Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?
Open29as of
Market pricing makes Candidate A the favorite at 50% across 29 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Candidate A50%
Candidate B50%
Candidate C50%
Candidate D50%
Candidate E50%
Candidate F50%
Candidate G50%
Candidate H50%
Candidate I50%
Candidate J50%
Candidate K50%
Candidate L50%
Candidate M50%
Candidate N50%
Candidate O50%
Candidate P50%
Candidate Q50%
Candidate R50%
Candidate S50%
Candidate T50%
Other50%
Adam Telle47%
Sean Parnell14%
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Members of the Senate Armed Services Committee were “very pleased” with Telle, according to a congressional aide • • BUT - 2 other sources said acting Army Sec Adam Telle “knows” that the acting secretary post is temporary
Army Under Secretary Mike Obadal met with Secretary Hegseth to discuss the interim Army secretary post, right after Driscoll resigned but before Adam Telle was picked, a source familiar with the meeting told me
Some sources in & around the Pentagon see Marc Andersen, the Army comptroller, as a dark horse pick • • A person familiar with his work told me he is “patient, persistent guy who cares about the Army and the troops and does not care about the spotlight" •
NEW: Hegseth’s choice to serve as Army secretary is Sean Parnell, a decorated Afghanistan war veteran, but he has received an icy reception on Capitol Hill among lawmakers and staff on the Senate Armed Services Committee, 2 sources say @thehill
Senators spurn Hegseth’s pick amid jockeying for Army secretary nomination Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s pick to lead the Army is facing Democratic opposition and a hesitant reception from key Republicans, amid jockeying for the service branch’s top civilian post after Dan Driscoll resigned a month ago. Hegseth’s choice to lead the Army is Sean Parnell, a decorated Afghanistan war veteran and his senior advisor and…
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify.
If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.