Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?Rick Rieder
ResolvedOutcome: No$35.6Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
47 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESAxios99%match47¢-100%
BlackRock's Rieder takes the lead in race for Trump's Fed chair pick
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match47¢-100%
BLACKROCK'S RIEDER TAKES THE LEAD IN RACE FOR TRUMP'S FED CHAIR PICK - AXIOS
YESCGTN America99%match47¢-100%
BLACKROCK'S RIEDER TAKES THE LEAD IN RACE FOR TRUMP'S FED CHAIR PICK - AXIOS
YESPolymarket99%match60¢-100%
BREAKING: Rick Rieder is now officially projected to be the next Fed Chair.
YESunusual_whales99%match49¢-100%
JUST IN: BlackRock’s Rieder is leading Fed chair nomination, per Polymarket. [Quoting @PolymarketMoney]
> BREAKING: BLACKROCK CIO RICK RIEDER LEADS THE FED CHAIR RACE ON POLYMARKET.
YESPolymarket99%match47¢-100%
BREAKING: BLACKROCK CIO RICK RIEDER LEADS THE FED CHAIR RACE ON POLYMARKET.
YESzerohedge99%match47¢-100%
BREAKING: Blackrock CIO, Rick Reider, is now the frontrunner to be nominated as Fed Chair.
YESPolymarket99%match47¢-100%
[Replying to @Polymarket] Live odds: > BREAKING: Blackrock CIO, Rick Reider, is now the frontrunner to be nominated as Fed Chair.
YESPolymarket99%match47¢-100%
BREAKING: Blackrock CIO, Rick Reider, is now the frontrunner to be nominated as Fed Chair.
YESJoe Weisenthal99%match37¢-100%
NEW: Blackrock's Rick Reider emerging as top contender for Fed Chair, thanks to his Wall Street bona fides, Davos feedback and Trump's sense that he isn't an institutionalist. W/@nancook & @SalehaMohsin (gift link):
YESJoe Weisenthal99%match37¢-100%
Rick Rieder surges past Warsh
YESBloomberg99%match34¢-100%
Rick Rieder’s Wall Street ties and openness to changes at the Fed have bolstered his candidacy for the central bank's top job
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match34¢-100%
RICK RIEDER EMERGES AS TOP CONTENDER FOR FED CHAIR BlackRock executive Rick Rieder has surged as a leading candidate to replace Fed Chair Jay Powell, with his odds on Kalshi jumping from 3% to 37%. President Trump is expected to announce his pick soon and is widely seen as… [Quoting @DeItaone]
> BLACKROCK'S RICK RIEDER SURGES IN FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIR RACE - FT
YESFirst Squawk99%match34¢-100%
BLACKROCK’S RICK RIEDER SURGES IN FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIR RACE - FT
YESFinancialJuice99%match34¢-100%
[Replying to @financialjuice] Rieders odds on prediction site Polymarket have surged from 6% earlier this week to 34% as of Friday morning - FT > Blackrock's Rick Rieder surges in Fed chair race - FT
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match34¢-100%
BLACKROCK'S RICK RIEDER SURGES IN FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIR RACE - FT
YESFinancialJuice99%match34¢-100%
Blackrock's Rick Rieder surges in Fed chair race - FT
YESunusual_whales99%match33¢-100%
Rick Rieder’s Fed Chair nomination odds have jumped 33x in one month, on Polymarket. [Quoting @PolymarketMoney]
> $540,328 if Trump taps BlackRock's CIO as Fed Chair. Who is @HD2?
YESzerohedge99%match34¢-100%
[Replying to @zerohedge] Source > Rieder riding the Fed wave
YESunusual_whales99%match31¢-100%
The chances of BlackRock’s CIO to become the next Fed chair are increasing on Polymarket: [Quoting @PolymarketMoney]
> BlackRock is taking over the Fed. Odds BlackRock CIO Rick Rieder is nominated for Fed Chair are soaring
YESzerohedge99%match32¢-100%
Not just Blackrock: former Lehman, delightfully appropriate [Quoting @PolymarketMoney]
> BlackRock is taking over the Fed. Odds BlackRock CIO Rick Rieder is nominated for Fed Chair are soaring
YESWatcher.Guru99%match32¢-100%
JUST IN: Odds of BlackRock's Rick Rieder becoming the next Fed Chair to replace Jerome Powell hit new all-time high.
