Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

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Market pricing makes Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) the favorite at 42% across 34 tracked outcomes, as of .

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YablokoRussian Media95%match98¢
The Kaliningrad Regional Court ruled to remove the Yabloko party list from the regional legislative assembly elections. The lawsuit was filed by the local branch of the Communists of Russia. Today, the party list was removed from the Sverdlovsk legislative assembly elections following a lawsuit by the LDPR. Prior to this, Yabloko was also disqualified from participating in campaigns in several other regions and from its federal list in the State Duma elections, which will take place on September 18–20, a single voting day. RBC Channel on Max RBC app for iOS and Android
The majority of potential voters for Yabloko, which was disqualified from the State Duma elections, will either ignore the vote or support New People. This is the conclusion reached by experts interviewed by Kommersant, based on recent sociological data. New People is not surprised by these assessments. The Public Opinion Foundation recorded a decline in the ratings of three parties at once: United Russia (from 37% to 33%), the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (from 11% to 8%), and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (from 11% to 9%). New People's popularity increased from 5% to 8%. The options "I won't go to the polls" (from 10% to 16%) and "I don't know" (from 14% to 17%) showed a clear increase. According to VTsIOM, United Russia (from 34% to 36%), New People (from 8.7% to 10.4%), and the option "I wouldn't participate in the elections" (from 9.2% to 10.8%) showed a noticeable increase. The total share of supporters of non-parliamentary parties plummeted from 12.7% to 6.3%. Subscribe to Kommersant in MAX | on Telegram
United Russia (ER)News92%match100¢-1%
URGENT: United Russia has become the leading political force in Russia - Putin
YablokoRussian Media94%match99¢-1%
4,436 candidates have been registered for the State Duma elections, according to updated data following the withdrawal of the Yabloko party, reported Central Election Commission Chairperson Ella Pamfilova. The federal party lists include 329 candidates from the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, 295 from New People, 389 from United Russia, 243 from the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, and 259 from A Just Russia. The lists of the Communists of Russia also include 265 candidates, the Pensioners' Party - 254, Rodina - 295, Direct Democracy - 236, and the Greens - 251. In addition, 18,478 candidates have been registered for the elections to 39 legislative assemblies. The Supreme Court previously upheld The decision to disqualify Yabloko from the State Duma elections following a lawsuit filed by the Rodina party. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android [in reply to: There will be no second number on the federal ballot for the State Duma elections, as the Central Election Commission excluded the Yabloko party, which was in that term, after the decision of the Appellate Collegium of the Supreme Court of the Russian Federation came into force. Now there are 10 parties left on the ballot, and their numbers have not changed. Earlier, the Supreme Court upheld the decision to disqualify Yabloko from the State Duma elections following a lawsuit filed by the Rodina party. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android]
YablokoRussian Media95%match99¢-1%
The Central Election Commission removed Yabloko from the State Duma election ballot. The decision was based on the Supreme Court's position. Yabloko finished second on the ballot as a result of the July 30 draw. It was after this result that parliamentary opposition leaders began publicly condemning the party's anti-war stance, culminating in a lawsuit filed by the non-parliamentary Rodina party in the Supreme Court. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
YablokoRussian Media95%match99¢-1%
There will be no second party on the State Duma election ballot, as the Central Election Commission expelled the Yabloko party, which was in the running for the term, after the decision of the Supreme Court's Appeals Board came into force. Now there are 10 parties left on the ballot, and their numbers have not changed. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
YablokoRussian Media93%match99¢-1%
At its meeting on August 18, the Central Election Commission amended the ballot for the federal district elections to the State Duma. The Yabloko party's federal list was removed from the ballot. "Line number 2 is being excluded, but the numbering of the other lines on the ballot remains unchanged," said commission secretary Natalya Budarina. This, she said, is because the party numbers obtained by lottery are retained on the ballot. The decision was made unanimously. RBK channel on "Max" RBK app for iOS and Android
YablokoRussian Media93%match99¢-1%
The Central Election Commission has excluded Yabloko from the federal ballot for the Duma elections, leaving 10 parties on it. Earlier, the Rodina party filed a lawsuit to remove the party from the elections. The Supreme Court upheld the lawsuit. The basis for the decision was, in particular, copyright violations during the election campaign and transfers of funds to the election fund from individuals who received funding from abroad. The day before, the Supreme Court upheld the decision to remove Yabloko from the State Duma elections. More IZ RU news in MAX
YablokoNews92%match99¢-1%
The Central Electoral Commission has changed the text of the federal ballot for the State Duma elections, removing the Yabloko party from the list, a RIA Novosti correspondent reports.
