Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?Kevin Hassett
ResolvedOutcome: No$36.1Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
47 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOunusual_whales99%match100¢
Trump on Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh: "If our new head of the Fed, who I think is going to be great, and he's a really high-quality person, but if he does the job that he's capable, we can grow at 15%. I think more than that."
NOWatcher.Guru98%match100¢
JUST IN: President Trump says the US economy can grow at 15% if Kevin Warsh does his job right as Fed Chair.
NOReuters99%match100¢
Which Kevin is going to show up? Trump wants a low-rates guy at the Fed but Kevin Warsh, his pick to run the central bank, is known as an inflation hawk. Hear more on Reuters Econ World podcast
NOReuters99%match93¢+8%
Trump heads to Davos with Fed uncertainty surging. Kevin Hassett is out; Kevin Warsh and Rick Rieder move to the front of the pack. Reuters Morning Bid explains:
NOFirst Squawk99%match89¢+12%
WHITE HOUSE ECONOMIC ADVISER KEVIN HASSETT SAID PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP MAY WELL KEEP HIM IN HIS CURRENT JOB, WHICH WOULD TAKE HIM OUT OF THE RUNNING FOR FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIR.
NOBloomberg99%match89¢+12%
White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said President Donald Trump may well keep him in his current job, which would take him out of the running for Federal Reserve chair.
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match17¢-100%
BESSENT: TRUMP DOWN TO FOUR FED CHAIR CANDIDATES Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said President Donald Trump has narrowed his list for Federal Reserve chair to four candidates: Michelle Bowman, Kevin Hassett, Kevin Warsh, and Rick Rieder. Bessent noted that Fed Chair Jerome…
YESzerohedge99%match36¢-100%
*TRUMP, ON NEXT FED CHAIR, SAYS 2 KEVINS ARE GOOD: REUTERS
YESCGTN Europe99%match35¢-100%
TRUMP SPEAKS HIGHLY OF KEVIN HASSETT AND KEVIN WARSH AS HIS LOOMING FED CHAIR CHOICE NEARS
NOPOLITICO99%match63¢+59%
The Fed chair race is becoming a proxy war over central bank independence, and that could spell trouble for Kevin Hassett. @SenThomTillis says Hassett "has a lot of history with the president, so we’ll just have to look at that."
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match43¢-100%
investment bank Raymond James says they expect Kevin Hassett to be nominated for Fed chair in the coming days. The director of the National Economic Council is considered a front-runner given his perceived loyalty to President Trump, the investment bank says. "We have been…
YESzerohedge99%match45¢-100%
[Replying to @zerohedge] Source > Fallout from Trump/Powell escalation: Warsh Fed chair odds slide, Hassett is again favorite at 43%
NOPolymarket99%match59¢+69%
Trump’s Fed Chair pick could reshape global markets for years. HASSETT: NEC director and longtime Trump ally. Facing pushback that he’s too close to the president and could unsettle bond markets. WARSH: Former Fed Governor with deep Wall Street credibility, viewed as safer and…
NOStocktwits99%match58¢+72%
Kevin Warsh is creeping up on Kevin Hassett to be the favorite for Trump’s nomination as Fed Chair @PolymarketMoney [Quoting @PolymarketMoney]
> BREAKING: Fed Chair race tightens as Kevin Hassett’s odds slide.
YESPolymarket99%match54¢-100%
BREAKING: Kevin Hassett is once again the front-runner to be the next Fed Chair.
NOPOLITICO98%match44¢+127%
Hassett’s detractors believe he has not been effective as head of the National Economic Council other than as a public messenger for the president’s agenda, playing little part in driving policies
YESPolymarket99%match56¢-100%
BREAKING: Kevin Warsh likely out of the running for Fed Chair. Kevin Hassett is now the clear favorite, with Christopher Waller now trailing in 2nd place.
NOunusual_whales99%match58¢+72%
[Replying to @unusual_whales] Kevin Hassett, a prominent economic adviser with close ties to the Trump administration, has reportedly faced resistance from high-level figures within Trump’s inner circle regarding a possible nomination to lead the Federal Reserve. Read more: > Lutnick: "Jay Powell is too afraid to lead the greatest $30 trillion economy in the world. We should be leading with our front foot. Instead we are always leaning back as if something bad is happening. We are doing great. Nothing bad is happening."
NOzerohedge99%match56¢+79%
Warsh Overtakes Hassett As Fed Chair Favorite
NOCNBC99%match53¢+89%
Kevin Hassett’s candidacy for the Federal Reserve chair — once seen by the market as almost a sure thing — has received some pushback by high-level people who have the ear of President Donald Trump, sources told CNBC. Full story:
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match48¢+108%
FED CHAIR RACE FLIPS AGAIN ON KALSHI! Kevin Warsh takes the lead at 49%, edging Kevin Hassett at 48%, with Christopher Waller at 4%. CNBC reports Hassett’s Fed candidacy faces pushback over ties to Trump, raising concerns about Fed independence. Markets react quickly as Warsh…
NOCGTN America98%match48¢+108%
HASSETT’S FED CHAIR CANDIDACY RECEIVED PUSHBACK FROM PEOPLE CLOSE TO TRUMP - CNBC
NOFinancialJuice99%match48¢+108%
Some people are concerned that WH Sr. Adviser Hassett is too close to the President for Fed Chair candidacy - CNBC.
