Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?Kevin Warsh
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$59.9Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
47 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESJoe Weisenthal99%match94¢+6%
RT @PredMTrader: Kevin Warsh nomination odds down to 93% Tied for the lowest level since he was announced
YESBloomberg99%match94¢+6%
Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh has several paths toward reducing the central bank’s $6.6 trillion balance sheet but the process will be costly and lengthy, Wall Street strategists say.
YESunusual_whales99%match96¢+4%
Trump on Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh: "If our new head of the Fed, who I think is going to be great, and he's a really high-quality person, but if he does the job that he's capable, we can grow at 15%. I think more than that."
YESReuters99%match96¢+4%
Which Kevin is going to show up? Trump wants a low-rates guy at the Fed but Kevin Warsh, his pick to run the central bank, is known as an inflation hawk. Hear more on Reuters Econ World podcast
YESReuters99%match96¢+4%
Regime change at the Fed? Kevin Warsh wants to overhaul the central bank but can he deliver? Hear all about Trump's pick to lead the Fed on this week's Reuters Econ World podcast
YESThe Economist99%match95¢+5%
Some of Kevin Warsh’s criticisms of the Federal Reserve are sensible. But others are questionable
YESzerohedge99%match95¢+5%
President Donald Trump said his pick to lead the Federal Reserve can stoke the economy to grow at a rate of 15%, an exceedingly rosy target that underscores the pressure that Kevin Warsh will face if confirmed to the role. BBG Oh yeah, he can't wait to shrink the balance sheet
YESReuters99%match96¢+4%
Which Kevin is going to show up? Trump wants a low-rates guy at the Fed but Kevin Warsh, his pick to run the central bank, is known as an inflation hawk. Hear more on Reuters Econ World podcast
YESBreaking91199%match96¢+4%
Trump on Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh: "If our new head of the Fed — who I think is going to be great, and he's a really high-quality person — but if he does the job that he's capable, we can grow at 15%. I think more than that."
YESRapid Response 4799%match96¢+4%
.@POTUS on Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh: "If our new head of the Fed — who I think is going to be great, and he's a really high-quality person — but if he does the job that he's capable, we can grow at 15%. I think more than that."
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match96¢+4%
TRUMP PREDICTS 15% GROWTH UNDER WARSH Donald Trump said his pick to lead the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, could drive economic growth to 15%—a highly optimistic claim that highlights the pressure Warsh would face if confirmed. In an interview with Fox Business, Trump called it…
YESBloomberg98%match96¢+4%
President Donald Trump said his pick to lead the Federal Reserve can stoke the economy to grow at a rate of 15%
YESWatcher.Guru99%match96¢+4%
JUST IN: President Trump says the US economy can grow at 15% if Kevin Warsh does his job right as Fed Chair.
YESReuters99%match96¢+4%
Regime change at the Fed? Kevin Warsh wants to overhaul the central bank but can he deliver? Hear all about Trump's pick to lead the Fed on this week's Reuters Econ World podcast
YESBloomberg99%match96¢+4%
Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh is likely to take a gradual approach to shrinking the central bank’s $6.6 trillion portfolio to avoid rekindling money market tensions, according to strategists at Citi
YESReuters99%match95¢+5%
Regime change at the Fed? Kevin Warsh wants to overhaul the central bank but can he deliver? Hear all about Trump's pick to lead the Fed on this week's Reuters Econ World podcast
YESBloomberg98%match95¢+5%
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested the Senate start hearings on Trump’s pick to lead the Fed despite a vow from a key Republican to block all such nominations until an investigation targeting current chair Jerome Powell is resolved.
YESThe Economist99%match95¢+5%
If Kevin Warsh has flip-flopped on rates, he has been resolute on the main villain in American monetary policy
YESReuters99%match96¢+4%
Which Kevin is going to show up? Trump wants a low-rates guy at the Fed but Kevin Warsh, his pick to run the central bank, is known as an inflation hawk. Hear more on Reuters Econ World podcast
YESReuters99%match96¢+4%
Regime change at the Fed? Kevin Warsh wants to overhaul the central bank but can he deliver? Hear all about Trump's pick to lead the Fed on this week's Reuters Econ World podcast
YESThe Economist99%match94¢+6%
As Federal Reserve chair, Kevin Warsh will have three audiences to please. To keep everyone clapping, he will need to turn in the performance of a lifetime
YESReuters99%match96¢+4%
Which Kevin is going to show up? Trump wants a low-rates guy at the Fed but Kevin Warsh, his pick to run the central bank, is known as an inflation hawk. Hear more on Reuters Econ World podcast
YESThe Economist99%match95¢+5%
Kevin Warsh’s 20-year-plus record of Federal Reserve critique offers hints for what America, and the world, should expect from Warshonomics
YESzerohedge99%match95¢+5%
SCOOP: How Scott Bessent will be Kevin Warsh's secret weapon to get confirmed as Fed chairman
YESJoe Weisenthal98%match95¢+5%
NEW ODD LOTS: It's Rich Clarida on Kevin Warsh @tracyalloway and I talk to the Fed's former Vice Chairman about the nominee to be the Fed's next Chairman
YESReuters99%match96¢+4%
Regime change at the Fed? Kevin Warsh wants to overhaul the central bank but can he deliver? Hear all about Trump's pick to lead the Fed on this week's Reuters Econ World podcast
YESFinancialJuice99%match96¢+4%
BoC's Gov. Macklem welcomes nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed chair.