YablokoNews92%match99¢-1%
Line number 2 with information about the Yabloko party is excluded from the federal ballot for the State Duma elections, the numbering of the remaining parties will not change - Central Election Commission
YablokoRussian Media94%match99¢-1%
Yabloko party founder Grigory Yavlinsky stated that the party had accomplished the main goal of its election campaign, despite being disqualified from the State Duma elections. His statement was published on the party's website. According to the politician, Yabloko managed to convey to voters a position that differs from the proposals of other campaign participants. Yavlinsky called the Supreme Court's decision to disqualify the party from the elections "unprecedented." However, Yabloko will continue to participate in the 2026 elections. 127 party candidates continue to run for the State Duma in single-mandate constituencies, and party lists have been admitted to elections to the parliaments of the Novgorod, Kaliningrad, Sverdlovsk, Tomsk, and Pskov regions. RBC channel on "Max" RBC app for iOS and Android [in reply to: The Supreme Court rejected Yabloko's appeal. The decision to disqualify the party from the elections remains in effect. Both the defendant and the plaintiff, the Rodina party, previously filed appeals against the decision. Yabloko told RBC that it will appeal to the Presidium of the Supreme Court in the near future. The hearing was attended by Vladimir Zaitsev, Chairman of the Appellate Board of the Supreme Court, his deputy Igor Zinchenko, and Judge Denis Tyutin. Rodina was represented by its representative, Alexei Novoselov; the Central Election Commission (CEC) was represented by commission representative Sergei Sakharov; Yabloko was represented by party chairman Nikolai Rybakov, its representatives, Yaroslav Shcherbakov and Vitaly Isakov, and lawyer Gadzhi Aliyev. RBK Channel on Max RBK app for iOS and Android]
Yablokointerfax.com92%match99¢-1%
The Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation will consider the issue of removing Yabloko from the ballot at its meeting on August 18 – draft agenda
YablokoRussian Media94%match99¢-1%
The Russian Central Election Commission will consider the issue of removing Yabloko from the ballot at its meeting on August 18, according to the commission's agenda. More IZ RU news in MAX
YablokoNews92%match99¢-1%
The Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation will consider the issue of removing Yabloko from the ballot at its meeting on August 18 - draft agenda
YablokoRussian Media94%match99¢-1%
The Central Election Commission will consider the issue of removing Yabloko from the ballot at its next meeting, Deputy Chairman of the Central Election Commission Nikolai Bulaev announced. "The ballots have not yet been prepared. They have just been approved, and are being adjusted. After receiving the court's decision, the Central Election Commission will be obliged to amend the ballot. I think we will have to consider this issue at the next CEC meeting in accordance with the court's decision," Bulaev told TASS. As electoral lawyer Oleg Zakharov explained to Vedomosti, if a party list is removed before the ballots are printed, the Central Election Commission will re-approve the ballot form. According to him, if Yabloko drops out, the LDPR, which is running at No. 3, will not become No. 2, since by law the number obtained in the draw is retained until the end of the election campaign. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android [in reply to: Yabloko will not participate in the State Duma elections: the decision to deregister the party's federal list has entered into force. Yabloko members plan to file a complaint with the Presidium of the Supreme Court. Yabloko's representative to the Russian Central Election Commission, Ivan Bolshakov, previously told Vedomosti that the party was preparing lawsuits to protect its business reputation against Rodina chairman Alexei Zhuravlev and other leaders of parliamentary parties who "made defamatory statements" against Yabloko. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android]
YablokoRussian Media - MOD93%match99¢-1%
The Supreme Court upheld the decision to disqualify Yabloko from the State Duma elections. The court rejected the party's appeal. According to it, the decision to disqualify Yabloko from the elections to the lower house of parliament has entered into force. On August 10, the Supreme Court upheld the administrative claim of the Rodina party and canceled the registration of Yabloko's federal list for the State Duma elections. It was established that this party conducted campaigning in violation of intellectual property laws, and funds were also deposited into its account from individuals who received money through funding from foreign states. Zvezdanews in MAX [in reply to: The Yabloko party was disqualified from the elections to the Russian State Duma. The Russian Supreme Court has upheld the Rodina party's claim. Here's the highlights: The Rodina party filed a lawsuit to deregister the federal list of candidates on Friday. Yabloko was accused of promoting