Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?Howard Lutnick
ResolvedOutcome: No$3.0Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
19 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOReuters98%match100¢
U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick denied close ties to Jeffrey Epstein during a Senate hearing after bipartisan calls for his resignation over new revelations in DOJ files
NOunusual_whales99%match100¢
The odds of Howard Lutnick leaving the Trump administration are surging on Polymarket.
NOTIME98%match100¢
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed on Tuesday that he and his family visited the private island of the late convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein in 2012
NOReuters98%match100¢
Lutnick claims no relationship with Epstein amid calls to resign
NOBloomberg98%match100¢
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick minimized his relationship with Jeffrey Epstein Tuesday but acknowledged visiting him at his private island in 2012 after Epstein was a convicted sex offender
NOBreaking91198%match100¢
BREAKING: Secretary Lutnick projected to leave Trump admin, after Epstein Island revelation contradicting his previous testimony. [Quoting @Polymarket]
> BREAKING: Secretary Lutnick projected to leave Trump admin, after Epstein Island revelation contradicting his previous testimony.
NOBloomberg98%match100¢
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick minimized his relationship with Jeffrey Epstein Tuesday even as he acknowledged visiting the disgraced financier at his private island in 2012 after Epstein was a convicted sex offender.
NOCNBC98%match100¢
Trump Commerce Sec. Lutnick admits visiting Epstein island during family vacation
NOPOLITICO98%match100¢
Howard Lutnick faces bipartisan calls to resign over latest Epstein revelations
NOunusual_whales98%match100¢
BREAKING: Representative Thomas Massie has said Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick should resign due to Epstein ties.
NOunusual_whales98%match100¢
"U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and Jeffrey Epstein were in business together, Epstein files show," per CBS
NOLeading Report98%match100¢
BREAKING: Rep. Thomas Massie calls for Howard Lutnick to resign over connection to Jeffrey Epstein, per Forbes.
NOCNBC98%match100¢
Epstein files: Republican lawmaker Massie calls for Trump Commerce chief Lutnick to resign
NOunusual_whales99%match100¢
Rick Rieder’s Fed Chair nomination odds have jumped 33x in one month, on Polymarket. [Quoting @PolymarketMoney]
> $540,328 if Trump taps BlackRock's CIO as Fed Chair. Who is @HD2?
NOFinancialJuice99%match100¢
US Commerce Secretary Lutnick: New Fed Chair will bring down interest rates - Fox News Interview
NOFinancialJuice99%match100¢
US Commerce Secretary Lutnick: New Fed Chair will bring down interest rates - Fox News
YESunusual_whales98%match0¢
[Replying to @unusual_whales] Kevin Hassett, a prominent economic adviser with close ties to the Trump administration, has reportedly faced resistance from high-level figures within Trump’s inner circle regarding a possible nomination to lead the Federal Reserve. Read more: > Lutnick: "Jay Powell is too afraid to lead the greatest $30 trillion economy in the world. We should be leading with our front foot. Instead we are always leaning back as if something bad is happening. We are doing great. Nothing bad is happening."
YESPOLITICO98%match0¢
Did Trump make lowering interest rates immediately a litmus test for picking the next Fed chair? "Yes," he tells our @DashaBurns on The Conversation. Full interview:
NOFirst Squawk99%match100¢
Trump to pit Hassett against trio of Fed chair finalists-FT
Where does the news lean?
7YES20NO8neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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