Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

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The latest polls in Brazil - In fact, Bolsonaro won by a margin of two percentage points and obtained 47 percent
The latest polls in Brazil - In fact, Bolsonaro won by a margin of two percentage points and obtained 47 percent
Lula and Bolsonaro Jr. advance to the second round of the Brazilian presidential election After 98.64% of the ballots were counted, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro received 47.27% of the vote, while incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva received 44.88%. Neither candidate managed to overcome the 50% threshold required to win. The second round of the presidential election will be held on October 25. Flavio Bolsonaro is the son of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro. [in reply to: Flavio Bolsonaro has become a candidate for President of Brazil The Liberal Party has approved the candidacy of Flavio Bolsonaro, the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro. In the upcoming elections, he intends to compete with the current head of state, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Details - here ]
Lula and Bolsonaro Jr. advance to the second round of the Brazilian presidential election After 98.64% of the ballots were counted, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro received 47.27% of the vote, while incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva received 44.88%. Neither candidate managed to overcome the 50% threshold required to win. The second round of the presidential election will be held on October 25. Flavio Bolsonaro is the son of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro. [in reply to: Flavio Bolsonaro has become a candidate for President of Brazil The Liberal Party has approved the candidacy of Flavio Bolsonaro, the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro. In the upcoming elections, he intends to compete with the current head of state, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Details - here ]
Brazilian President Lula da Silva comments on the right-wing candidate's lead over him in the first round of elections
Brazilian President Lula da Silva comments on the right-wing candidate's lead over him in the first round of elections
Brazilian President Lula da Silva comments on the right-wing candidate's lead over him in the first round of elections
Brazilian President Lula da Silva comments on the right-wing candidate's lead over him in the first round of elections
Elections in Brazil: The Bolsonaro clan triumphs – Lula faces a runoff election
Lula da Silva lost in the first round of the presidential elections in Brazil Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, beat the incumbent leader of the country, Lula da Silva. Bolsonaro won 47.03% of the vote, and da Silva - 45.16%. Now they will go to the second round of the elections on October 25. On October 4, general elections began in Brazil, in which citizens of the country elect vice president, governors, as well as members of the National Congress and local parliaments. The main intrigue of the campaign was the fight for the presidential seat between da Silva and Bolsonaro. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Lula da Silva lost in the first round of the presidential elections in Brazil Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, beat the incumbent leader of the country, Lula da Silva. Bolsonaro won 47.03% of the vote, and da Silva - 45.16%. Now they will go to the second round of the elections on October 25. On October 4, general elections began in Brazil, in which citizens of the country elect vice president, governors, as well as members of the National Congress and local parliaments. The main intrigue of the campaign was the fight for the presidential seat between da Silva and Bolsonaro. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Lula da Silva lost in the first round of the presidential elections in Brazil Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, beat the incumbent leader of the country, Lula da Silva. Bolsonaro won 47.03% of the vote, and da Silva - 45.16%. Now they will go to the second round of the elections on October 25. On October 4, general elections began in Brazil, in which citizens of the country elect vice president, governors, as well as members of the National Congress and local parliaments. The main intrigue of the campaign was the fight for the presidential seat between da Silva and Bolsonaro. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Brazil presidential election heads to runoff; pro-American right-winger and incumbent left-winger in a close race; economy and security measures to be key issues.
Brazil presidential election heads to runoff; pro-American right-winger and incumbent left-winger in a close race; economy and security measures to be key issues.
Brazil presidential election heads to runoff; pro-American right-winger and incumbent left-winger in a close race; economy and security measures to be key issues.
Brazil's electoral body announced that right-wing candidate Flavio Bolsonaro was leading in the first round of the presidential election with 47.45 percent of the vote and will face leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in the second round. With just over 97 percent of the vote counted, Bolsonaro performed better than most private polls had predicted, while leftist Lula won 44.66 percent of the vote. The two front-runners advanced to the second round on October 25, beating out 10 of the 12 other candidates in the race. The election campaign focused on concerns about rising living costs, corruption and insecurity in Brazilians' daily lives.
Brazil's electoral body announced that right-wing candidate Flavio Bolsonaro was leading in the first round of the presidential election with 47.45 percent of the vote and will face leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in the second round. With just over 97 percent of the vote counted, Bolsonaro performed better than most private polls had predicted, while leftist Lula won 44.66 percent of the vote. The two front-runners advanced to the second round on October 25, beating out 10 of the 12 other candidates in the race. The election campaign focused on concerns about rising living costs, corruption and insecurity in Brazilians' daily lives.
Brazil's electoral body announced that right-wing candidate Flavio Bolsonaro was leading in the first round of the presidential election with 47.45 percent of the vote and will face leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in the second round. With just over 97 percent of the vote counted, Bolsonaro performed better than most private polls had predicted, while leftist Lula won 44.66 percent of the vote. The two front-runners advanced to the second round on October 25, beating out 10 of the 12 other candidates in the race. The election campaign focused on concerns about rising living costs, corruption and insecurity in Brazilians' daily lives.
