Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Open$19Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 26% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES26¢
NO75¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Sec. Lutnick is set to do an interview today with Oversight as part of the Epstein investigation • • dept spox say he looked forward to “putting to rest the inaccurate and baseless claims in the media designed to distract from his historic work underway at the Commerce Department.”
Where does the news lean?
8YES1NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.