NOFinancialJuice99%match48¢+108%
WH Sr. Adviser Hassett's Fed candidacy got some pushback close to Trump - CNBC.
NOCGTN Europe98%match48¢+108%
HASSETT’S FED CHAIR CANDIDACY RECEIVED PUSHBACK FROM PEOPLE CLOSE TO TRUMP - REPORTS
NOCNBC99%match48¢+108%
Hassett's Fed chair candidacy received pushback from high-level people close to Trump, sources say
NOFirst Squawk98%match48¢+108%
HASSETT FED CANDIDACY GOT SOME PUSHBACK CLOSE TO TRUMP: CNBC
YESPolymarket99%match54¢-100%
RT @PolymarketMoney: President Trump says he’s leaning toward either Warsh or Hassett to lead the Fed He also said the next Fed chair shou…
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match55¢-100%
TRUMP NARROWS THE FED CHAIR RACE TO “THE TWO KEVINS” Trump confirmed that Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh are the leading contenders to replace Jerome Powell when his term ends in May 2026. Prediction markets (Kalshi) show: Kevin Hassett: ~54% Kevin Warsh: ~38%
…
NOCNBC99%match39¢+156%
Hassett Fed chair odds fall, Warsh chances surge on Kalshi after Trump comments
YESStocktwits99%match73¢-100%
Warsh and Hassett top Trump’s shortlist for Fed chair - the latter with a commanding lead on @Polymarket at 62% [Quoting @Stocktwits]
>
YESzerohedge98%match73¢-100%
TRUMP SAYS HE'S LEANING WARSH OR HASSETT FOR FED CHAIR: WSJ
YESunusual_whales98%match73¢-100%
[Replying to @unusual_whales] Donald Trump added: We should have the lowest rate in the world, per WSJ, saying rates should be at 1% “or lower than that” next year. To get all news realtime, checkout for numerous news feeds, stock screeners, and more. > JUST IN: US President Donald Trump has said he is leaning toward Warsh or Hassett to lead the Fed, and the next Fed chair should consult with him on where to set interest rates per the WSJ
YESThe Wall Street Journal99%match73¢-100%
President Trump tells WSJ he is leaning toward either Kevin Warsh or Kevin Hassett to lead the Fed, and that the next chair should consult with him on interest rates
YESunusual_whales99%match73¢-100%
JUST IN: US President Donald Trump has said he is leaning toward Warsh or Hassett to lead the Fed, and the next Fed chair should consult with him on where to set interest rates per the WSJ
YESCGTN America98%match73¢-100%
TRUMP SAYS HE IS LEANING TOWARD WARSH OR HASSETT TO LEAD THE FED- WSJ
YESFinancialJuice99%match73¢-100%
Trump: I am leaning toward Warsh or Hassett to lead the Fed - WSJ.
YESFirst Squawk98%match71¢-100%
HASSETT: PRESIDENT TO DECIDE FED CHAIR IN 1–2 WEEKS; SAYS HE’S HONORED TO BE ON THE CANDIDATE LIST — FOX NEWS.
YESzerohedge99%match71¢-100%
Top Overnight News Trump will soon launch a final round of interviews for Fed Reserve chair, pitting White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett against a trio of other candidates to replace Jay Powell. The decision to carry on with the additional interviews shows Hasset’s…
YESThe Economist99%match72¢-100%
The Kevin Hassett of yore might have been an odd choice for the Fed chair, but far from a disastrous one. He has since undergone a partisan transformation
YESReuters99%match71¢-100%
Fed chair front-runner Hassett says 'plenty of room' to cut rates
YESFirst Squawk99%match72¢-100%
Trump to pit Hassett against trio of Fed chair finalists-FT
YESReuters99%match68¢-100%
Fed chair front-runner Hassett says 'plenty of room' to cut rates
YESCNBC99%match69¢-100%
Hassett likely next Fed chair, but most think Trump should nominate someone else, CNBC Fed survey shows
NOPolymarket98%match23¢+335%
WHO'S NEXT? Robert Bench @RkBench has been studying the Fed since middle school. We talk why he thinks the bond market may be trying to veto Trump's top pick for Fed chair. Why he thinks Hassett's odds are severely overvalued at 77%, longshot picks to succeed Powell, and…
YESFinancialJuice99%match78¢-100%
Trump: Would make support for immediately slashing interest rates a litmus test in the choice of a new Fed chair - Politico
YESThe Economist99%match76¢-100%
The potential Fed chair has said that “monetary policy needs to be fully independent of political influence”, but his proximity to Donald Trump would be cause for concern
Where does the news lean?
44YES60NO35neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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