Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
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Market pricing makes Li Xi the favorite at 7% across 9 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Ding Xuexiang attended and addressed the 2026 Annual Meeting of the China Council for International Cooperation on Environment and Development (September 30, 2026)
Live: Xi is joined by members of China’s 24-member Politburo: Cai Qi, a longtime deputy considered the most influential official in Xi’s inner circle; He Lifeng, a vice premier overseeing economic policy who recently met with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to extend the two countries’ trade truce; and Wang Yi, China’s top diplomat.
Live: Xi is joined by members of China’s 24-member Politburo: Cai Qi, a longtime deputy considered the most influential official in Xi’s inner circle; He Lifeng, a vice premier overseeing economic policy who recently met with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to extend the two countries’ trade truce; and Wang Yi, China’s top diplomat.
Ding Xuexiang attended the 2026 Global Trade in Services Summit and met with participating foreign dignitaries (September 10, 2026)
Ding Xuexiang attended the 2026 Global Trade in Services Summit and met with participating foreign dignitaries.
Ding Xuexiang attended the 2026 Global Trade in Services Summit and met with participating foreign dignitaries.
Ding Xuexiang meets with Russian President Vladimir Putin (September 3, 2026)
Ding Xuexiang will travel to Russia to attend the 11th Eastern Economic Forum and hold the 13th meeting of the China-Russia Investment Cooperation Committee, the 23rd meeting of the Energy Cooperation Committee, and the 8th China-Russia Energy Business Forum (August 31, 2026).
Wang Huning attended a reception commemorating the 65th anniversary of the signing of the Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Mutual Assistance between China and North Korea (July 16, 2026)
Wang Huning attended a symposium on research and consultation regarding the construction of a modern industrial system.
The National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) held a brainstorming session for its chairpersons. Wang Huning presided over the meeting and delivered a speech.
Wang Huning met with representatives of cultural figures from both sides of the Taiwan Strait who were attending the Third Cross-Strait Summit on Chinese Culture.
Ding Xuexiang attended and delivered a speech at the groundbreaking ceremony of the fourth phase of the Fuxing Gas Field project (April 18, 2026)
Ding Xuexiang attended and addressed the unveiling ceremony of the Turkmenistan Luban Workshop (April 18, 2026)
Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, which heard a report on the development of free trade zones and reviewed and approved the draft revision of the "Regulations for the Implementation of the Administrative Reconsideration Law of the People's Republic of China".
Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, which heard a report on the development of free trade zones and reviewed and approved the draft revision of the "Regulations for the Implementation of the Administrative Reconsideration Law of the People's Republic of China".
Ding Xuexiang attended and addressed the opening ceremony of the seminar commemorating the 20th anniversary of the China-Turkmenistan natural gas strategic cooperation (April 17, 2026).
Ding Xuexiang meets with Turkmen President Berdimuhamedov (April 17, 2026)
Cai Qi held talks with Tran Cam Tu, member of the Politburo and Permanent Secretary of the Secretariat of the Communist Party of Vietnam (April 16, 2026)
Li Qiang held talks with Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Khalid.
Li Qiang chaired a symposium with economic experts and entrepreneurs.
During his inspection tour in Sichuan, Li Qiang emphasized the need to vigorously promote the construction of new power grids and accelerate the adjustment and optimization of the energy structure to provide strong support for high-quality economic and social development.
Wang Yi speaks with Canadian Foreign Minister Anand by phone (March 26, 2026)
Wang Huning met with Umrzakov, strategic development advisor to the President of Uzbekistan (March 26, 2026)
Wang Huning met with Umrzakov, Strategic Development Advisor to the President of Uzbekistan.
Li Qiang signed a State Council decree promulgating the revised "National Agricultural Census Regulations".
Zhao Leji meets with delegation from the Mongolian People's Party (March 23, 2026)
Zhao Leji will attend the Boao Forum for Asia Annual Conference 2026 (March 23, 2026)
Li Qiang issued important instructions on the national spring agricultural production work, emphasizing the need to ensure a stable and safe supply of grain and other important agricultural products at a high level to provide strong support for a good start to the "15th Five-Year Plan".
Wang Yi speaks with British Foreign Secretary Cooper by phone (March 19, 2026)
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.