How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
Resolved5as of
This hub tracks 5 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
The trio of dissenters favoring a hike is the most the central bank has seen since September 2016. • • “Weâ€re reading this as a Committee with vocal hawks,â€� said Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. rates at BMO Capital Markets. • • Read more:
U.S. Fed freezes interest rates for the fifth consecutive time… First time in 10 years that three FOMC members express dissenting opinions
A divided Fed votes to hold rates steady
Market moves and 'a good family fight:' top takeaways from the July Fed meeting
The decision to hold interest rates steady points to Kevin Warsh's growing indirect influence on the Federal Open Market Committee, despite a significant faction, including three dissenting members, according to Bloomberg. Whether this means rates will remain unchanged for the rest of the year, or whether the difficult decision has been postponed until September, will depend on inflation and jobs data in the coming period. Three Federal Reserve members voted against holding rates steady: Beth Hammack, president of the Cleveland Fed; Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed; and Lori Logan, president of the Dallas Fed. They preferred a quarter-point rate hike instead. #Arabic_Business
The decision to hold interest rates steady points to Kevin Warsh's growing indirect influence on the Federal Open Market Committee, despite a significant faction, including three dissenting members, according to Bloomberg. Whether this means rates will remain unchanged for the rest of the year, or whether the difficult decision has been postponed until September, will depend on inflation and jobs data in the coming period. Three Federal Reserve members voted against holding rates steady: Beth Hammack, president of the Cleveland Fed; Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed; and Lori Logan, president of the Dallas Fed. They preferred a quarter-point rate hike instead. #Arabic_Business
The decision to hold interest rates steady points to Kevin Warsh's growing indirect influence on the Federal Open Market Committee, despite a significant faction, including three dissenting members, according to Bloomberg. Whether this means rates will remain unchanged for the rest of the year, or whether the difficult decision has been postponed until September, will depend on inflation and jobs data in the coming period. Three Federal Reserve members voted against holding rates steady: Beth Hammack, president of the Cleveland Fed; Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed; and Lori Logan, president of the Dallas Fed. They preferred a quarter-point rate hike instead. #Arabic_Business
The decision to hold interest rates steady points to Kevin Warsh's growing indirect influence on the Federal Open Market Committee, despite a significant faction, including three dissenting members, according to Bloomberg. Whether this means rates will remain unchanged for the rest of the year, or whether the difficult decision has been postponed until September, will depend on inflation and jobs data in the coming period. Three Federal Reserve members voted against holding rates steady: Beth Hammack, president of the Cleveland Fed; Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed; and Lori Logan, president of the Dallas Fed. They preferred a quarter-point rate hike instead. #Arabic_Business
Fed leaves rates unchanged as 3 policymakers dissent in favor of hike
Fed leaves rates unchanged as 3 policymakers dissent in favor of hike
Fed leaves rates unchanged as 3 policymakers dissent in favor of hike
Fed leaves rates unchanged as 3 policymakers dissent in favor of hike
Fed leaves rates unchanged as 3 policymakers dissent in favor of hike
The three dissenters in today's Fed decision: Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, Minneapolis Fed President @neelkashkari, and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. All wanted interest rates 0.25% higher.
The three dissenters in today's Fed decision: Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, Minneapolis Fed President @neelkashkari, and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. All wanted interest rates 0.25% higher.
The three dissenters in today's Fed decision: Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, Minneapolis Fed President @neelkashkari, and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. All wanted interest rates 0.25% higher.
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, with three dissenting votes highlighting growing internal divisions.
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, with three dissenting votes highlighting growing internal divisions.
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, with three dissenting votes highlighting growing internal divisions.
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, with three dissenting votes highlighting growing internal divisions.
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, with three dissenting votes highlighting growing internal divisions.
Fed, in a nail-biter July meeting, decides to leave rates unchanged
Live: Hammack, Kashkari and Logan are no stranger to dissenting. Back in April, the same three policymakers voted against the policy statement that the Fed published that suggested that a rate cut was more likely than anything else. They wanted the Fed to remove this so-called easing bias.
Chairman Warsh states "Three members oppose keeping the price unchanged" ahead of FOMC press conference
Live: Taken on its own, today’s decision could be what Fed-watchers call a “hawkish hold” — policymakers left rates unchanged, but the three dissents could signal rate increases are likely before long. But because Warsh is still so new, and because he has said so little about his approach to policy, we don’t yet know how to interpret these signals.
Live: Taken on its own, today’s decision could be what Fed-watchers call a “hawkish hold” — policymakers left rates unchanged, but the three dissents could signal rate increases are likely before long. But because Warsh is still so new, and because he has said so little about his approach to policy, we don’t yet know how to interpret these signals.
Live: Taken on its own, today’s decision could be what Fed-watchers call a “hawkish hold” — policymakers left rates unchanged, but the three dissents could signal rate increases are likely before long. But because Warsh is still so new, and because he has said so little about his approach to policy, we don’t yet know how to interpret these signals.
Live: Taken on its own, today’s decision could be what Fed-watchers call a “hawkish hold” — policymakers left rates unchanged, but the three dissents could signal rate increases are likely before long. But because Warsh is still so new, and because he has said so little about his approach to policy, we don’t yet know how to interpret these signals.
What is this event about?
The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.