Berlin State Election WinnerSPD
ResolvedOutcome: No$447Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Berlin election: The divided capital – SPD with only one direct mandate
Elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: The SPD settles accounts with Klingbeil and Bas
Election in Berlin: Left Party clearly ahead of CDU in projections – AfD narrowly ahead of Greens – SPD plummets
Berlin election: Left Party clearly ahead of CDU in initial projections – Greens and AfD fighting for third place – SPD plummets
A poll shows the AfD in the lead in Berlin for the first time – the SPD is far behind in fifth place.
SPD defeat looms – Green Party candidate ahead of Reiter in mayoral election
Where does the news lean?
2YES9NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
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See all outcomes for Berlin State Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.