LGBT* rights, extremism, inciting social discord, and violating the rules for compiling the electoral list. At the Supreme Court hearing, a Rodina representative listed materials posted on Yabloko's website and social media that violate election campaigning rules and copyright. What the Rodina representative said: Among the claims: the use of the phrase "Let there always be sunshine, let there always be mom," stills from the 1967 film "War and Peace," images of Dmitry Medvedev, Victoria Bonya, and other AI-generated materials. The party did not identify the authors of the works or cite their sources when publishing them. Also, the Yabloko website posted emblems of other parliamentary parties without the consent of the copyright holders. A number of materials in support of Yabloko were distributed by foreign agents, as well as through foreign social networks, with payment not coming from the election fund. 218 Yabloko State Duma candidates received notices of the absence of foreign assets even before the party congress, thereby violating the law at the nomination and registration stage. Yabloko's campaign expenses significantly exceed established limits for its electoral fund. Yabloko denied the accusations. * — The LGBT movement is recognized as extremist in the Russian Federation and is banned. Video not loading? Watch in MAX]
Yablokodbws.io92%match99¢-1%
Russia’s Supreme Court rejects appeal by anti-war Yabloko party against election ban
YablokoWalla Reporter95%match99¢-1%
#BREAKING Russia's Supreme Court rejects the appeal of the anti-war party Yabloko's against the ban on taking part in parliamentary elections next month
YablokoRussian Media92%match99¢-1%
The Supreme Court upheld the decision to disqualify the Yabloko party from the State Duma elections. The court rejected the Yabloko party's appeal against the decision to deregister its federal list of candidates for the State Duma elections, an Izvestia correspondent reports. Earlier, the Rodina party filed a lawsuit to disqualify the party from the elections. The Supreme Court upheld the claim. The basis for the decision was, in particular, copyright violations during the election campaign and transfers of funds to the electoral fund from individuals who received funding from abroad. More IZ RU news in MAX
YablokoReuters93%match99¢-1%
Russia’s Supreme Court Rejects Anti-War Party Yabloko’s Appeal Against Ban on Taking Part in Parliamentary Elections
YablokoNews93%match99¢-1%
The Supreme Court of the Russian Federation upheld the decision to remove the Yabloko party from the State Duma elections.
YablokoRussian Media92%match98¢
The Central Election Commission found no grounds to reverse the decision to disqualify Yabloko from the elections. This position was voiced by commission representative Sergei Sakharov in the Supreme Court, where Yabloko's complaint is being heard, an RBC correspondent reports. On August 10, the Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko from the State Duma elections following a lawsuit filed by the Rodina party. According to the lawsuit, Yabloko violated intellectual property laws during its campaigning and received funds from individuals who received funding from foreign states. The lawsuit also stated that certain materials supporting the party were distributed through foreign platforms. Yabloko Chairman Nikolai Rybakov called Rodina's claims unfounded and unsupported by evidence. On August 14, the Supreme Court accepted the party's appeal against the decision to disqualify it from the elections. RBK channel on "Max" RBK app for iOS and Android
The main domestic policy news of the week What does Vladimir Putin's first trip to the Kuril Islands mean? There is no hope for stabilizing relations with Japan anytime soon. The Supreme Court explained the removal of Yabloko. Its decision leaves questions about campaigning and the financing of election campaigns. Only a quarter of experts are confident in the preservation of the SR faction in the State Duma. RASO presented a study of the resources and strategies of parties in the September elections. United Russia explained the party's top spots on the ballots as "the will of political metaphysics." According to the results of the draw, it received first place in the elections to the legislative assemblies of a third of the regions. Governors were predicted to have improved election results. United Russia's position will be strengthened in the legislative assembly elections, but there will be difficulties in some regions. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
YablokoRussian Media93%match99¢-1%
