Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?James Bullard
ResolvedOutcome: No$2.8Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOReuters Business98%match100¢
BoE's Bailey welcomes Warsh as Trump's choice to lead U.S. Fed
YESBloomberg99%match0¢
Donald Trump said he would announce his nominee to chair the Federal Reserve "next week," and reiterated his expectation that the central bank’s new leader will lower interest rates
NOPolymarket99%match100¢
BREAKING: Rick Rieder is now officially projected to be the next Fed Chair.
NOzerohedge99%match100¢
BREAKING: Blackrock CIO, Rick Reider, is now the frontrunner to be nominated as Fed Chair.
NOPolymarket99%match100¢
BREAKING: Blackrock CIO, Rick Reider, is now the frontrunner to be nominated as Fed Chair.
NOBloomberg98%match100¢
Rick Rieder’s Wall Street ties and openness to changes at the Fed have bolstered his candidacy for the central bank's top job
NOunusual_whales99%match100¢
Rick Rieder’s Fed Chair nomination odds have jumped 33x in one month, on Polymarket. [Quoting @PolymarketMoney]
> $540,328 if Trump taps BlackRock's CIO as Fed Chair. Who is @HD2?
NOPolymarket98%match100¢
BlackRock is taking over the Fed. Odds BlackRock CIO Rick Rieder is nominated for Fed Chair are soaring
NO*Walter Bloomberg98%match100¢
BLACKROCK’S RIEDER SURGES AS FED CHAIR CONTENDER: AXIOS Traders now give BlackRock’s Rick Rieder strong odds of becoming the next Fed chair after his interview with President Trump. Rieder, BlackRock’s chief fixed-income officer, jumped from 3% to 35% on Kalshi, second only to… [Quoting @DeItaone]
> BLACKROCK'S RICK RIEDER SURGES IN FED CHAIR BETTING Rick Rieder has been climbing fast in prediction markets, now at 32% and closing the gap with frontrunner Kevin Warsh. His sharp rise in recent weeks suggests growing confidence among traders that he could emerge as Trump’s…
NOCNBC99%match100¢
Rieder odds rising for Fed chair after Trump calls BlackRock executive 'very impressive'
NOzerohedge98%match100¢
*TRUMP, ON NEXT FED CHAIR, SAYS 2 KEVINS ARE GOOD: REUTERS
YESFinancialJuice99%match0¢
Trump: I want the Fed chief to put rates down on good news.
YESCGTN Europe99%match0¢
Trump: We have a real stiff in the Fed
YESCGTN America99%match0¢
TRUMP: FED CHAIR PICK IN THE NEXT FEW WEEKS
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match100¢
RICK RIEDER IS PICKING UP Trump meets BlackRock’s Rick Rieder Thursday as a top Fed Chair contender. Rieder favors cutting rates to 3%, citing small business, housing, and labor pressures. His Kalshi odds jumped from 3% yesterday to 10% today.
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match100¢
investment bank Raymond James says they expect Kevin Hassett to be nominated for Fed chair in the coming days. The director of the National Economic Council is considered a front-runner given his perceived loyalty to President Trump, the investment bank says. "We have been…
NOCGTN Europe99%match100¢
Trump to interview Rieder for Fed chair - reports
YESReuters Business98%match0¢
WATCH: Fed Chair Jerome Powell said Trump's tariffs are the main factor behind inflation exceeding the central bank's 2% goal, describing them as a one-time price increase
YESCNBC99%match0¢
Trump says Fed could have 'at least doubled' latest interest rate cut
YESPolymarket98%match0¢
WHO'S NEXT? Robert Bench @RkBench has been studying the Fed since middle school. We talk why he thinks the bond market may be trying to veto Trump's top pick for Fed chair. Why he thinks Hassett's odds are severely overvalued at 77%, longshot picks to succeed Powell, and…
Where does the news lean?
8YES13NO9neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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