SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14Super Heavy booster explodes?
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$65Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Footage of the Starlink satellite launch from Starship, the largest rocket in history, which successfully entered Earth orbit for the first time. The 14th test flight took off from the SpaceX Starbase cosmodrome in Texas. The ship had previously ascended to space, but all launches were suborbital, never achieving a stable orbit. After liftoff, Starship separated from the Super Heavy booster, which splashed down successfully in the Gulf of Mexico. Initially, Starship's upper stage was planned to spend about ten hours in orbit and complete six orbits of the Earth. However, after one of its six engines failed, SpaceX shortened the flight to three hours. Subscribe, this is BAZA:
Footage of the Starlink satellite launch from Starship, the largest rocket in history, which successfully entered Earth orbit for the first time. The 14th test flight took off from the SpaceX Starbase in Texas. The ship had previously ascended to space, but all launches were suborbital, never achieving a stable orbit. After liftoff, Starship separated from the Super Heavy booster, which splashed down successfully in the Gulf of Mexico. Initially, the Starship upper stage was planned to spend about ten hours in orbit and complete six orbits of the Earth. However, after one of its six engines failed, SpaceX shortened the flight to three hours. BAZA on Telegram
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Where does the news lean?
0YES2NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the booster for the 14th Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
If the 14th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
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See all outcomes for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.