The Supreme Court of Russia has accepted the appeal of the Yabloko party against the decision to deregister its federal list of candidates for deputy of the State Duma, the court's press service reported. Furthermore, according to RIA Novosti, the party intends to soon file a lawsuit against the Rodina party for defamation. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android [in reply to: How the Supreme Court explained the deregistration of Yabloko in the State Duma elections Vedomosti has reviewed the reasoned decision on Rodina's lawsuit. The Supreme Court concluded that Yabloko violated intellectual property laws in financing the election campaign and conducting pre-election campaigning. Transparent election financing is a necessary condition for the equality of candidates and the free formation of the will of voters, the document states. "The use by a political party, in addition to its electoral fund, of other funds that amount to more than 5% of the established maximum amount of all expenses from the electoral fund of a political party, is grounds for the cancellation of the federal list of candidates nominated by the political party," the Supreme Court decision states. Yabloko's argument that the phrases "let there always be sunshine" and "if only there was no war" are commonly used cannot be considered valid, the decision states. The Supreme Court decision also states that the law establishes a circle of persons who are prohibited from making donations to election funds. According to Rosfinmonitoring, between July 9 and August 2, 2026, donations from individuals considered "counterparties" to the Yabloko party were deposited into its account. They received funding totaling 2.8 million rubles from the US, UK, UAE, Israel, and elsewhere. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android]
YablokoRussian Media92%match99¢-1%
The Supreme Court will consider the appeal in the case of Yabloko's disqualification from the elections on August 17, the party reported. On August 10, the Supreme Court upheld Rodina's claim and canceled the registration of Yabloko's federal list for the State Duma elections. The party believes that the appeals against both decisions will be considered during a single Supreme Court meeting. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android [in reply to: How the Supreme Court explained Yabloko's cancellation of registration for the State Duma elections Vedomosti has reviewed the reasoned decision on Rodina's claim. The Supreme Court concluded that Yabloko violated intellectual property laws in financing the election campaign and conducting pre-election campaigning. Transparent election financing is a necessary condition for the equality of candidates and the free formation of the will of voters, the document states. "The use by a political party, in addition to its electoral fund, of other funds that amount to more than 5% of the established maximum amount of all expenses from the electoral fund of a political party, is grounds for the cancellation of the federal list of candidates nominated by the political party," the Supreme Court decision states. Yabloko's argument that the phrases "let there always be sunshine" and "if only there was no war" are commonly used cannot be considered valid, the decision states. The Supreme Court decision also states that the law establishes a circle of persons who are prohibited from making donations to election funds. According to Rosfinmonitoring, between July 9 and August 2, 2026, donations from individuals considered "counterparties" to the Yabloko party were deposited into its account. They received funding totaling 2.8 million rubles from the US, UK, UAE, Israel, and elsewhere. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android]
YablokoRussian Media92%match99¢-1%
The Yabloko party has appealed the removal of its list from the State Duma elections. Party lawyer Gadzhi Aliyev told Izvestia this. A hearing to consider the appeal has been scheduled for August 17, a participant in the proceedings told Izvestia. On August 10, the Russian Supreme Court upheld the Rodina party's claim and annulled the registration of Yabloko's federal list of candidates for the State Duma elections. The decision was based on identified violations of the law. Specifically, the court found a copyright violation during the election campaign. In addition, according to the court, funds were deposited into the party's campaign account from individuals who, in turn, received funding from foreign states. More IZ RU news in MAX [in reply to: The Yabloko party received a reasoned decision from the Supreme Court of the Russian Federation to cancel the registration of its federal list of candidates for the State Duma elections. The party's lawyer, Gadzhi Aliyev, told Izvestia about this. On August 10, the Supreme Court of the Russian Federation satisfied the administrative claim of the Rodina party and canceled the registration of Yabloko's federal list of candidates for the State Duma elections. Among the circumstances considered by the court were claims related to the use of intellectual property in campaign materials, as well as issues of election campaign financing. During the hearing, a representative of the Central Election Commission submitted to the court a document containing information that was presented as data on foreign funding. Yabloko representatives disputed these claims. Earlier, Yabloko chairman Nikolai Rybakov stated that the party intends to seek a reversal of the decision and continue participating in the election campaign. More IZ RU news in MAX]
YablokoRussian Media92%match99¢-1%
