Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?285M

OpenVol$43KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 40% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES40¢
NO60¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

23 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOzerohedge93%match66¢-9%
Crude +95K, Exp. +1.580MM • Gasoline -2.536MM • Distillates -2.288MM • Cushing +1.176MM • Production +13kb/d to 13.843MM • • SPR drained another 3.7MM to 290MM, lowest since 1982
NOVenezuela State-Backed TV97%match59¢+2%
The US oil reserves have plummeted: inventories have fallen to 298.7 million barrels, their lowest critical level in over four decades. Since March, 116.7 million barrels have been extracted in 20 consecutive weeks, and official projections estimate that inventories could collapse to 243.4 million barrels. Share and comment: What impact will this have on energy prices? #USA #Oil #Energy #StrategicReserve #teleSUR #Aug25
YESfarsnews_agency96%match52¢-23%
Trump's oil anti-shock drops again The US strategic oil reserves fell by 3.7 million barrels for the 21st consecutive week, reaching 289.7 million barrels; the lowest level in 43 years. The reserves were created to contain oil price shocks.
NOIran's judiciary-run Mizan98%match47¢+28%
US Strategic Petroleum Reserves Drop to 289.7 Million Barrels According to the latest official report from the US Energy Information Administration and Strategic Petroleum Reserves, the composition of current reserves includes 98.7 million barrels of sweet crude oil and 191 million barrels of sour crude oil. Energy market analysts believe that the continuous decline in the volume of US strategic petroleum reserves to below 290 million barrels has greatly increased the risks of energy supply for this country in the event of unexpected geopolitical crises. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus‏
NOIran Semi-Official SNN98%match47¢+28%
US Strategic Petroleum Reserves Drop to 289.7 Million Barrels According to the latest official report from the US Energy Information Administration and Strategic Petroleum Reserves, the composition of current reserves includes 98.7 million barrels of sweet crude oil and 191 million barrels of sour crude oil. Energy market analysts believe that the continuous decline in the volume of US strategic petroleum reserves to below 290 million barrels has greatly increased the risks of energy supply for this country in the event of unexpected geopolitical crises. Get the latest news: Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
NOIran Semi-Official Tasnim98%match47¢+28%
US Strategic Petroleum Reserves Drop to 289.7 Million Barrels According to the latest official report from the US Energy Information Administration and Strategic Petroleum Reserves, the composition of current reserves includes 98.7 million barrels of sweet crude oil and 191 million barrels of sour crude oil. Energy market analysts believe that the continuous decline in the volume of US strategic petroleum reserves to below 290 million barrels has greatly increased the risks of energy supply for the country in the event of unexpected geopolitical crises. tasnimnews.ir/3679645 @Tasnimnews
YESNews96%match58¢-31%
URGENT US Strategic Petroleum Reserve falls to its lowest level since November 1982
NONews98%match40¢+50%
The US Strategic Oil Reserve fell to its lowest level since November 1982, 289.7 million barrels, at the end of the week ending August 21, according to the country's Energy Department.
YESzerohedge93%match73¢-45%
Crude +4.405MM, Exp. +200K • Gasoline +688K • Distillates -1.530MM • Cushing -1.314MM • Production +25kb/d • • SPR down another 5.3 million as record drain of the strategic reserve continues
NOalarabytv97%match23¢+161%
The US strategic petroleum reserve has fallen to its lowest level in 43 years. Stockpiles dropped to 298.7 million barrels amid the pressure of the trade war with Iran on oil markets. #AlArabyInfographic
YEStelegraph.co.uk95%match71¢-44%
US oil reserves fall to lowest level since 1982
NOIran Semi-Official Mehr91%match30¢+100%
FWD from Mehr International: Consequences of the aggression against Iran; US strategic oil reserves reach lowest level since December 1982 While global oil reserves have been under pressure due to the illegal American-Zionist aggression against Iranian soil and insecurity in the region, the US Department of Energy acknowledged in a statement that the country's strategic oil reserves had decreased to 293.4 million barrels at the end of last week (local time). According to the US Department of Energy, this amount of the country's strategic oil reserves is considered the lowest level since December 1982. mehrnews.com/x3cPXt @MehrnewsIntl
YESalarabiya_bn97%match69¢-42%
Crude oil inventories in the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve fell by about 5.3 million barrels to 293.4 million barrels last week, their lowest level since 1982. #Arabic_Business
NOalmayadeenlive98%match31¢+94%
Reuters: Crude oil inventories in the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve fell to 293.4 million barrels last week, their lowest level since 1982.
YESNews96%match69¢-42%
URGENT US Strategic Petroleum Reserve falls to its lowest level since late 1982
YESSky News Arabia98%match70¢-43%
Reuters: Crude oil inventories in the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve fell by about 5.3 million barrels to 293.4 million barrels last week, their lowest level since 1982.
YESlivesquawk95%match70¢-43%
#OOTT | Stocks Of Crude Oil In US SPR Fell By About 5.3M Bbls To 293.4M Bbls Last Week, Lowest Since 1982 - RTRS
NOIran Semi-Official Fars95%match37¢+62%
The world's oil reserves on the water are running out Statistics from energy market analysis and shipping tracking company Vertexa show that in four weeks, 175 million barrels of oil reserves on the water in the world have been reduced, and oil reserves on land have decreased by another 81 million barrels. The main factor in this situation is the 5 million barrels per day drop in exports from five key producers. Vertska says that floating oil is now declining at a faster rate than during the war with Iran, at 9 million barrels per day. @Farsna - Link [in reply to: US strategic oil reserves fall to lowest level since 1983 The US strategic crude oil reserves fell by 3 million barrels last week to 316.5 million barrels, the lowest level recorded since 1983. According to data from the US Department of Energy, these reserves now hold less than half of their maximum capacity of about 727 million barrels. The decline comes at a time when the US has authorized the release of 172 million barrels of oil from these reserves since last March in response to oil supply disruptions caused by the war with Iran The biggest factor in this decrease is the US-Israeli war against Iran. @Farsna - Link]
YESfoxbusiness97%match33¢+21%
America's emergency oil stockpile just fell to a level not seen since the Reagan era. • • The Strategic Petroleum Reserve dropped by 6.1 million barrels last week to 298.7 million, its lowest level since 1983. • • The decline came as the Trump administration continued releases authorized after the Iran war disrupted tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. The reserve held roughly 415 million barrels in mid-March.
YESnypost.com94%match34¢+18%
US oil jumps above $80 per barrel as Strategic Petroleum Reserve reaches lowest level since 1983
YESIranian Media96%match37¢+8%
The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve fell by about 6.1 million barrels last week to its lowest level in several years, at 298.7 million barrels. This is the lowest level since 1983. @iribnews
YESWalter Bloomberg97%match11¢+264%
STOCKS OF CRUDE OIL IN THE US STRATEGIC PETROLEUM RESERVE FELL BY ABOUT 6.1 MLN BARRELS TO 298.7 MLN BARRELS LAST WEEK, LOWEST SINCE 1983
YESNews96%match17¢+135%
URGENT US Strategic Petroleum Reserve falls to its lowest level since February 1983

Where does the news lean?

27YES16NO20neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.

Related markets

See all outcomes for Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.