Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?Larry Lindsey
ResolvedOutcome: No$6.1Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
19 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOThe Wall Street Journal99%match100¢
Trump is looking for someone to run the Fed who has credibility on Wall Street and will defer to his demands for lower rates; his candidates come up short in one way or another
NOPolymarket99%match100¢
BREAKING: Rick Rieder is now officially projected to be the next Fed Chair.
NOzerohedge98%match100¢
BREAKING: Blackrock CIO, Rick Reider, is now the frontrunner to be nominated as Fed Chair.
NOPolymarket98%match100¢
BREAKING: Blackrock CIO, Rick Reider, is now the frontrunner to be nominated as Fed Chair.
NO*Walter Bloomberg98%match100¢
RICK RIEDER EMERGES AS TOP CONTENDER FOR FED CHAIR BlackRock executive Rick Rieder has surged as a leading candidate to replace Fed Chair Jay Powell, with his odds on Kalshi jumping from 3% to 37%. President Trump is expected to announce his pick soon and is widely seen as… [Quoting @DeItaone]
> BLACKROCK'S RICK RIEDER SURGES IN FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIR RACE - FT
NOunusual_whales99%match100¢
Rick Rieder’s Fed Chair nomination odds have jumped 33x in one month, on Polymarket. [Quoting @PolymarketMoney]
> $540,328 if Trump taps BlackRock's CIO as Fed Chair. Who is @HD2?
NOPolymarket98%match100¢
BlackRock is taking over the Fed. Odds BlackRock CIO Rick Rieder is nominated for Fed Chair are soaring
NOAxios99%match100¢
BlackRock's Rick Rieder could be Trump's next Fed chair
NO*Walter Bloomberg98%match100¢
BLACKROCK’S RIEDER SURGES AS FED CHAIR CONTENDER: AXIOS Traders now give BlackRock’s Rick Rieder strong odds of becoming the next Fed chair after his interview with President Trump. Rieder, BlackRock’s chief fixed-income officer, jumped from 3% to 35% on Kalshi, second only to… [Quoting @DeItaone]
> BLACKROCK'S RICK RIEDER SURGES IN FED CHAIR BETTING Rick Rieder has been climbing fast in prediction markets, now at 32% and closing the gap with frontrunner Kevin Warsh. His sharp rise in recent weeks suggests growing confidence among traders that he could emerge as Trump’s…
NOzerohedge99%match100¢
*TRUMP, ON NEXT FED CHAIR, SAYS 2 KEVINS ARE GOOD: REUTERS
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match100¢
RICK RIEDER IS PICKING UP Trump meets BlackRock’s Rick Rieder Thursday as a top Fed Chair contender. Rieder favors cutting rates to 3%, citing small business, housing, and labor pressures. His Kalshi odds jumped from 3% yesterday to 10% today.
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match100¢
FED CHAIR RACE: RIEDER INTERVIEWED President Donald Trump will interview Rick Rieder of BlackRock this week as a possible successor to Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Kalshi markets currently assign Rieder just a 4% chance of being nominated, making him a clear long shot. Trump is…
NOFirst Squawk98%match100¢
TRUMP TO INTERVIEW RIEDER FOR FED CHAIR THIS WEEK - FOX BUSINESS
NO*Walter Bloomberg98%match100¢
*TRUMP: NEXT FED CHAIR BELIEVES IN LOW INTEREST RATES *TRUMP: MORTGAGE RATES WILL BE COMING DOWN
YESFirst Squawk99%match0¢
TRUMP SAYS NEXT FED CHAIR SHOULD CONSULT WITH HIM ON WHERE TO SET INTEREST RATES – WSJ
YESFirst Squawk98%match0¢
TRUMP TELLS WSJ NEXT FED CHAIR SHOULD CONSULT WITH HIM ON WHERE TO SET INTEREST RATES.
NOPOLITICO98%match100¢
Did Trump make immediately lowering interest rates a litmus test for picking the next Fed chair? "Yes," he tells our @DashaBurns on The Conversation. Watch the full interview:
NOPOLITICO98%match100¢
Did Trump make immediately lowering interest rates a litmus test for picking the next Fed chair? "Yes," he tells our @DashaBurns on The Conversation. Watch the full interview:
NOFirst Squawk98%match100¢
TRUMP, ASKED IF SUPPORT FOR SLASHING INTEREST RATES IS LITMUS TEST FOR FED NOMINEE, SAYS 'YES' -POLITICO
Where does the news lean?
2YES19NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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