YESCNBC99%match96¢+4%
Trump would decide whether to investigate Fed pick Warsh over refusal to cut rates: Bessent
YESReuters Business99%match96¢+4%
BoE's Bailey welcomes Warsh as Trump's choice to lead U.S. Fed
YESThe Economist99%match97¢+3%
What is Warshonomics?
YESFirst Squawk98%match98¢+2%
TRUMP SAYS HE WOULD NOT HAVE PICKED KEVIN WARSH TO LEAD THE FED IF HE HAD SUPPORTED RATE HIKES, SIGNALING EXPECTATIONS FOR LOWER RATES AND REIGNITING CONCERNS OVER FED INDEPENDENCE AHEAD OF WARSH’S CONFIRMATION.
YESPOLITICO99%match98¢+2%
Trump’s Fed chair pick — Kevin Warsh — has been vocal about Fed independence. Our @Jack_Blanchard_ and @dashaburns discuss why Trump picked someone unlikely to do his bidding and the role the Treasury secretary played on today’s #PlaybookPod:
YESReuters99%match98¢+2%
Regime change at the Fed? Kevin Warsh wants to overhaul the central bank but can he deliver? Hear all about Trump's pick to lead the Fed on this week's Reuters Econ World podcast
YESBloomberg99%match98¢+2%
Donald Trump said he would have passed on Kevin Warsh as his nominee to lead the Federal Reserve if Warsh had expressed a desire to hike interest rates
YESPOLITICO99%match98¢+2%
Kevin Warsh has shifted positions over the years. Will he deliver or disappoint for Trump at the Fed? Our @vtg2 and @ianwardreports on why Trump’s Federal Reserve pick may surprise him
YESPOLITICO99%match98¢+2%
Kevin Warsh has shifted positions over the years. Will he deliver or disappoint for Trump at the Fed? Our @vtg2 on why Trump’s Federal Reserve pick may surprise him
YESPOLITICO99%match98¢+2%
COLUMN: Kevin Warsh has shifted positions over the years. Will he deliver or disappoint for Trump at the Fed? Our @vtg2 on why Trump’s Federal Reserve pick may surprise him
YESBloomberg99%match97¢+3%
Once you unpack the ideas of Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh, they don’t reliably serve Donald Trump's purposes. Ruh-roh, says @Clive_Crook (via @opinion)
YESThe Economist98%match98¢+2%
Today on “The Intelligence”: the Fed under Kevin Warsh, Thailand’s tricky election and Hong Kong’s humble trams
YESThe Wall Street Journal99%match98¢+2%
From @WSJopinion: The market reaction to Kevin Warsh’s nomination suggests he is likely to do the right thing as Fed chairman, writes @gerardtbaker
YESThe Economist99%match98¢+2%
“It’s a much more political version of the job than we’ve seen.” On “The Intelligence” @ArchieHall asks what we can expect from Kevin Warsh as chair of the Federal Reserve
YESFirst Squawk98%match98¢+2%
FED'S BARKIN SAYS HE DOES NOT KNOW WARSH WELL, BUT THAT FED CHAIR NOMINEE SEEMS CAPABLE AND CHARISMATIC
YESRapid Response 4799%match98¢+2%
"He's a great pick," says @SenMcCormickPA on Fed Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh. "He's more equipped than anybody I could possibly think of."
YESRapid Response 4799%match98¢+2%
.@pulte on Fed Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh: "I think he'll get confirmed and I think it's a really good pick... we need, frankly, a Fed Chair that isn't politicizing the Fed, and can actually restore credibility to the institution."
YESThe White House99%match98¢+2%
[Replying to @WhiteHouse] Read @FSForum's full statement > Kevin Warsh is the RIGHT MAN for the job!
YESBenzinga99%match98¢+2%
Can Trump's New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Really Deliver 'Regime Change'?
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match99¢+1%
TRUMP-POWELL FEUD THREATENS WARSH’S FED TAKEOVER Trump’s DOJ probe into Fed Chair Jerome Powell is delaying Kevin Warsh’s confirmation, as key GOP senators refuse to approve any nominee until the investigation ends. Without an off-ramp, Warsh’s takeover could be postponed,…
Where does the news lean?
161YES12NO27neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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