The Yabloko party received a reasoned decision from the Supreme Court of the Russian Federation to deregister its federal list of candidates for the State Duma elections. The party's lawyer, Gadzhi Aliyev, told Izvestia this. On August 10, the Supreme Court of the Russian Federation upheld the Rodina party's administrative claim and deregistered Yabloko's federal list of candidates for the State Duma elections. Among the circumstances considered by the court were claims related to the use of intellectual property in campaign materials, as well as campaign financing issues. During the hearing, a representative of the Central Election Commission presented the court with a document containing information that was presented as evidence of foreign funding. Representatives of Yabloko disputed these allegations. Earlier, Yabloko chairman Nikolai Rybakov stated that the party intends to seek an overturn of the decision and continue participating in the election campaign. More news from IZ RU in MAX [in reply to: The court found that Yabloko violated copyright laws during its campaigning and received money from individuals financed from abroad. The party conducted its campaigning in violation of intellectual property laws. In addition, funds were deposited into its account from individuals who themselves received funding from foreign states. Arguments that the party's campaign materials contain calls for extremist activity cannot be verified in this case. They are subject to consideration in separate proceedings upon presentation of relevant evidence. The plaintiff also stated that certain materials in support of Yabloko were distributed through foreign platforms. More IZ RU news in MAX]
YablokoRussian Media92%match99¢-1%
The Yabloko party received a reasoned decision from the Russian Supreme Court to disqualify it from the State Duma elections, a participant in the proceedings told TASS. He added that lawyers are currently reviewing the documents and will appeal the court's decision in the coming days. Kommersant's summary of how the hearing went. Subscribe to Kommersant in MAX | in Telegram [in reply to: The Yabloko party intends to appeal the decision of the Russian Supreme Court to deregister its list of candidates for the State Duma elections. This was reported on the party's Telegram channel. Those who gathered outside the building of the Supreme Soviet of the Russian Federation after the decision to disqualify Yabloko from the elections chanted "Shame!"; law enforcement officers who arrived asked the young people to disperse within a few minutes. Erdni Kagaltynov/Kommersant Subscribe to Kommersant in MAX | in Telegram]
Only a quarter of experts are confident that the Just Russia faction will remain in the State Duma. This is stated in a study of party resources and strategies in the elections conducted by the Russian Association of Public Opinion (RASO). 60% believe that Just Russia will be able to overcome the 5% barrier. Not a single expert surveyed doubted the passage of United Russia (UR), the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF), the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR), and New People (NL). According to the party lists, experts predict UR will get 95-130 mandates, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation – 30-44, NL – 20-32, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia – 15-30, and SR – 10-18. The SR campaign is almost invisible, states Mikhail Vinogradov, president of the Petersburg Politics Foundation. In his opinion, most voters are surprised that such a party exists or remains afloat. "The party's only public political statement was criticism of internet restrictions, which was quite resonant, but, so to speak, had little impact," the political scientist believes. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Only a quarter of experts are confident that the Just Russia faction will remain in the State Duma. This is stated in a study of party resources and strategies in the elections conducted by the Russian Association of Public Opinion (RASO). 60% believe that Just Russia will be able to overcome the 5% barrier. Not a single expert surveyed doubted the passage of United Russia (UR), the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF), the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR), and New People (NL). According to the party lists, experts predict UR will get 95-130 mandates, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation – 30-44, NL – 20-32, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia – 15-30, and SR – 10-18. The SR campaign is almost invisible, states Mikhail Vinogradov, president of the Petersburg Politics Foundation. In his opinion, most voters are surprised that such a party exists or remains afloat. "The party's only public political statement was criticism of internet restrictions, which was quite resonant, but, so to speak, had little impact," the political scientist believes. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android

What is this event about?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

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