Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)Putin - Russia President
ResolvedOutcome: No$4.8Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Putin will meet with Khinshtein today The president also has an international telephone conversation scheduled
Russia jails veteran who threatened Putin with mutiny
Putin orders arrest of army rebel
The "Fatherland Defenders Cup" will be held annually starting in 2027. Putin decreed the establishment of sports competitions among veterans of combat operations and military service. Competitions will also be held among veterans involved in adaptive sports.
South Ossetian President Alan Gagloev announced his resignation and said he had accepted Russian President Vladimir Putin's offer to serve as his adviser. "I supported our historical leader, Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin, and am ready to stand by his side," Gagloev said in a video message. ⠀⠀ RBC Channel on Max RBC app for iOS and Android
On June 23, Vladimir Putin will meet with graduates of higher military educational institutions and hold a videoconference with members of the Government. The President will meet in the Kremlin with graduates of higher educational institutions of the Ministry of Defense, the Ministry of Emergency Situations, the FSB, the FSO, the Russian National Guard, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the Investigative Committee, and the Federal Penitentiary Service. The head of state will congratulate the officers, cadets, and students of the academies and wish them success in solving the important tasks of ensuring the security of the Motherland. On the same day, Vladimir Putin will hold a videoconference with members of the Government. The main topic of discussion will be the implementation of a mentoring program for graduates of medical educational institutions. More details are available on the Kremlin website.
Vladimir Putin met with South Ossetian President Alan Gagloev in the Kremlin. Following up on their recent conversation, the leaders discussed the current agenda of Russian-South Ossetian cooperation, cooperation on a wide range of issues, and prospects for expanding bilateral dialogue, including taking into account the bilateral agreement signed in Moscow on May 9.
Putin signed an order to replace the governors of two regions bordering Russia and Ukraine.
Putin: Russia needs to ensure that no one threatens it
Where does the news lean?
2YES12NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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See all outcomes for Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.