Berlin State Election WinnerAfD

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$2.6MResolvedas of

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This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

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What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NORussian Media97%match100¢
The Left won the elections to the Berlin House of Deputies, gaining 25.7% of the vote, Tagesschau reports. They are followed by the CDU, with 18.8% of the vote, the Alternative for Germany with 16.3%, the Greens (14.3%) and the SPD (12.1%). Thus, the ruling coalition of the CDU and SPD has lost its majority, the TV channel notes. In the elections in the state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the AfD won, with 38.2% of the vote. The CDU gained 4.9% of the vote and did not overcome the five percent barrier to enter the state parliament. RBC always at hand - download the app for iOS and Android RBC channel in "Max"
NOKazinform98%match100¢
The Left Party won the elections to the Berlin House of Deputies In the elections to the Berlin House of Deputies, which took place on September 20, the Left Party took first place, receiving 25.7% of the votes (an increase of 13.5 percentage points compared to the 2023 elections). This follows from official preliminary data released on the night of Monday, September 21. In second place is the conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) with 18.8%, in third place is the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) with 16.3% [in reply to: Elections in Germany: AfD gains a record 44% in Saxony-Anhalt About 1.7 million voters took part in the elections. The turnout, according to preliminary estimates, is significantly higher than in 2021. The leader of the AfD list, Ulrich Sigmund, called the results "historic". Party co-chair Alice Weidel announced a "clear mandate to form a government." U. Sigmund had previously stated that he was only prepared to lead a government with an absolute majority for his party and did not intend to join a coalition. ]
YESm.thepaper.cn94%match0¢
News Dispenser | Germany's Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins another state election; Weidel calls for Merz to step down, potentially impacting European politics.
YESnews.tv-asahi.co.jp95%match0¢
In the German state elections, the far-right AfD became the largest party, while Chancellor Merz's CDU suffered a "historic defeat" by losing all its seats.
NOspiegel.de98%match100¢
Berlin election 2026 - preliminary result: Left Party wins ahead of CDU, AfD in third place
NOalarabiya95%match100¢
Following the elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, Friedrich Merz describes the results as disastrous and calls for an emergency meeting. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party advances and comes in second in Berlin.
YESdpa.com92%match0¢
AfD in the lead and Left Party triumph: The German elections outside the CDU
NOrtl.fr96%match100¢
Germany: AfD comes out on top in regional elections in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, left wins in Berlin
YESafp.com92%match0¢
Germany's far-right AfD celebrates another state election win
NOanadoluajansi98%match100¢
The Left Party, which nominated Elif Eralp as its candidate for chancellor in the Berlin state elections, is in first place. Exit polls have been released for the Berlin and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state parliament elections in Germany. The Left Party increased its votes by more than 12 points, while the ruling Christian Democrats (CDU) fell to second place with a loss of more than 8 points, around 20 percent. In Berlin, the Left Party, which nominated Elif Eralp for chancellor, came in first with 24.5 percent. In the capital, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) received around 16 percent of the votes. ➜ In the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) is leading with 37 percent of the votes. ➜ In this state, the AfD has a small lead. The Social Democrats, trailing by a significant margin, are in second place with 35.5%. In the state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the CDU, which is in the federal government, appears to be on the verge of the 5% threshold.
NOleparisien.fr96%match100¢
Regional elections in Germany: the far-right AfD party makes gains in the Northeast, the radical left leads in Berlin
The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party makes strong gains in state elections and comes in second in Berlin. [in reply to: What does the rise of the AfD in Germany mean?! The election campaign of the party accused of extremism and closeness to Russia: - Normalization of German-Russian relations - Stopping immigration - Restarting the Nord Stream 1 and 2 gas pipelines - Leaving the European Union.
NOlefigaro.fr96%match100¢
In Germany, the radical left was victorious in Berlin, with the AfD leading in the "Meck-Pom"
NOzerohedge95%match99¢+1%
MERZ'S CDU PARTY POSTS WORST RESULT EVER IN A GERMAN STATE VOTE • • AFD AHEAD OF SOCIAL DEMOCRATS IN NORTHEASTERN STATE VOTE • • ANTI-CAPITALIST LEFT PARTY LEADING IN BERLIN ELECTION
YESwelt.de94%match11¢-100%
AfD significantly widens gap with CDU/CSU in poll – Greens and SPD mathematically secure seats in state parliament
YESNOTUS Reporter93%match17¢-100%
AfD Opens 20-Point Lead a Month Before Crucial State Elections •
YESelonmusk92%match23¢-100%
BREAKING: Germany's Anti-Immigration party the AfD have topped a poll in liberal/left leaning BERLIN for the FIRST TIME EVER • • This is unprecedented • Remigration is inevitable
YESwelt.de95%match17¢-100%
A poll shows the AfD in the lead in Berlin for the first time – the SPD is far behind in fifth place.
YESbild.de96%match14¢-100%
New poll: AfD now also leads in Berlin
YESbild.de91%match13¢-100%
AfD still in the lead: This is how Germans would vote now

Where does the news lean?

18YES28NO8neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.

How did this market resolve?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

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