Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?Jerome Powell
ResolvedOutcome: No$27.9Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
46 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOOverton98%match100¢
President Trump just LEVELED Fed Chair Jerome Powell. He told Larry Kudlow that Powell’s interest rate policies are so bad that rates should be TWO POINTS lower than they are right now. Then he compared Powell’s Fed construction project to hotels he’s built for a fraction of… [Quoting @overton_news]
> President Trump says something is deeply broken when good economic news makes the stock market fall and bad news makes it rise. Trump said it is driven by interest-rate manipulation instead of real economic strength. TRUMP: “Sometimes GREAT news is announced, and the market…
NOBreaking91198%match100¢
TRUMP: "If our new head of the Fed, who I think is going to be great... if he does the job that he's capable of, we can grow at 15%... when we were starting as a country, we were growing... this country can do it."
NOBloomberg98%match100¢
President Donald Trump said his pick to lead the Federal Reserve can stoke the economy to grow at a rate of 15%
NOThe Wall Street Journal98%match100¢
President Trump chose a Federal Reserve chair he thinks he can count on to lower interest rates. History suggests three different ways presidents have come to regret that bet.
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match100¢
TRUMP-POWELL FEUD THREATENS WARSH’S FED TAKEOVER Trump’s DOJ probe into Fed Chair Jerome Powell is delaying Kevin Warsh’s confirmation, as key GOP senators refuse to approve any nominee until the investigation ends. Without an off-ramp, Warsh’s takeover could be postponed,…
NOBloomberg99%match100¢
Donald Trump said he would announce his nominee to chair the Federal Reserve "next week," and reiterated his expectation that the central bank’s new leader will lower interest rates
NOWatcher.Guru99%match100¢
JUST IN: President Trump to announce new Fed Chair to replace Jerome Powell next week.
NOFinancialJuice99%match100¢
Trump on the Fed: Not a fan of his.
NOPolymarket99%match100¢
[Replying to @WatcherGuru] @WatcherGuru Trump’s next pick for Fed Chair: Rick Reider - 38%
Kevin Warsh - 31%
Christopher Waller - 15% > JUST IN: President Trump says Fed Chair Jerome Powell is a "moron." "We should be paying lower interest rates than any country in the world."
NOThe Wall Street Journal99%match100¢
Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s decision on whether to remain on the central bank’s board after his chairmanship ends is the last and only card he holds against the Trump administration
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match100¢
RICK RIEDER EMERGES AS TOP CONTENDER FOR FED CHAIR BlackRock executive Rick Rieder has surged as a leading candidate to replace Fed Chair Jay Powell, with his odds on Kalshi jumping from 3% to 37%. President Trump is expected to announce his pick soon and is widely seen as… [Quoting @DeItaone]
> BLACKROCK'S RICK RIEDER SURGES IN FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIR RACE - FT
NOWatcher.Guru99%match100¢
JUST IN: Odds of BlackRock's Rick Rieder becoming the next Fed Chair to replace Jerome Powell hit new all-time high.
NOBloomberg99%match100¢
Treasuries fell and traders trimmed expectations for two US interest-rate cuts in 2026 after US President Trump suggested he’d nominate someone other than NEC director Kevin Hassett to succeed Fed Chair Jerome Powell
NORapid Response 4799%match100¢
.@POTUS on Jerome Powell: "He's been a lousy Fed Chairman... he's been too high on interest rates, and I call him 'Too Late' ... he heads up a construction situation... he’s into billions and billions of dollars, and it looks like they won’t open for a long time. He's either…
YESReuters99%match0¢
Latest Trump move on Fed may have hit a tripwire, with a rally behind Powell
NOWatcher.Guru99%match100¢
JUST IN: President Trump says Fed Chair Jerome Powell will be replaced soon. "That jerk will be gone soon."
NOFinancialJuice99%match100¢
Trump: I want the Fed chief to put rates down on good news.
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match100¢
Trump: We have a real stiff in the Fed
NOCGTN Europe99%match100¢
Trump: We have a real stiff in the Fed
YESReuters99%match0¢
Latest Trump move on Fed may have hit a tripwire, with a rally behind Powell
NOCGTN Europe99%match100¢
Trump: Powell is either incompetent or crooked, he does not do a very good job.
NOFinancialJuice99%match100¢
Trump: Powell is either incompetent or crooked, he does not do a very good job.
