Berlin State Election WinnerCDU
Open$204Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 28% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES28¢
NO73¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Berlin: Election thriller – poll suddenly shows CDU narrowly ahead of the Left Party, glimmer of hope for the SPD
Berlin poll: CDU politician far ahead – Left Party candidate 7 points behind her party
The Left Party is in the lead in Berlin – the CDU is not benefiting from the change of candidates.
CDU gains significantly in poll after Wegner's resignation – Left Party clearly in first place in Berlin
Where does the news lean?
2YES4NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
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