Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
Open$1.6Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES1¢
NO99¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Putin says he will "do everything in his power" to ensure a victory for the ruling party in the September lower house elections.
The New People party has risen to second place in terms of public support, according to a VTsIOM poll. The party's rating was 10.7%, up 1.2 percentage points over the week. United Russia remains in first place with 30.6% of the vote (-1.5 percentage points). The LDPR is in third place with 9.7%. The party lost 0.4 percentage points over the week and lost second place in the ranking. In fourth place is the Communist Party of the Russian Federation with a rating of 9.2% (-0.1 percentage points over the week), followed by A Just Russia with 5.3% (-0.1 percentage points). 9.6% of Russians would vote for non-parliamentary parties (+0.9 percentage points), while 12.6% of respondents (+0.6%) refuse to participate in the elections. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Where does the news lean?
0YES3NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
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