Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?Sean Parnell

OpenVol$616Deadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 14% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES14¢
NO86¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESThe Hill Reporter95%match14¢
NEW: Hegseth’s choice to serve as Army secretary is Sean Parnell, a decorated Afghanistan war veteran, but he has received an icy reception on Capitol Hill among lawmakers and staff on the Senate Armed Services Committee, 2 sources say @thehill

Where does the news lean?

1YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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