California Governor Primary Election: First PlaceSteve Hilton
ResolvedOutcome: No$339Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Another poll finds Xavier Becerra (D) more firmly holding the 2nd top-two spot in California. • • He now sits at about 19% in DDHQ's #CAGov polling average, just behind Steve Hilton (R) at 21%. • • Tom Steyer (D) is in third with 14%, followed by Chad Bianco (R) with 13%.
Steve Hilton: British strategist becomes unlikely frontrunner for California governor
CA voters face a ballot w/61 names. Steve Hilton is front-runner and had the sunny optimism and experience to lead what is approaching a failed state after 16 years of Democratic rule including supermajorities. Becerra, Steyer and Porter —the bland, the unlikeable and the toxic— vying for second place. Chad Bianco not out of it. But even though election “day” is June 2, CA’s counting is so screwed up we will be lucky to know second place by July.
Where does the news lean?
4YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
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