Berlin State Election WinnerCDU
ResolvedOutcome: No$459Kas of
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This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
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15 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: ++ "Mr. Merz, will Berlin be subjected to federal coercion?" – CDU politician outraged after Left Party election victory ++ Live ticker
The Left party overtook the CDU to win the Berlin parliamentary elections.
The Left Party won 25.3% of the vote, followed by the Christian Democrats (CDU) with 19% and the Alternative for Germany (AfD) with 16%. The Social Democrats (SPD) won 12.1%.
Election in Berlin: Jubilation among the Left Party, gloom among the CDU
Berlin election: Left Party overtakes CDU and causes political sensation
Berlin election: Left Party wins state parliament election – CDU in second place
Election in Berlin: Left Party clearly ahead of CDU in projections – AfD narrowly ahead of Greens – SPD plummets
The Left Party, which nominated Elif Eralp as its candidate for chancellor in the Berlin state elections, is in first place. Exit polls have been released for the Berlin and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state parliament elections in Germany. The Left Party increased its votes by more than 12 points, while the ruling Christian Democrats (CDU) fell to second place with a loss of more than 8 points, around 20 percent. In Berlin, the Left Party, which nominated Elif Eralp for chancellor, came in first with 24.5 percent. In the capital, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) received around 16 percent of the votes. ➜ In the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) is leading with 37 percent of the votes. ➜ In this state, the AfD has a small lead. The Social Democrats, trailing by a significant margin, are in second place with 35.5%. In the state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the CDU, which is in the federal government, appears to be on the verge of the 5% threshold.
Berlin election: Left Party strongest force in Berlin – CDU loses votes
MERZ'S CDU PARTY POSTS WORST RESULT EVER IN A GERMAN STATE VOTE • • AFD AHEAD OF SOCIAL DEMOCRATS IN NORTHEASTERN STATE VOTE • • ANTI-CAPITALIST LEFT PARTY LEADING IN BERLIN ELECTION
Berlin election: Left Party clearly ahead of CDU in initial projections – Greens and AfD fighting for third place – SPD plummets
Berlin: Election thriller – poll suddenly shows CDU narrowly ahead of the Left Party, glimmer of hope for the SPD
Berlin poll: CDU politician far ahead – Left Party candidate 7 points behind her party
The Left Party is in the lead in Berlin – the CDU is not benefiting from the change of candidates.
CDU gains significantly in poll after Wegner's resignation – Left Party clearly in first place in Berlin
Where does the news lean?
3YES28NO6neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
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