; explosions in Tehran
Israel bombs dozens of targets in Iran
Israel declares state of emergency throughout the country as strikes begin on Iran
Israel says it has launched an attack against Iran, as explosions reported in Tehran
Breaking News: Israel said it launched a strike against Iran, and residents reported explosions in Tehran.
Breaking news: Israel strikes Iran
CNN: Breaking news… Israel has launched what it calls a preemptive strike on Iran
BREAKING: Israel declares state of emergency throughout the country as strikes begin on Iran
BREAKING: Israel bombs dozens of targets in Iran
Israel said it launched a preventative attack on Iran as explosions were reported in Tehran
BREAKING: Israel is currently striking Iran’s capital, Tehran.
Israel said it launched a preventative attack on Iran as explosions were reported in Tehran
INTEL: ISRAEL LAUNCHED PREVENTIVE ATTACK ON IRAN
Israel is confirmed to have launched “preemptive strikes” this morning against Iran.
BREAKING: Israel officially launches attack on Iran.
The reports suggesting the US does not have enough munitions for a protracted campaign against Iran in theatre fundamentally ignore that Israel will probably in the event of strikes join in, they showed last June to be able to last more than 12 day of constant strikes on Iran.
Iranian cyberattacks on Israel continued throughout the weeks’ long internet blackout.
Israel Reviews Wartime Hospital Readiness As Iran Retaliation Fears Mount
Israel’s intelligence chief accused Iran of still seeking to develop nuclear weapons and use them against the Jewish state, views that appear to raise the prospect of further conflict
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.