SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14September 15
Open$25Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 17% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES17¢
NO84¢
as of
Where does the news lean?
0YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
What would make this resolve YES?
If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
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See all outcomes for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.