0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
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Market pricing makes September 30 the favorite at 16% across 6 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Mehr News Agency, a media outlet affiliated with the Islamic Propaganda Organization, reported that "since August 19, 30 illegal vessels have attempted to illegally pass through the Strait of Hormuz," but the Islamic Republic's armed forces have prevented them from passing through. According to this report, during this period, passage through the route approved by the Islamic Republic will be limited and coordinated with the payment of tolls. Mehr wrote that before the start of the war, in January 1404, more than 1,500 oil tankers and 1,700 commercial ships had passed through this route.
The state-run Mehr news agency reported that since August 21, the Islamic Republic's armed forces have prevented 30 vessels from passing through the Strait of Hormuz, and during this period, limited vessel traffic has only been allowed via routes approved by the Islamic Republic, with coordination and payment of tolls.
Mehr: 30 illegal vessels prevented from passing through the Strait of Hormuz Since August 19, 30 illegal vessels have attempted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz illegally, but have been prevented from passing by the Iranian armed forces. Based on this information, during this period, traffic will be limited to the route approved by the Islamic Republic of Iran, with coordination and payment of tolls. Also, before the start of the Ramadan War in January 1404, more than 1,500 oil tankers and 1,700 commercial ships passed through this route, which indicates a serious halt in traffic and trade in the current situation. @IRIBNEWS_COM
Live: Commodity vessel transits through Hormuz hit a three-month low
Reuters, citing Kpler: Only one cargo ship crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Monday
Shipping data shows no vessels passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday, compared to only 5 vessels on Saturday.
Shipping data shows no vessels passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday, compared to only 5 vessels last Saturday.
Ship traffic in Strait of Hormuz plummets… ‘0’ on the 16th
Ship traffic in Strait of Hormuz plummets… ‘0’ on the 16th
Reuters, citing shipping data: No vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday.
Reuters, citing shipping data: No vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday.
Reuters, citing shipping data: No vessels passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday
Reuters, citing shipping data: No vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday.
Reuters, citing shipping data: No vessels passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday
Ship tracking data from Kpler: 5 cargo ships crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday and no transits were recorded on Sunday
Kepler: No oil cargo moved through the Strait of Hormuz on Friday Shipping tracking company (Kepler) announced today that only 2 ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz yesterday and no crude oil cargo was seen among them.
GASLOG SHANGHAI, carrying Qatari LNG, was struck in the Strait of Hormuz on July 31, the 2nd hit on Qatari LNG cargo in a month. During the same window, 4 Saudi tankers struck in the Red Sea, but 22 Chinese-linked vessels crossed Bab el-Mandeb unharmed.
The UK's Maritime Trade Operations Authority announced that two tankers, one carrying natural gas and the other carrying crude oil, were attacked in the north and northeast of the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday, August 1. The regional threat level remains high and disruption to maritime navigation systems continues.
Shipping data shows that no oil tankers or liquefied natural gas carriers passed through the Strait of Hormuz on the 21st.
The New York Times, citing data from Kepler, reported that the number of ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz dropped to 12 on Monday, July 10.
The New York Times, citing data from Kepler, reported that the number of ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz dropped to 12 on Monday, July 10.
Bloomberg, citing ship tracking data: No ships have passed through the Strait of Hormuz today
09:24/ July 20
A well-informed source in the IRGC Navy said: "Currently, there is no traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, and any attempt to pass through this strait, especially by violating vessels, will be met with a response from the Iranian armed forces. As long as the hostile actions and evil deeds of the United States continue, the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed and no permits will be issued for the passage of vessels."
Polymarket traders project the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed as Trump announces another “major” combat operation. • • 2% chance of reopening by July 31 — Polymarket
05:02/ July 19
Operational Assessment: While the most important goal of the US military campaign against Iran is to reduce the IRGC's control over the Strait of Hormuz, this campaign has not only failed to achieve its goal, but has also led to the structural blockage of the Strait of Hormuz and complete Iranian control over it, such that there is no longer any such thing as 'Oman's coastal waters'. An hour ago, two oil tankers that were trying to pass through the southern route were blown up.
Iran's Revolutionary Guard declared the Strait of Hormuz closed due to the escalating US military activity in the region. The measure was taken this Saturday, July 18, after two oil tankers exploded and caught fire south of the strait, after the vessels attempted to navigate through mined waters. The military institution stated that the ships proceeded through a mined passage and alerted mariners to the danger in the area.
Ships disappear suddenly and then reappear... What exactly is happening in the Strait of Hormuz? The US war on Iran has changed the rules of navigation, and ships are now turning off their tracking devices and crossing the strait in the dark. Six tankers passed through on July 12 without any signals, after Iran attacked seven ships in seven days near Oman. #AlArabiya_Business
Ships disappear suddenly and then reappear... What exactly is happening in the Strait of Hormuz? The US war on Iran has changed the rules of navigation, and ships are now turning off their tracking devices and crossing the strait in the dark. Six tankers passed through on July 12 without any signals, after Iran attacked seven ships in seven days near Oman. #AlArabiya_Business
Strait of Hormuz traffic reaches lowest level in 3 weeks Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz fell to 8 passages on July 16, the lowest level in 3 weeks. Most of the traffic is concentrated along the Iranian route and shipping activity continues to decline. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz reaches lowest level in 3 weeks Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz decreased to 8 crossings on July 16, the lowest level in the last three weeks. Most of the traffic is concentrated along the Iranian route and shipping activity continues to decline. Mizan on social media @mizanplus
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to 0 for any date between June 26 and the specified date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No."
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF PortWatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to 0, or once complete data has been published for the specified period without such a publication. If complete data for the specified period has not been published within 28 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF PortWatch differs from alternative sources. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying except in the case of data integrity issues.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.