Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
ResolvedOutcome: No$210Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
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FLASH | North Korea has amended its constitution to automatically authorize a nuclear strike in the event of Kim Jong-un's assassination. (The Telegraph)
[Breaking] NIS: "Kim Jong-un Consolidates Regime... Replaces 'Supreme Leader' with Excluded Figures from Previous Generations"
North Korea's constitution amended, removing unification of the two Koreas With the current amendment, the role of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un has been significantly strengthened. The constitution establishes the head of state as the supreme authority, including direct command over nuclear forces and broader powers over government institutions.
North Korea's constitution amended, removing unification of two Koreas With the current amendment, the role of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un has been significantly strengthened. The constitution establishes the head of state as the supreme authority, including direct command over nuclear forces and broader powers over government institutions.
North Korea's constitution amended, removing 'unification of two Koreas' Amid Pyongyang's tensions with Washington and its allies, North Korea amended its constitution and officially removed all references to the reunification of the two Koreas. North Korea's updated constitution replaces previous phrases about "peaceful reunification" and "national unity" with provisions that define North Korea as a separate country. With the current amendment, the role of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un has been significantly strengthened. The North Korean constitution now designates the head of state as the supreme authority, including direct command over nuclear forces and broader powers over state institutions. According to Yonhap, the achievements of Kim Il-sung, the country's late founder, and Kim Jong-il, the father of the current North Korean leader, have also been removed from the constitution.
North Korea's constitution amended, removing 'unification of two Koreas' Amid Pyongyang's tensions with Washington and its allies, North Korea amended its constitution and officially removed all references to the reunification of the two Koreas. North Korea's updated constitution replaces previous phrases about "peaceful reunification" and "national unity" with provisions that define North Korea as a separate country. With the current amendment, the role of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un has been significantly strengthened. The North Korean constitution now designates the head of state as the supreme authority, including direct command over nuclear forces and broader powers over state institutions. According to Yonhap, the achievements of Kim Il-sung, the country's late founder, and Kim Jong-il, the father of the current North Korean leader, have also been removed from the constitution. @TasnimNews
North Korea revises constitution to drop references to unification of Korean Peninsula, names Kim head of nuclear forces
NORTH KOREA’S CONSTITUTIONAL REVISION FORMALLY DESIGNATES KIM JONG UN AS HEAD OF STATE. ...
North Korea’s constitutional revision formally designates Kim Jong Un as head of state.
North Korea’s constitutional revision formally designates Kim Jong Un as head of state.
NOReuters99%match82¢+22%
North Korea Revised Constitution Designates Leader Kim Jong UN as Head of State
NOReuters99%match82¢+22%
North Korean Leader Kim Jong UN as Chair of State Affairs Commission Has Power to Use Nuclear Forces - Revised Constitution
Where does the news lean?
2YES12NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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