YESPolymarket99%match32¢-100%
BlackRock is taking over the Fed. Odds BlackRock CIO Rick Rieder is nominated for Fed Chair are soaring
YESAxios99%match32¢-100%
BlackRock's Rick Rieder could be Trump's next Fed chair
YESFirst Squawk99%match32¢-100%
BLACKROCK’S RICK RIEDER SEEN AS RISING CONTENDER FOR FED CHAIR – AXIOS
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match32¢-100%
BLACKROCK’S RIEDER SURGES AS FED CHAIR CONTENDER: AXIOS Traders now give BlackRock’s Rick Rieder strong odds of becoming the next Fed chair after his interview with President Trump. Rieder, BlackRock’s chief fixed-income officer, jumped from 3% to 35% on Kalshi, second only to… [Quoting @DeItaone]
> BLACKROCK'S RICK RIEDER SURGES IN FED CHAIR BETTING Rick Rieder has been climbing fast in prediction markets, now at 32% and closing the gap with frontrunner Kevin Warsh. His sharp rise in recent weeks suggests growing confidence among traders that he could emerge as Trump’s…
YESCNBC99%match30¢-100%
Rieder odds rising for Fed chair after Trump calls BlackRock executive 'very impressive'
YESReuters99%match17¢-100%
Trump heads to Davos with Fed uncertainty surging. Kevin Hassett is out; Kevin Warsh and Rick Rieder move to the front of the pack. Reuters Morning Bid explains:
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match17¢-100%
RIEDER EMERGES AS FED CHAIR CONTENDER BlackRock’s Rick Rieder is gaining momentum as a candidate for Federal Reserve chair, sources say, as President Trump weighs a nominee who may face less Senate resistance. The four-way race includes Rieder, White House adviser Kevin…
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match6¢-100%
BESSENT: TRUMP DOWN TO FOUR FED CHAIR CANDIDATES Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said President Donald Trump has narrowed his list for Federal Reserve chair to four candidates: Michelle Bowman, Kevin Hassett, Kevin Warsh, and Rick Rieder. Bessent noted that Fed Chair Jerome…
YESFirst Squawk99%match6¢-100%
BESSENT: RICK RIEDER WAS IN WITH TRUMP YESTERDAY
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match8¢-100%
RICK RIEDER IS PICKING UP Trump meets BlackRock’s Rick Rieder Thursday as a top Fed Chair contender. Rieder favors cutting rates to 3%, citing small business, housing, and labor pressures. His Kalshi odds jumped from 3% yesterday to 10% today.
YESLeading Report99%match8¢-100%
BREAKING: President Trump to interview BlackRock CIO Rick Rieder for Federal Reserve Chair.
YESWatcher.Guru99%match5¢-100%
[Replying to @WatcherGuru] > JUST IN: President Trump to interview BlackRock CIO Rick Rieder for Federal Reserve Chair.
YESWatcher.Guru99%match5¢-100%
JUST IN: President Trump to interview BlackRock CIO Rick Rieder for Federal Reserve Chair.
YESFirst Squawk99%match6¢-100%
FED CHAIR CANDIDATE RICK RIEDER SAYS FED SEAT IS INDEPENDENT, CONFIRMS INTERVIEW THIS WEEK; SAYS RATES NEED TO FALL TO 3%
YESFirst Squawk99%match6¢-100%
BLACKROCK’S RICK RIEDER SAYS FED NEEDS TO CUT INTEREST RATES TO 3%; SAYS REPORTS OF MEETING TRUMP ON FED ROLE ARE REASONABLY ACCURATE – CNBC
YESFinancialJuice99%match6¢-100%
BlackRock's Rick Rieder: Stories on meeting with Trump on the Fed role are reasonably accurate - CNBC Interview. BlackRock's Rick Rieder: The Fed has to get the interest rate down to 3%
YESCGTN America99%match3¢-100%
TRUMP TO INTERVIEW BLACKROCK'S RICK RIEDER FOR FED CHAIR ROLE- FOX BUSINESS
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match3¢-100%
FED CHAIR RACE: RIEDER INTERVIEWED President Donald Trump will interview Rick Rieder of BlackRock this week as a possible successor to Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Kalshi markets currently assign Rieder just a 4% chance of being nominated, making him a clear long shot. Trump is…
YESFirst Squawk99%match3¢-100%
TRUMP TO INTERVIEW RIEDER FOR FED CHAIR THIS WEEK - FOX BUSINESS
YESFirst Squawk99%match3¢-100%
TRUMP TO INTERVIEW RIEDER FOR FED CHAIR - FOX BUSINESS
YESCGTN Europe99%match3¢-100%
Trump to interview Rieder for Fed chair - reports
YESFinancialJuice99%match3¢-100%
Trump to interview Rieder for Fed chair - Fox Business
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match3¢-100%
TRUMP TO INTERVIEW RIEDER FOR FED CHAIR: FOX BUSINESS
NOFinancialJuice99%match95¢+5%
US Treasury Secretary Bessent: Rick Rieder has not been interviewed yet for the Fed chair job.
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match95¢+5%
BESSENT: RIEDER HAS NOT BEEN INTERVIEWED YET FOR FED CHAIR JOB [Quoting @DeItaone]
> TRUMP SAYS HE HAS “A DECISION IN MIND” FOR FED CHAIR President Trump told The New York Times that he has a choice in mind for the next Federal Reserve Chair but hasn’t discussed it with anyone yet. Kalshi markets show potential picks: Kevin Warsh (41%), Kevin Hassett (39%),…
Where does the news lean?
60YES6NO17neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
gamma-backfill
Related markets
See all outcomes for Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.