Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd PlaceUnited Russia (ER)
ResolvedOutcome: No$8Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
32 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Putin's United Russia wins record 355 parliament seats: election chief
Live: #RUSSIA Vladimir Putin's United Russia party won at least 355 seats in the parliamentary elections held over the weekend, according to preliminary results from the Central Election Commission...
Putin's United Russia party wins record 355 parliament seats: election chief
Election commission: Kremlin party United Russia wins Duma election
Election results: United Russia receives constitutional majority
United Russia wins the State Duma elections, with three more parties guaranteed entry into parliament.
NONews97%match100¢
UNITED RUSSIA WINS A RECORD NUMBER OF SEATS IN THE STATE DUMA FOR THE HISTORY OF ITS PARTY'S PARTICIPATION IN PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS, ACCORDING TO DATA FROM THE CEC OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION
NOReuters96%match100¢
Russian Election Commission Head: Ruling United Russia Party Leads with 57.83% in Parliamentary Election - Preliminary Results
NONews94%match100¢
URGENT: United Russia wins 208 of 225 constituencies after processing 95.88% of the protocols
Live: #RUSSIA Vladimir Putin's United Russia party garnered 57.5% of the vote in yesterday's parliamentary elections in Russia, according to results released after three-quarters of the ballots had been counted...
Top news by morning According to preliminary results of the State Duma elections, United Russia retains its constitutional majority. After processing 82% of the votes, the party received 57.76% of the votes on party lists and is leading in 208 single-mandate constituencies out of 225. According to preliminary results, A Just Russia received 4.99% of the votes on the federal list and did not overcome the five percent barrier. At the same time, the party's candidates are leading in four single-mandate constituencies. Yabloko entered the Novgorod Regional Duma with a result of 6.2%. This is the only region where the party was allowed to participate in regional elections. According to The Wall Street Journal, the United States plans to impose sanctions against the International Criminal Court (ICC). In Germany, the ruling Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party, led by Friedrich Merz, did not receive seats in the regional parliament for the first time. The far-right Alternative for Germany won. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman will deliver a report at a meeting of the UN Security Council, Reuters has learned. #mainkutr
Russia's ruling United Russia party may increase its number of seats in the first parliamentary elections since the invasion.
NONews94%match100¢
DATA FROM THE CENTRAL ELECTION EC OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION: "United Russia" LEADING IN 204 SINGLE-MANDATORY CONSTITUTES OUT OF 225, THE CPRF IN SIX, SELF-NOMINATED CANDIDATORS AND "A JUST RUSSIA" IN FOUR, THE LDPR IN TWO
United Russia has tentatively retained its constitutional majority in the State Duma.
United Russia retains its constitutional majority in the State Duma.
Preliminary results of the Russian parliamentary elections; United Russia party is in the lead According to the preliminary results announced by the Russian Central Election Commission, the ruling United Russia party is in the lead in the country's parliamentary elections with 57.26 percent of the vote, followed by the Communist Party with 13.84 percent. mehrnews.com @Mehrnews
Preliminary results of the Russian parliamentary elections; United Russia party is in the lead According to the preliminary results announced by the Russian Central Election Commission, the ruling United Russia party is in the lead in the country's parliamentary elections with 57.26 percent of the vote, followed by the Communist Party with 13.84 percent. Get the latest news:
Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
FWD from Fars International and Foreign Policy: Preliminary results of the Russian parliamentary elections; the "United Russia" party is in the lead According to the preliminary results announced by the Russian Central Election Commission, the ruling party "United Russia" is in the lead in the country's parliamentary elections with 57.26 percent of the vote, followed by the Communist Party with 13.84 percent. @FarsNewsInt - link
After processing a third of the protocols, United Russia has 57.03%
The latest preliminary data published by the Russian Central Election Commission show that United Russia has secured a comfortable constitutional majority in the 9th State Duma (that is, more than 300 seats out of 450). According to party lists, after 24.20% of the protocols from polling stations have been processed, United Russia has 56.84% of the votes. This is more than 120 seats. The factions will also be able to form four more parties: the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (13.95%), the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (9.36%), New People (8.08%), and A Just Russia (5.23%). RBK app for iOS and Android
