Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?Wang Huning
Open$12Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Wang Huning attended a reception commemorating the 65th anniversary of the signing of the Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Mutual Assistance between China and North Korea (July 16, 2026)
NONews99%match96¢
Wang Huning attended a symposium on research and consultation regarding the construction of a modern industrial system.
NONews99%match96¢
The National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) held a brainstorming session for its chairpersons. Wang Huning presided over the meeting and delivered a speech.
NONews99%match92¢+4%
Wang Huning met with representatives of cultural figures from both sides of the Taiwan Strait who were attending the Third Cross-Strait Summit on Chinese Culture.
Wang Huning met with Umrzakov, strategic development advisor to the President of Uzbekistan (March 26, 2026)
NONews99%match95¢+1%
Wang Huning met with Umrzakov, Strategic Development Advisor to the President of Uzbekistan.
NOFirst Squawk99%match92¢+4%
Senior Chinese leader Wang Huning vows to oppose interference by external forces – Xinhua.
Where does the news lean?
0YES8NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
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