Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?Scott Bessent
ResolvedOutcome: No$38.7Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
24 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOBloomberg98%match100¢
John Hurley, the Trump administration’s top sanctions official, is set to leave his post after friction with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, according to people familiar with the matter.
NOunusual_whales98%match100¢
Warren: This should be an easy one. Can you commit that Trump's Fed nominee, Kevin Warsh, will not be sued or investigated by the DOJ if he does not cut interest rates in the way Trump wants? Bessent: That's up to the president
NOBloomberg99%match100¢
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested the Senate start hearings on Trump’s pick to lead the Fed despite a vow from a key Republican to block all such nominations until an investigation targeting current chair Jerome Powell is resolved.
NOzerohedge99%match100¢
SCOOP: How Scott Bessent will be Kevin Warsh's secret weapon to get confirmed as Fed chairman
NOCNBC99%match100¢
Trump would decide whether to investigate Fed pick Warsh over refusal to cut rates: Bessent
NOBloomberg99%match100¢
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that it would be “up to the president” if he wants to sue his nominee to chair the Federal Reserve for not lowering interest rates to his liking
NOBloomberg99%match100¢
Could Warsh at the Fed and Bessent at Treasury remodel the central bank’s Role?
NOBenzinga99%match99¢+1%
[Replying to @Benzinga] > Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says President Trump remains committed to the Federal Reserve’s independence. At the same time, he argued that independence does not mean the central bank should operate without oversight. Appearing on Meet the Press, Bessent defended the Justice…
NOCGTN Europe99%match99¢+1%
US TREASURY SECRETARY BESSENT: TRUMP WILL REACH DECISION ON FED CHAIR AS SOON AS NEXT WEEK
NOFirst Squawk99%match99¢+1%
US TRSY SEC BESSENT: FED CHAIR ANNOUNCEMENT COULD BE AS EARLY AS NEXT WEEK, FOUR CANDIDATES FOR FED CHAIR
NOBloomberg99%match99¢+1%
The Senate will be “quite happy” with any one of the four “great” candidates being considered for Federal Reserve chair, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told NBC News.
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match99¢+1%
BESSENT: TRUMP DOWN TO FOUR FED CHAIR CANDIDATES Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said President Donald Trump has narrowed his list for Federal Reserve chair to four candidates: Michelle Bowman, Kevin Hassett, Kevin Warsh, and Rick Rieder. Bessent noted that Fed Chair Jerome…
NOPolymarket98%match98¢+2%
BREAKING: Kevin Hassett is once again the front-runner to be the next Fed Chair.
NOzerohedge98%match98¢+2%
Trial balloon is over Bessent Says Any Concern About Kevin Hassett at Fed Is ‘Absurd’ [Quoting @zerohedge]
> TRUMP SET TO INTERVIEW FED'S CHRISTOPHER WALLER FOR CHAIR: WSJ Bessent is smart, just looking at market reactions to trial balloons
YESzerohedge98%match4¢-100%
"What Bessent/Trump want is cheap funding – flood the short end and starve the long end of issuance. Today, the Fed announced it will be there to buy the short end." - TS Lombard but... NOT QE
NOCNBC99%match96¢+4%
Hassett likely next Fed chair, but most think Trump should nominate someone else, CNBC Fed survey shows
NOFinancialJuice98%match96¢+4%
Trump and Bessent to interview Warsh on Wednesday - FT.
NO*Walter Bloomberg98%match96¢+4%
HASSETT: I'D PUT SCOTT BESSENT TOP OF LIST FOR RUNNING FED HASSETT: BUT BESSENT DOESN'T WANT THE FED JOB
NOFirst Squawk98%match96¢+4%
HASSETT: BUT BESSENT DOESN'T WANT THE FED JOB
YESzerohedge98%match4¢-100%
*HASSETT: I'LL GO WHEREVER TRUMP TELLS ME *HASSETT: PLENTY OF ROOM FOR FED TO CUT Hassett will go to bitcoin $1MM [Quoting @zerohedge]
> *HASSETT: I'D PUT SCOTT BESSENT TOP OF LIST FOR RUNNING FED can we just merge the Fed and Treasury already
NOFinancialJuice99%match96¢+4%
WH Sr. Adviser Hassett: I'd put Bessent top of the list for running the Fed, but Bessent doesn't want the Fed job.
YESCGTN Europe98%match4¢-100%
TRUMP: WOULD MAKE SUPPORT FOR IMMEDIATELY SLASHING INTEREST RATES A LITMUS TEST IN CHOICE OF A NEW FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIR - REPORTS
YES*Walter Bloomberg98%match4¢-100%
HASSETT: BACK BESSENT'S VIEW ON FED RESERVE BANK PRESIDENTS
YESFinancialJuice98%match4¢-100%
WH Sr. Adviser Hassett: I back Bessent's view on Fed Reserve Bank presidents
Where does the news lean?
12YES24NO36neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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