Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?Janet Yellen

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$21.3MResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESBloomberg99%match0¢
Donald Trump said he would announce his nominee to chair the Federal Reserve "next week," and reiterated his expectation that the central bank’s new leader will lower interest rates
NOFinancialJuice99%match100¢
Trump: When the market goes up, the Fed should lower rates.
NOReuters98%match100¢
Latest Trump move on Fed may have hit a tripwire, with a rally behind Powell
NOFirst Squawk99%match100¢
TRUMP SAYS NEXT FED CHAIR SHOULD CONSULT WITH HIM ON WHERE TO SET INTEREST RATES – WSJ
NOFirst Squawk98%match100¢
TRUMP TELLS WSJ NEXT FED CHAIR SHOULD CONSULT WITH HIM ON WHERE TO SET INTEREST RATES.
NOPOLITICO98%match100¢
Did Trump make immediately lowering interest rates a litmus test for picking the next Fed chair? "Yes," he tells our @DashaBurns on The Conversation. Watch the full interview:
NOPOLITICO98%match100¢
Did Trump make lowering interest rates immediately a litmus test for picking the next Fed chair? "Yes," he tells our @DashaBurns on The Conversation. Full interview:
NOBreaking91199%match100¢
"You’re going to pick a new Fed chair soon. Is it a litmus test that the new chair lower interest rates immediately?" TRUMP: "Yes."
NOSolid Intel 📡99%match100¢
INTEL: President Trump says immediate rate cuts will be a requirement for selecting the next Fed Chair
NOWatcher.Guru99%match100¢
JUST IN: President Trump says immediate rate cuts is a requirement for the next Fed Chair.
NOFinancialJuice99%match100¢
Trump: Would make support for immediately slashing interest rates a litmus test in the choice of a new Fed chair - Politico

Where does the news lean?

1YES12NO8neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcegamma-backfill

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