NOThe Wall Street Journal99%match100¢
In an extraordinary two-minute video message, Jerome Powell accused the administration of using the threat of criminal prosecution to pressure the Fed into lowering rates. With Powell set to be replaced as chair in four months, the escalation raises questions about whether the…
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match100¢
FED CHAIR RACE: RIEDER INTERVIEWED President Donald Trump will interview Rick Rieder of BlackRock this week as a possible successor to Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Kalshi markets currently assign Rieder just a 4% chance of being nominated, making him a clear long shot. Trump is…
NOBloomberg98%match100¢
Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Bill Pulte was a driving force behind the Trump administration’s decision to subpoena the Federal Reserve, sources say, intensifying pressure on the central bank as President Trump prepares to pick a new Fed chief
NOunusual_whales99%match100¢
[Replying to @unusual_whales] Trump says next Fed chair will believe in lower interest rates 'by a lot' Read more: > Trump says the new Fed chair will have to "lower interest rates immediately."
NOBenzinga99%match100¢
[Replying to @Coinvo] @Coinvo > BREAKING: President Trump is expected to name Jerome Powell's replacement in 14 days!
NOReuters99%match100¢
'I'll soon announce our next chairman of the Federal Reserve, someone who believes in lower interest rates by a lot,' Trump said during a national address touting his economic and national security accomplishments in the first year of his second term
NOAcyn99%match100¢
Trump: I'll soon announce our next chairman of the federal reserve, someone who believes in lower interest rates by a lot
NO*Walter Bloomberg98%match100¢
*TRUMP: NEXT FED CHAIR BELIEVES IN LOW INTEREST RATES *TRUMP: MORTGAGE RATES WILL BE COMING DOWN
NORapid Response 4799%match100¢
.@POTUS: "We'll soon have a good head of the Fed who's going to want to see interest rates go down... [Jerome Powell] is an incompetent person who suffers from Trump Derangement Syndrome... We have many of them, but we're fighting through that stuff."
NOFirst Squawk99%match100¢
TRUMP: INTEREST RATES ARE COMING DOWN DESPITE FED CHAIR POWELL
NOFirst Squawk98%match100¢
TRUMP: WILL BE PICKING NEW HEAD OF FEDERAL RESERVE SOON
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match100¢
TRUMP NARROWS THE FED CHAIR RACE TO “THE TWO KEVINS” Trump confirmed that Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh are the leading contenders to replace Jerome Powell when his term ends in May 2026. Prediction markets (Kalshi) show: Kevin Hassett: ~54% Kevin Warsh: ~38%
…
NOFirst Squawk99%match100¢
TRUMP SAYS NEXT FED CHAIR SHOULD CONSULT WITH HIM ON WHERE TO SET INTEREST RATES – WSJ
NOThe Wall Street Journal99%match100¢
President Trump tells WSJ he is leaning toward either Kevin Warsh or Kevin Hassett to lead the Fed, and that the next chair should consult with him on interest rates
NOFirst Squawk99%match100¢
TRUMP TELLS WSJ NEXT FED CHAIR SHOULD CONSULT WITH HIM ON WHERE TO SET INTEREST RATES.
NOReuters99%match100¢
Fed Chair Jerome Powell said Trump's tariffs are the main factor behind inflation exceeding the central bank's 2% goal, describing them as a one-time price increase
NOzerohedge98%match100¢
So the Fed will ramp up asset purchases ($40BN in Bills monthly) until May... when Powell gets the boot and Trump installs an uberdove. [Quoting @zerohedge]
> BRRR IS BACK
NOPOLITICO98%match99¢+1%
Did Trump make lowering interest rates immediately a litmus test for picking the next Fed chair? "Yes," he tells our @DashaBurns on The Conversation. Full interview:
NOPOLITICO99%match99¢+1%
Did Trump make lowering interest rates immediately a litmus test for picking the next Fed chair? "Yes," he tells our @DashaBurns. He added that Powell “should too” and berated him as “not a smart person” who “doesn’t like Trump.” Full interview:
NOzerohedge99%match99¢+1%
Top Overnight News Trump will soon launch a final round of interviews for Fed Reserve chair, pitting White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett against a trio of other candidates to replace Jay Powell. The decision to carry on with the additional interviews shows Hasset’s…
NOBreaking91199%match100¢
"You’re going to pick a new Fed chair soon. Is it a litmus test that the new chair lower interest rates immediately?" TRUMP: "Yes."
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match100¢
TRUMP EXPECTS NEW FED CHAIR TO CUT RATES U.S. President Donald Trump said support for interest-rate cuts will be a key “litmus test” for choosing the next Federal Reserve chair, according to a Politico interview published Tuesday. Trump plans to announce his nominee early next…
NOWatcher.Guru99%match100¢
JUST IN: President Trump says immediate rate cuts is a requirement for the next Fed Chair.
NOFinancialJuice99%match100¢
Trump: Would make support for immediately slashing interest rates a litmus test in the choice of a new Fed chair - Politico
Where does the news lean?
7YES169NO22neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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