RBK channel on Max
NONews92%match100¢
UNITED RUSSIA IS CLAIMS FOR A CONSTITUTIONAL MAJORITY IN THE 9TH STATE DUMA - CEC DATA
United Russia gains 57.41% in the "elections" to the State Duma of the Russian Federation after processing 15.49% of the protocols
According to preliminary data from the Russian Central Election Commission, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF) also entered the State Duma with 13.8%, the Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) with 9.3%, the New People (Novye Ludi) with 7.92%, and the Just Russia (Spravyedlivaya Rossiya) with 5.12%. The declared turnout is 56.66%. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google
TASS: United Russia candidates are leading in 161 of 225 single-mandate constituencies in the State Duma elections after processing 20.12% of polling station protocols
In Russia, in the "elections" to the State Duma, "United Russia" received almost the same number of votes as 5 years ago - exit poll The "United Russia" party received about 49.4% of the votes in the "elections" in the multi-mandate federal district to the State Duma of the Russian Federation, compared to 49.82% in the previous elections in 2021, these are the results of the exit poll published by the All-Russian Central Election Commission (Russian: VTsIOM). According to its data, the same parties that are currently present in the parliament are also entering it, in particular, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (14.2%), the Liberal Democratic Party (10.7%). New People (9.7%), "A Just Russia" (6.6%).
...
In Russia, Vladimir Putin's party was declared the winner of the parliamentary elections after a three-day vote marked by the war in Ukraine.
Ella Pamfilova announced the first results of the Central Election Commission in the State Duma elections; 13.88% of the protocols have been processed so far. United Russia is gaining 57.54%; Communist Party of the Russian Federation – 13.67%; Liberal Democratic Party of Russia – 9.27%; New People – 7.96%; A Just Russia – 5.16%; Pensioners’ Party – 1.96%; The Greens – 0.94%; Communists of Russia – 0.89%; "Rodina" - 0.62%; Direct Democracy Party - 0.34%. To stay up to date with the latest news: Website | MAX | Telegram
++ TV, Putin's United Russia party wins elections with 49.4% ++
Live: #RUSSIA Unsurprisingly, Vladimir Putin's party, United Russia, won the parliamentary elections, the first held since the start of the war, according to exit polls.
Russia's Central Election Commission: The ruling United Russia party leads in preliminary election results with 57.54%.
NOReuters95%match100¢
Ruling United Russia Party Leads with 57.54% in Russian Election - Preliminary Results From Central Election Commission
The United Russia party is leading the election results, according to the Central Election Commission exit polls. It received more than 49% of the vote. According to the results of exit polls conducted by VTsIOM, which Kommersant has reviewed, the next in line are the lists of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (14.2%), the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (10.7%), New People (9.7%), and A Just Russia (6.6%). The remaining parties, according to the VTsIOM exit poll, did not overcome the five percent barrier. The results of INSOMAR show a similar picture. According to the institute's survey, 52.8% of respondents voted for United Russia, 14.8% for the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, 9.9% for the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, 8.6% for New People, and 5.5% for A Just Russia. Sociologists are also predicting state funding for the Pensioners' Party, which, according to polls by both pollsters, could garner more than 3% of the vote. What you need to know about the 2026 elections — read on the Kommersant website. #elections2026
United Russia will receive approximately 50% of the vote in the State Duma elections by party list. This forecast was issued a week before the start of voting by the VTsIOM Analytical Center and the Public Opinion Foundation (FOM). Sociologists and political scientists explain that the ruling party is benefiting from the support of President Vladimir Putin and the ongoing socio-political consolidation under the current conditions. The distribution of votes among the remaining participants in the election race is not predetermined, and the total number of parliamentary parties could even decrease due to the possible failure of A Just Russia, the expert admits. Subscribe to Kommersant in MAX | on Telegram
Where does the news lean?
0YES95NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.