Brazil's incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is losing to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the presidential election, according to data from the country's Supreme Electoral Court (TSE). After results from 98.65% of polling stations have been processed, Bolsonaro has 47.27% of the vote, while Lula has 44.88%. More than 55 million people voted for Bolsonaro, while about 53 million voted for the incumbent president. The gap is just over 2 million votes. The TSE has already noted that a runoff is mathematically determined. It will take place on October 25. To win in the first round, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the valid votes, excluding blank and invalid ballots. In this case, a runoff will not be held.
Brazil's incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is losing to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the presidential election, according to data from the country's Supreme Electoral Court (TSE). After results from 98.65% of polling stations have been processed, Bolsonaro has 47.27% of the vote, while Lula has 44.88%. More than 55 million people voted for Bolsonaro, while about 53 million voted for the incumbent president. The gap is just over 2 million votes. The TSE has already noted that a runoff is mathematically determined. It will take place on October 25. To win in the first round, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the valid votes, excluding blank and invalid ballots. In this case, a runoff will not be held.
Brazil's incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is losing to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the presidential election, according to data from the country's Supreme Electoral Court (TSE). After results from 98.65% of polling stations have been processed, Bolsonaro has 47.27% of the vote, while Lula has 44.88%. More than 55 million people voted for Bolsonaro, while about 53 million voted for the incumbent president. The gap is just over 2 million votes. The TSE has already noted that a runoff is mathematically determined. It will take place on October 25. To win in the first round, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the valid votes, excluding blank and invalid ballots. In this case, a runoff will not be held.
Brazil's incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is losing to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the presidential election, according to data from the country's Supreme Electoral Court (TSE). After results from 98.65% of polling stations have been processed, Bolsonaro has 47.27% of the vote, while Lula has 44.88%. More than 55 million people voted for Bolsonaro, while about 53 million voted for the incumbent president. The gap is just over 2 million votes. The TSE has already noted that a runoff is mathematically determined. It will take place on October 25. To win in the first round, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the valid votes, excluding blank and invalid ballots. In this case, a runoff will not be held. RBK Channel on "Max"
Brazil's incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is losing to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the presidential election, according to data from the country's Supreme Electoral Court (TSE). After results from 98.65% of polling stations have been processed, Bolsonaro has 47.27% of the vote, while Lula has 44.88%. More than 55 million people voted for Bolsonaro, while about 53 million voted for the incumbent president. The gap is just over 2 million votes. The TSE has already noted that a runoff is mathematically determined. It will take place on October 25. To win in the first round, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the valid votes, excluding blank and invalid ballots. In this case, a runoff will not be held. RBK Channel on "Max"
Brazil's incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is losing to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the presidential election, according to data from the country's Supreme Electoral Court (TSE). After results from 98.65% of polling stations have been processed, Bolsonaro has 47.27% of the vote, while Lula has 44.88%. More than 55 million people voted for Bolsonaro, while about 53 million voted for the incumbent president. The gap is just over 2 million votes. The TSE has already noted that a runoff is mathematically determined. It will take place on October 25. To win in the first round, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the valid votes, excluding blank and invalid ballots. In this case, a runoff will not be held. RBK Channel on "Max"
With 60% of the votes counted, Flavio Bolsonaro leads Lula da Silva in the Brazilian elections ====== Preliminary results of the Brazilian presidential elections show candidate Flavio Bolsonaro in the lead According to the vote count, Bolsonaro received 48.47%, while President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva received 43.49% after 60% of the votes were declared Leftist President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (80 years old) is seeking a fourth term as President of Brazil Senator Flavio Bolsonaro (45 years old), son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, hopes to bring his father's right-wing movement back to power
Bolsonaro remains in the lead in Brazil's presidential election With 47.26% of the votes counted in Brazil's presidential election, Flavio Bolsonaro is leading with 50.20% of the votes, while Lula da Silva has won 41.63%. @TasnimNews [in reply to: Preliminary results of Brazil's election With 17.2% of the votes counted, Flavio Bolsonaro has won 51.2% and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won 40.7%. @TasnimNews]
Lula da Silva 10-15%News95%match100¢
BRAZIL'S RIGHT-WING PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE BOLSONARU RECEIVES LESS THAN 50% OF THE VOTE HE NEEDED TO WIN IN THE FIRST ROUND, LULA DA SILVA COMES SECOND WITH 42.25% - 64.81% OF THE VOTES COUNTED
Lula da Silva 15%+News95%match100¢
BRAZIL'S RIGHT-WING PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE BOLSONARU RECEIVES LESS THAN 50% OF THE VOTE HE NEEDED TO WIN IN THE FIRST ROUND, LULA DA SILVA COMES SECOND WITH 42.25% - 64.81% OF THE VOTES COUNTED
Preliminary results of the Brazilian election With 17.2% of the votes counted, Flavio Bolsonaro has won 51.2% and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won 40.7%. mehrnews.com @Mehrnews
Preliminary results of the Brazilian election With 17.2% of the votes counted, Flavio Bolsonaro has won 51.2% and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won 40.7%. mehrnews.com @Mehrnews

What is this event about?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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