Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?Li Qiang
Open$7Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES2¢
NO98¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, which heard a report on the development of free trade zones and reviewed and approved the draft revision of the "Regulations for the Implementation of the Administrative Reconsideration Law of the People's Republic of China".
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Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, which heard a report on the development of free trade zones and reviewed and approved the draft revision of the "Regulations for the Implementation of the Administrative Reconsideration Law of the People's Republic of China".
NONews99%match98¢
Li Qiang held talks with Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Khalid.
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Li Qiang chaired a symposium with economic experts and entrepreneurs.
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During his inspection tour in Sichuan, Li Qiang emphasized the need to vigorously promote the construction of new power grids and accelerate the adjustment and optimization of the energy structure to provide strong support for high-quality economic and social development.
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Li Qiang signed a State Council decree promulgating the revised "National Agricultural Census Regulations".
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Li Qiang issued important instructions on the national spring agricultural production work, emphasizing the need to ensure a stable and safe supply of grain and other important agricultural products at a high level to provide strong support for a good start to the "15th Five-Year Plan".
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CHINA'S PREMIER LI QIANG INSPECTED RARE EARTH FIRMS IN JIANGXI PROVINCE - XINHUA
Where does the news lean?
0YES8NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
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