Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Venezuela
Open$355Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 12% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES12¢
NO89¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The Foreign Ministry is proud of what it calls an exceptional achievement. • Colombia has announced recognition of Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights, the restoration of diplomatic relations with Israel, the relocation of its embassy, and a freeze on previous hostile measures. • Israel and Bolivia have also renewed diplomatic ties. • Relations are flourishing with Peru, Honduras, Chile, and especially with close partner Argentina. • Ecuador and Costa Rica have opened innovation offices with embassy status in Jerusalem.
Israel signed a free trade agreement with Costa Rica and has begun negotiations on a free trade agreement with Ecuador. • A direct flight route between Tel Aviv and Argentina is set to launch, with the inaugural flight scheduled for November. • And now — Venezuela has restored consular relations with Israel.
Members of the ZAKA International Division continue to assist and operate at the scenes of destruction in Venezuela, as we recall, a country that has no relations with Israel.
Where does the news lean?
9YES3NO6neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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