Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?Marc Sumerlin
ResolvedOutcome: No$4.3Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOBloomberg98%match100¢
Rick Rieder’s Wall Street ties and openness to changes at the Fed have bolstered his candidacy for the central bank's top job
NOunusual_whales99%match100¢
Rick Rieder’s Fed Chair nomination odds have jumped 33x in one month, on Polymarket. [Quoting @PolymarketMoney]
> $540,328 if Trump taps BlackRock's CIO as Fed Chair. Who is @HD2?
NOAxios99%match100¢
BlackRock's Rick Rieder could be Trump's next Fed chair
NOCNBC99%match100¢
Rieder odds rising for Fed chair after Trump calls BlackRock executive 'very impressive'
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match100¢
RICK RIEDER IS PICKING UP Trump meets BlackRock’s Rick Rieder Thursday as a top Fed Chair contender. Rieder favors cutting rates to 3%, citing small business, housing, and labor pressures. His Kalshi odds jumped from 3% yesterday to 10% today.
NOCGTN Europe99%match100¢
Trump to interview Rieder for Fed chair - reports
NOFinancialJuice99%match100¢
Trump to interview Rieder for Fed chair - Fox Business
Where does the news lean?
0YES7NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
gamma-backfill
Related markets
See all outcomes for Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.